Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 00:29:08 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius <cyclone at bigpond.net.au>
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To: Australian Weather Mailing List <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: TD2K Draws to a Close
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Hi all,

Well - after 3.5 weeks and over 14,500km of driving, TD2K for Andrew
McDonald and myself drew to a close this evening after dropping off
Andrew at the Bris AP.

All up - a FANTASTIC time!  Over the next few weeks, I'm sure there'll
be lots of reports and photos floating around.  All up, three systems
moved through, all of them producing some fantastic thunderstorms on
certain days!  

Anyway - just thought I'd let people know that I'm back.

-- 
Anthony Cornelius
Vice President & Queensland Coordinator of the 
Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 02:07:26 +1100 (AEDT)
From: Jonty Hall <jdh at vortex.shm.monash.edu.au>
To: weather list <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: 10000 mm of rain near Cairns
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Hi Chris,

In fact, there is an official observation that is higher than this. Just
up the road at Bellenden Ker top station they have received 11 091 mm up
to the end of November. This station also holds Australia's record for
annual rainfall - 11 852 mm in 1999. It only reports at the end of the
month though, so its not clear whether the record is going to go. With the
monsoon active very early, there has to be a good chance though.

This station is quite a frustrating one for those lovers of records. The
official 24 hr rainfall record in Australia remains 907 mm at Crohamhurst
(northwest of Brisbane), but Bellendan Ker received more than double this
figure in a 48 hour period, and so would have undoubtedly broken the
record if there had've been 24 hour obs. Oh well!

Cheers,

Jonty.

____________________________________________________________________

Jonty Hall                   jdh at vortex.shm.monash.edu.au

CRC for Southern Hemisphere Meteorology
Monash University
Wellington Road,
Clayton, Vic   3168

Ph +61 3 9905 9684

____________________________________________________________________

On Sat, 9 Dec 2000 chris.nitsopoulos at jcu.edu.au wrote:

> Hi everyone;
> 
>          Just wanting to inform you all about an unofficial but historically 
> accurate rainfall observation total of Mt Bartle Frere which is approximately 
> 100kms South of Cairns. The Mountain(Queenslands Highest) has recieved 10 079mm 
> for the year so far until 9A.M Thursday. OVER 10 METERS OF RAIN! This is by far 
> a record of Australia I believe, if only it was official. Are there any other 
> rainfall observations around Australia that are extreme? By the way, here in 
> Townsville we are still bout 10 mm off our all time record with a meagre
> 2200mm for the year to date.
> 
>      Cheers:  Chris Nitso 
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>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
> 

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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Date: Sat, 09 Dec 2000 23:08:48 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Ben Munro <benjamin at biosys.net>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: 10000 mm of rain near Cairns
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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The Australian record is 11852mm, set at Mount Bellenden Ker last year. I
think Bellenden Ker is in the same area as Bartle Frere. Blair Trewin
mentioned this in a post to this list yesterday. The main subject of the
post was a rainfall record for WA. Blair said that Bellenden Ker might set
a new record this month, after having received 11091mm up to the end of
November. The station only reports once a month.

When did the station on top of Bellenden Ker start reporting?






At 14:51 09-12-00 +1000, you wrote:
>Hi everyone;
>
>         Just wanting to inform you all about an unofficial but historically 
>accurate rainfall observation total of Mt Bartle Frere which is
approximately 
>100kms South of Cairns. The Mountain(Queenslands Highest) has recieved 10
079mm 
>for the year so far until 9A.M Thursday. OVER 10 METERS OF RAIN! This is
by far 
>a record of Australia I believe, if only it was official. Are there any
other 
>rainfall observations around Australia that are extreme? By the way, here in 
>Townsville we are still bout 10 mm off our all time record with a meagre
>2200mm for the year to date.
>
>     Cheers:  Chris Nitso 

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Anthony Spierings" <as029 at bigpond.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Offtopic - Cable Users BPA Volume Limits
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 08:37:47 +1000
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Apologies for the offtopic post.

I know this will be of interest to some.  Especially, those who archive
large volumes of weather data using Telstra's BPA (Cable Modems).  Like
Optus, Telstra are now clamping down on "excessive" use of the unlimited
connection.  This news has not been shouted from the roof tops and is hard
to find when having a quick pursue over the web site.  A good summary can be
found at;

http://www.cableusers.com.au/bpa/aup.shtml

Has anybody been 'red lighted' yet?

Regards,

Anthony Spierings
as029 at bigpond.net.au

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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From: "S G" <thunderday191 at hotmail.com>
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Possible storms for Adelaide!!!
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 10:21:45 +1030
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<x-flowed>
The forecast for Adelaide now says there is a possibility of a shower this 
evening and the central district forecast says isolated showers and possible 
thunder developing this afternoon or evening.  Would be great if some 
activity did develop.  The trough approaching is weak although TC Sam adds 
to the uncertainty of what it could produce.  Does anybody have any idea how 
moist or unstable the air associated with this trough is?  I take it it is 
not very moist air or else the forecast would be even better.  Although the 
chances of a thunderstorm this evening are not high you never know and often 
thunderstorms in the past have occured when BOM in Adelaide least expects it 
eg April this year when the Clipsal 500 car race was on, (anybody could tell 
a t'storm was going to develop at least as far down as Adelaide on that day, 
many days before it happened).  Anyway can only hope we get at least a 
shower from this system.  Have to wait and see.
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Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 12:07:24 +1100
From: Jane ONeill <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
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To: Aussie-wx <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: TDU2K images
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Afternoon all,

I have the first 2 pages of images up of TDU2K so far at
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/tdu2kjon1.htm

and then last night
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/tdu2kjon2.htm ( I particularly like the
one of the 'photographer taking the pic of the photographer taking the
pic of the photographer' - Macca & I should have this one perfected
shortly - this was our 3rd attempt) & Nick Moir was great in the role of
'guerilla photographer' - I'm amazed that no-one fell 'a over t' over
him......

I'll try to get the 3rd up tonight (I'll leave you to guess what the URL
might be <g>).

Melbourne currently 29.8C, (no use taking the DP in my backyard - it'll
be way too high), 4/8 Ci, NNW 2G10kmh, 1009hPa & falling.

Jane

--------------------------------
Jane ONeill - Melbourne
cadence at stormchasers.au.com

Melbourne Storm Chasers
http://www.stormchasers.au.com

ASWA - Victoria
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
--------------------------------


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "clyve herbert" <mesof5 at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: remnant sam and son of sam
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 12:15:40 +1100
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Hi all.
Looks as if the remnants of cyclone Sam may be picked up by the mid latitude
system moving towards south eastern Australia today, worth keeping a close
look on any potential interaction and further development  which may impinge
on south eastern Aus:. Also the large cloud splotch in the Gulf of
Carpentaria has some potential with rather good upper divergence.
regards Clyve Herbert.

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Bruno Benjamin" <b.benjamin at ouragans.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC Sam.
Date: Sat, 9 Dec 2000 21:16:19 -0400
Organization: Ouragans.com
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<DIV><FONT size=2>Does anyone know about possible damages and/or human losses in 
the area affected by Sam? I've tracked it all night long to keep my visitors 
updated, but I'm missing local details.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>By the way, thanks a million to C. Smith and M. 
Bath...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>
<P><FONT face=Verdana size=2><BR>Bruno Benjamin</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=Verdana size=2><B>Ouragans.com</B><BR>Le premier portail 
francophone<BR>de surveillance cyclonique mondial<BR><A 
href="http://www.ouragans.com">http://www.ouragans.com</A> </FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=Verdana size=2><B>Ourafans</B> - Les listes de diffusion<BR><A 
href="mailto:ourafans-atlantique-subscribe at egroups.fr">Atlantique</A> - <A 
href="mailto:ourafans-reunion-subscribe at egroups.fr">Réunion</A> - <A 
href="mailto:ourafans-tahiti-subscribe at egroups.fr">Tahiti</A> - <A 
href="mailto:ourafans-pacifique-subscribe at egroups.fr">Pacifique</A></FONT> 
</P></DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Message d'origine ----- 
<DIV style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>De :</B> <A 
title=carls at ace-net.com.au href="mailto:carls at ace-net.com.au">Carl Smith</A> 
</DIV>
<DIV><B>À :</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">Aussie Weather List</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>Envoyé&nbsp;:</B> samedi 9 décembre 2000 02:04</DIV>
<DIV><B>Objet :</B> aus-wx: TC Sam radar loop.</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>Hi All.<BR><BR>For those who may have missed seeing TC Sam 
crossing the coast on the<BR>Broome radar I have uploaded an animated loop 
at<BR><A 
href="http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TCSamBroomeRadarLoop.htm">http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TCSamBroomeRadarLoop.htm</A>.<BR><BR>I 
intend to leave it there for the next few 
days.<BR><BR>Regards,<BR>Carl.<BR><BR>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~<BR>Carl 
Smith.<BR>Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.<BR>Email: <A 
href="mailto:carls at ace-net.com.au">carls at ace-net.com.au</A><BR>Internet: <A 
href="http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm">http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm</A><BR>Current 
Cyclone information: <A 
href="http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm">http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm</A><BR>Cyclone 
Tracking Maps: <A 
href="http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm">http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm</A><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
or: <A 
href="http://cyclones.50megs.com/maps/TCMaps.htm">http://cyclones.50megs.com/maps/TCMaps.htm</A><BR>Tropical 
Cyclone Archives: <A 
href="http://cyclones.50megs.com/">http://cyclones.50megs.com/</A><BR>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~<BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+<BR>&nbsp;To 
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href="mailto:-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au">-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au</A>------------------------------</BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Met Support 3" <twc at theweather.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Sydney max temp forecasts
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 15:34:08 +1100
Organization: The Weather Company
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi all</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Despite the forecast for Sydney being extremely 
enticing for the next week, with late showers/storms mentioned most days, I am 
unsure why the temperatures have been lowered to the extent that they have. On 
Friday, the forecast top temp for Tuesday was 36...it is now 26, with a 
southerly change expected. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Given the extreme temperatures in the west, which 
spread into SA today(quite widespread 40C+), and look like moving into western 
NSW tomorrow, I would have thought the last thing Sydney is going to be on 
Tuesday was 26C myself.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Option 1:</FONT><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;Even 
if a S change did come through(and it would have to be extremely early in the 
day to keep temps down in the mid 20s), it looks like it would only be a wind 
change, and unless it brought in an 8/8 Sc deck from the SE, I can't see that 
keeping the temps down.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Option 2: Possibly the outflow from TC Sam is 
expected to play some part in keeping temps down, through a restriction of 
insolation across Sydney on Tuesday. However, my problems with this are, 
firstly, the jet looks like it will carry most of the moisture SEwards down 
across Victoria, with the upper ridge axis sitting NW/SE across NSW for the next 
few days. All the models I have seen prog this as the path of the moisture(both 
to the southeast and up to the ENE across NT and Qld), with NSW staying quite 
dry under the ridge. Also, there is still the mention of "afternoon showers and 
storms" on the Sydney forecast, which normally suggests a reasonably clear start 
to the day. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Option 3: Perhaps they are expecting a very strong 
seabreeze to keep temps down on the coast. This, to me, seems the most logical 
explanation, given the reasons above, but I am still not entirely convinced it 
will remain this low. GASP is going for 850 temps of 23C on Tuesday, so even 
with the seabreeze, western Sydney should get well into the mid 30s I would have 
thought. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Perhaps others may be able to shed light on this or 
suggest another option I have missed...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Matt Pearce</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The Weather Company<BR>Meteorological Support 
Desk<BR><A 
href="http://www.theweather.com.au">http://www.theweather.com.au</A></FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 17:04:53 +1100
From: Jane ONeill <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: Aussie-wx <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Car stickers
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Dear all,

The ASWA car stickers will be available during January.  The design has
been improved since the initial test and now includes an easily readable
ASWA URL.  I will email the list as soon as the stickers are ready to go
- please set aside a few Christmas $$ until then.

Jane

--------------------------------
Jane ONeill - Melbourne
cadence at stormchasers.au.com

ASWA - Victoria / Tasmania
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
--------------------------------


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Ben Quinn" <benquinn at optushome.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: New NT Pics
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 17:16:43 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<x-html>
<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<META content="MSHTML 5.50.4134.600" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV>Hi Everyone,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>The final batch of NT pics have been uploaded, including some SLR lightning 
shots</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><A 
href="http://bsch.simplenet.com/lem/td2knt/lightning.html">http://bsch.simplenet.com/lem/td2knt/lightning.html</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Some of the best ones (IMO)</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><A 
href="http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/nt_lightning01.html">http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/nt_lightning01.html</A></DIV>
<DIV><A 
href="http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/nt_lightning02.html">http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/nt_lightning02.html</A></DIV>
<DIV><A 
href="http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/nt_lightning03.html">http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/nt_lightning03.html</A></DIV>
<DIV><A 
href="http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/nt_lightning07.html">http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/nt_lightning07.html</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>And the rest of the tornado pics</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><A 
href="http://bsch.simplenet.com/lem/td2knt/tornadoes.html">http://bsch.simplenet.com/lem/td2knt/tornadoes.html</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Also an assortment of pics from various days, which i have thrown onto this 
page</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><A 
href="http://bsch.simplenet.com/lem/td2knt/newpics.html">http://bsch.simplenet.com/lem/td2knt/newpics.html</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
X-Originating-IP: [203.54.88.244]
From: "S G" <thunderday191 at hotmail.com>
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: interesting adelaide radar!!!
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 18:03:37 +1030
X-OriginalArrivalTime: 10 Dec 2000 07:33:37.0528 (UTC) FILETIME=[82706F80:01C0627B]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<x-flowed>
Interesting Adelaide radar with a line of very heavy showers or possible 
thunderstorms although no lightning on lightning tracker appearing just east 
and north east of Kangaroo Island.  I wonder if much of this rain is 
actually reaching sea level though or is it upper level stuff?  Still it's 
interesting and there is still the chance of rain in Adelaide possibly some 
thunder, although possibiliteis are low.
_____________________________________________________________________________________
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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: 10000 mm of rain near Cairns
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 07:59:27 GMT
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On Sat, 09 Dec 2000 23:08:48 +1100, Ben Munro <benjamin at biosys.net>
wrote:

>When did the station on top of Bellenden Ker start reporting?

1959.

Greetings list -- I'm back.

-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather News & Links
http://ausweather.simplenet.com
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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Steve Cselka" <sselka at ozemail.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Car stickers
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 19:48:35 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Jane:
how about all members are given one?

Steve

----- Original Message -----
From: "Jane ONeill" <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
To: "Aussie-wx" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Sunday, 10 December 2000 5:04:pm
Subject: aus-wx: Car stickers


> Dear all,
>
> The ASWA car stickers will be available during January.  The design has
> been improved since the initial test and now includes an easily readable
> ASWA URL.  I will email the list as soon as the stickers are ready to go
> - please set aside a few Christmas $$ until then.
>
> Jane
>
> --------------------------------
> Jane ONeill - Melbourne
> cadence at stormchasers.au.com
>
> ASWA - Victoria / Tasmania
> http://www.severeweather.asn.au
> --------------------------------
>
>
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>  message.
>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 21:32:07 +1100
From: Jane ONeill <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I)
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To: Aussie-wx <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: More TDU2K images
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Evening all,

The 3rd page of TDU2K images is up - that's it till I get the last roll
of film (which is still in the camera) developed next weekend.
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/tdu2kjon3.htm

I've also put up some of the pics taken before I left in November - the
first one on this page is Chris Daley's great shot of lightning on Mt
Dandenong!!!!
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/11_00.htm

Enjoy!!

--------------------------------
Jane ONeill - Melbourne
cadence at stormchasers.au.com

Melbourne Storm Chasers
http://www.stormchasers.au.com

ASWA - Victoria
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
--------------------------------


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Paul Mossman" <ntstorms at bigpond.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: RE: aus-wx: 10000 mm of rain near Cairns
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 20:10:13 +0930
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Importance: Normal
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

welcome back Laurier - you were certainly missed! Hope you had a pleasant
break.

Now time for one of your informative posts please!! :)

Paul in Darwin.

-----Original Message-----
From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
[mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Laurier
Williams
Sent: Sunday, 10 December 2000 5:29 PM
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: 10000 mm of rain near Cairns


On Sat, 09 Dec 2000 23:08:48 +1100, Ben Munro <benjamin at biosys.net>
wrote:

>When did the station on top of Bellenden Ker start reporting?

1959.

Greetings list -- I'm back.

--
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather News & Links
http://ausweather.simplenet.com
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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Michael Thompson" <michaelt at ozemail.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Unlikely model run - holy supercells Batman
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 23:40:07 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

For those who like to dabble in the models the NGP for next Thursday -
Friday is screaming supercells. However the MSL chart looks very unlikely
for this time of year.

Please note that at 144 hours out models are not terribly reliable and this
message is just for the interest of the group, I am in no way endorsing the
models forecast or the chance of supercells. If it where 48 hours out I
might have more faith. Another thing to be wary of is there will be a lot of
cloud through the all levels too.

Michael Thompson
http://thunder.simplenet.com


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Michael Thompson" <michaelt at ozemail.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Sydney max temp forecasts
Date: Sun, 10 Dec 2000 23:18:29 +1100
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I can be sure of one thing, a forecast for storms 4 
days in a row never comes true this far south on the coast. The seabreeze I 
agree is probably going to play a part, but even then if the NW is strong enough 
the&nbsp;NE often gets blow back late in the day and the temperature 
soars.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Either way it should be an interesting couple of 
days.</FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Op</FONT><FONT face=Arial size=2>tion 3: Perhaps 
they are expecting a very strong seabreeze to keep temps down on the coast. 
This, to me, seems the most logical explanation, given the reasons above, but I 
am still not entirely convinced it will remain this low. GASP is going for 850 
temps of 23C on Tuesday, so even with the seabreeze, western Sydney should get 
well into the mid 30s I would have thought. </FONT></DIV>
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