Hi all,
Currently in Goodland, KS watching towering Cu go up and down like popcorn in a microwave. Given a little more heating and some more lower level convergence, these should develop into storms in the next hour or so. Low level shear isn't too bad with 850mb winds of 20-25knts from the south/south east and the mid levels are around 30-35knts from the W so an isolated severe storm isn't out of the question. Instability is a little on the light side thanks to relatively cool surface temps (mid 70's) and relatively low DP's (mid 50's) but CAPE is still around 1500-2000j/kg and the LI's are around -4 to -5 currently.
Once again, we'll play the watching and waiting game to see what develops over the next hour.
The next two or three days look like some slight risk potential for supercells and with more upper level support progged for Monday & Tuesday, we could seethe chance of a tornado or two as well.
Macca & Chris