Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 00:57:44 +1030 From: Nathan Thompson X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.75 [en] (Win95; U) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Bored in Adelaide!!! Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi SG, Ah well, we have had many of bad luck so far this year. Last month of November we had too many high pressure going across the bight to keep cooler or milder change away. And causes all storms to stay in North. So I am really hoping that Next Year in Year 2001 for improving in weather, more good thunderstorms rather than this year. Although for November I have 3 thunderdays for my area in Northeastern suburbs anyway. Cross finger for any weather this month maybe next week or later on this month to bring thunderstorms to greater Adelaide rather than just Northern suburbs or Mid-North of South Australia. From Nathan. naththo at one.net.au http://severestorm.tripod.com/index.html S G wrote: > Well here in Adelaide the weather has been very very boring lately. At Kent > Town no rain above a Tce on one day has been recorded for abuot 23 days now. > This is quite a turn around from all of the rain we had in winter and > September and October. I really expected spring to bring some good storm > activity to Adelaide but we've only had one in early November which wasn't > all that great. > > I am interested in the cold front currently approaching Adelaide, although > it is weakening slightly it still has some thunderstorm activity associated > with it currently in the Bight region. The cloud band isn't crash hot and > looks rather similar to the cool change we had on Tuesday which produced > absolutely nothing here in Adelaide. I am surprised BOM hasn't forecast any > storms for anywhere in SA I thought they would at least say there is a > possibility. Obviously there is not much moisture around. The change is > meant to reach Adelaide around midnight it would be great if even the > smallest display of lightning could develop with it to produce an > interesting night, this is me getting really desperate for some action. > Anyway the monsoon development and the possibility of a tropical cyclone > developing over the weekend is still pretty interesting if nothing happens > here in little old Adelaide. > _____________________________________________________________________________________ > Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 01:43:15 +1000 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Carl Smith Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC Watch now extends South to Broome WA - BoM underestimating Low's Pressure ? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. >New warning out....seems like it's STILL intensifying over land!!!!! >currently the Darwin BoM estimate it to be 995 hPa. It will be interesting >to see what it does when it moves over open water! :) Looking at the 3pm Obs >for WA Kalumburu had 991.1 hPa, Derby 998.1 hPa, and Broome well SW of the >Low has 998.4 hPa......Could the BoM be underestimating this lows strength >???? With the low moving at 20km/h to the W/SW looks like it may move >offshore overnight or early Tuesday. Broome has now been put on a TC Watch >and the Warning now extends from Kalumburu to Cape Leveque. It could quite easily be deeper that they think, as there is a general lack of instrumentation in the area, however on the satpic it seems to have lost some of the organisation it had earlier, and now the BoM has it at 996 hPa. The TC Warning has been extended to Broome and the TC Watch to LaGrange/Bidyadanga, and it could be over water again soon if takes a slightly more W track now it is near the coast. Looks like you guys in Karratha may need to batten down the hatches in a day or two! >JTWC doesn't seem very interested atm since they have not updated the Indian >Ocean Tropical Advisory since Saturday night. They seem to be asleep! >Regards >JJ >Karratha WA >www.karrathaweather.org Regards, Carl. Latest Advice: IDW50D21 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY Northern Territory Region Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 15 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN at 11:13 pm CST [9:43 pm WST] Monday 4 December 2000 A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities between MITCHELL PLATEAU and BROOME in Western Australia. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to LAGRANGE/BIDYADANGA. The CYCLONE WARNING between KALUMBURU and MITCHELL PLATEAU has been cancelled. At 11 pm CST [9.30pm WST] a Tropical Low was located over land 90 kilometres southeast of KURI BAY and 390 kilometres east northeast of BROOME, moving west southwest at 25 kilometres per hour. The low is expected to continue moving west southwest over the north Kimberley region tonight and move offshore near CAPE LEVEQUE early tomorrow. Strong squally winds with gusts to 70 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced over the north Kimberley region, however these will gradually ease during Tuesday in the east. GALES with gusts to 90 kilometres per hour may develop on the coast between MITCHELL PLATEAU and BROOME on Tuesday as the low moves offshore and intensifies. HEAVY RAIN is likely to cause FLOODING over the north Kimberley region overnight and Tuesday. Details of the Tropical Low at 11.00 pm CST [9.30 pm WST]: . Centre located near....... 16.0 degrees South 125.2 degrees East . Location accuracy......... within 90 kilometres . Recent movement........... west southwest at 25 kilometres per hour . Wind gusts near centre.... 70 kilometres per hour . Central pressure.......... 996 hectoPascals REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current between MITCHELL PATEAU and BROOME in Western Australia. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to LAGRANGE/BIDYADANGA. The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 am CST [12.30 am WST]. This advice is available on telephone 1300 659 211. MEDIA: The following message is only for broadcast to areas in Western Australia. The WA State Emergency Service wishes to advise a BLUE ALERT is current for coastal and Island communities from Mitchell Plateau to Broome, including the communities of Kuri Bay, Koolan Island, Cockatoo Island, Derby, Cape Leveque, One Arm Point, Djarindjin, Lonbadina, Beagle Bay and Broome. For further information contact WA State Emergency Service. DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Carl Smith. Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia. Email: carls at ace-net.com.au Internet: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm Current Cyclone information: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm Cyclone Tracking Maps: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm or: http://cyclones.50megs.com/maps/TCMaps.htm Tropical Cyclone Archives: http://cyclones.50megs.com/ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Originating-IP: [203.109.250.97] From: "Paul Graham" To: Subject: aus-wx: Bureau's Cyclone Products Confusing... Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 08:16:42 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 X-OriginalArrivalTime: 04 Dec 2000 21:13:21.0412 (UTC) FILETIME=[07D70C40:01C05E37] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Everyone, I think the Bureau should not be putting the tropical cyclone warning and watches in their cyclone outlook product as it is only updated once a day and leads to the following confusing situation. If you were to open their outlook product, you would see: "A CYCLONE WARNING is current between Kalumburu and Koolan Island" However, if you now look at their cyclone advice product, it reads: "A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between KALUMBURU and BROOME in Western Australia." Either that, or they should update all their cyclone products at the same time. - Paul G. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: mbath at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.0 Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 08:10:23 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Michael Bath Subject: aus-wx: TDU2K - data archives Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I'm uploading all the satpix, radar etc I saved over the past 2 weeks during TDU2K chase. I'll let you know when and where to download them from. cheers, Michael ============================================================= Michael Bath mailto:mbath at ozemail.com.au McLeans Ridges http://australiasevereweather.com/ NE NSW Australia http://www.lightningphotography.com/ ASWA Secretary http://www.severeweather.asn.au/ ============================================================= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 07:05:29 +1000 To: Aussie Weather List From: Carl Smith Subject: aus-wx: JTWC issues TCFA for Low now off Kimberley coast. Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. After ignoring this system all weekend, JTWC has finally issued a TCFA alert for it! Also it is now back over water near Kuri Bay - it was relocated by the BoM just inland from the coast NE of where it was previously thought to be earlier this morning, and is now forecast to intensify and move W. The METSAT image at ftp://ftp.jcu.edu.au/JCUMetSat/ausvlast.gif is showing increased activity. BoM TCA#17 and JTWC TCFA pasted below. Regards, Carl. IDW50D21 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY Northern Territory Region Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 17 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN at 5:00 am CST [3:30 am WST] Tuesday 5 December 2000 A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between KALUMBURU and BROOME in Western Australia. At 5.00 am CST [3.30am WST] a Tropical Low was located near the northwest Kimberley coast 180 kilometres west southwest of KULUMBURU and 480 kilometres northeast of BROOME, moving west at 15 kilometres per hour. The low is expected to continue moving west and be offshore shortly. Strong squally winds with gusts to 80 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced over the north Kimberley region. These will gradually ease today in the east. GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour may develop on the coast between KALUMBURU and BROOME today as the low intensifies offshore. HEAVY RAIN is likely to cause FLOODING over the north Kimberley region today. Details of the Tropical Low at 5 am CST [3.30 am WST]: . Centre relocated near....... 14.7 degrees South 125.1 degrees East . Location accuracy......... within 60 kilometres . Recent movement........... west at 15 kilometres per hour . Wind gusts near centre.... 80 kilometres per hour . Central pressure.......... 995 hectoPascals REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current between KALUMBURU and BROOME in Western Australia. The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 8.30 am CST [7.00 am WST] by the Bureau of Meteorology PERTH. This advice is available on telephone 1300 659 211. MEDIA: The following message is only for broadcast to areas in Western Australia. The WA State Emergency Service wishes to advise a BLUE ALERT is current for coastal and Island communities from Kalumburu to Broome, including the communities of Kalumburu, Kuri Bay, Koolan Island, Cockatoo Island, Derby, Cape Leveque, One Arm Point, Djarindjin, Lonbadina, Beagle Bay and Broome. For further information contact WA State Emergency Service. DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre 580 WTXS21 PGTW 041700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 041651Z DEC 00// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 155 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8S3 125.9E7 TO 15.3S9 118.1E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 041630Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 125.5E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ENHANCED INFRARED ANIMATION DEPICTS RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION JUST OFF OF THE KIMBERLEY COAST NEAR KURI BAY, WESTERN AUSTRALIA. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER LAND JUST SOUTH OF KURI BAY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BENEATH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 051700Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 09:26:04 +1100 From: Matt Smith X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.76 [en] (Win98; U) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Couple of good storm days for the Sydney Area? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Looking at the models this yesterday and again this morning, I think there will be a good chance of thunderstorms, possibly severe on Weds/Thurs in NSW, especially Illawarra/Sydney/Hunter/and the Tablelands.Extending up into the north of the state towards the weekend. I guess the only 2 things that can affect some storms tomorrow, are if the weak SE change comes through too early (which looks doubtful) or if cloud covers over, which also looks unlikely as upper winds in QLD are taking the cloud which is comming from the tropical low away to the ENE. LI is going fo -4 in on Weds and -6 on Thurs.I can only remember AVN increasing LI with each model run on 2 other occasions, both of which produced storms. There is a nice Jet comming through of around 60-70 knots from the SW, the NE will be comming in at the sfc and 500 temps are -16, which will be good for hail! Anyway, we will see what happens, but take your camera's wherever you go the next few days around Sydney, should be an interesting couple of days comming up! Of course now that all this has been said, nothing will happen. Matthew Smith http://www.sydneystormchasers.com ASWA Committee Member http://www.severeweather.asn.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2000 18:59:13 -0500 From: "Leslie R. Lemon" Subject: aus-wx: Darwin Waterspouts To: "INTERNET:aussie-weather at world.std.com" X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id TAA11504 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Ben Quinn wrote: > I have uploaded a couple of pics of one of the waterspouts - they were taken > about 20 seconds apart, using around 300mm of zoom in very high humidity, so > the quality is not the best, but it is obviously a waterspout These are obviously NOT typical waterspouts. Both photos show a large, broad funnel and not that typically associated with waterspouts. The second photo reveals a funnel that is large and truncated extending downward from a lowered cloud base. The 'typical' waterspout is a narrow funnel, extending downward from a towering cumulus having a rather high base, along with a needle-like tip sometimes touching the sea surface where there is a sea surface spray vortex. (These are very much like "landspouts", for obvious reasons. ) Otherwise, at times, the waterspout is almost a translucent tube. In this case it appears there was a very low "LFC" or Level of Free Convection" which is the level where the air parcel within the updraft reaches the point (level) from which it rises and accelerates upward. The environmental parameter most highly correlated with tornadoes is not shear, nor CAPE, nor LI, nor anything else but the LFC. Les ************************ Leslie R. Lemon Radar, Severe Storms, & Research Meteorologist Tel. 816-373-3533, 816-213-3237 E-Mail: lrlemon at compuserve.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: mbath at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.0 Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 11:48:59 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Michael Bath Subject: aus-wx: TDU2K satpics and radar Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, I've finished uploading all the satellite images and radar I have saved for the period 17/11 to 04/12 http://australiasevereweather.com/TDU2K/ All times are UTC. You can plot LI, CAPE, wind etc. maps for the last 2 months from here: http://sgi62.wwb.noaa.gov:8080/cgi-bin/disp_6hr_gdas.sh and select pgb.ctl regards, Michael ============================================================= Michael Bath mailto:mbath at ozemail.com.au McLeans Ridges http://australiasevereweather.com/ NE NSW Australia http://www.lightningphotography.com/ ASWA Secretary http://www.severeweather.asn.au/ ============================================================= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Paul Yole" To: "Aussie Weather" Subject: aus-wx: Herald Sun article today Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 14:45:34 +1100 Organization: ASWA Victoria X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey all, This is kind of off topic, but it is weather related. http://www.angelfire.com/ok3/pauly78/paper.jpg PaulY Paul Yole Aswa Victoria 0418 369 256 pyole at australia.edu Attachment Converted: back10.gif: 00000001,46519e1d,00000000,00000000 Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\Paul Yole.vcf" From: "Bradley Filmer" To: Subject: aus-wx: TC is named........ Sam ! :-) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 13:22:15 +0800 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook 8.5, Build 4.71.2173.0 Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com It is official. BOM Perth has named the first TC of the Season on the 5th of December. TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 20 Issued at 12:55 pm WST on Tuesday, 5 December 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A WARNING is current for a Category 1 tropical cyclone for the coastal and island communities between Kalumburu and Broome. A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Wallal. At noon WST Tropical Cyclone Sam was located 135 kilometres north of Kuri Bay and 340 kilometres north northeast of Derby and moving west at 10 kilometres per hour. Gales with gusts to 90 kilometres per hour are expected on the coast between Kalumburu and Kuri Bay today. The gales may develop in the Cape Leveque area tonight and extend southwards to Broome tomorrow if the cyclone changes course towards the south. Details of Tropical Cyclone Sam at noon WST. Location of centre : within 60 kilometres of Latitude 14.3 South Longtitude 124.3 East. Recent movement : West at 10 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 993 hPa. Maximum wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour near the centre. Severity category : 1 Cheers Bradley Filmer Sys Admin and Apps specialist Perth Aust. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Originating-IP: [198.142.93.155] From: "Shaun Whelan" To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Couple of good storm days for the Sydney Area? Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 16:48:56 +1100 X-OriginalArrivalTime: 05 Dec 2000 05:48:56.0910 (UTC) FILETIME=[0ED56EE0:01C05E7F] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com The storms will start tomorrow afternoon around the Nowra area with hail,major electrical activity and a tornado or two. It will be super cellular and be talked about for years. Why do I know this? Because I will be on duty at work doing fire sentry as the lightning will cause a blackout at work, rendering the fire alarm system kaput. Almost like late October when the last big one came through and I was on duty. Such is life Shaun Nowra Sunny _____________________________________________________________________________________ Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 16:16:26 +1000 To: Aussie Weather List From: Carl Smith Subject: aus-wx: TC WATCH GULF of CARPENTARIA Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. The BoM Qld has issued a TC Watch for the Gulf of Carpentaria between Nhulunbuy and Mornington Island. Links to all warnings etc for this system and TC Sam WA, with a map showing the location of both, are on my website at: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm Details pasted below. Regards, Carl. IDW50Q00 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY Queensland Region Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this message. PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1 Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane For 1345 EST on Tuesday the 5th of December 2000 A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities between Nhulunbuy and Mornington Island. A low is centred near Latitude 12.5 South Longitude 141.0 East, which is about 90 kilometres West of Weipa and 480 kilometres NNE of Mornington Island. The Low has been moving SW at 30 km/h but is expected to slow and move WSW in the next 12 to 24 hours. The low has an estimated central pressure of 1002 hPa and maximum wind gusts to 75 kilometres per hour near the centre. People between Nhulunbuy and Mornington Island may be affected late Wednesday or Thursday and should consider what action they may need to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service. The next Advice will be issued at 5pm EST. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Carl Smith. Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia. Email: carls at ace-net.com.au Internet: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm Current Cyclone information: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm Cyclone Tracking Maps: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm or: http://cyclones.50megs.com/maps/TCMaps.htm Tropical Cyclone Archives: http://cyclones.50megs.com/ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: bayns at mail.broad.net.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 17:03:11 +1000 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: steve baynham Subject: aus-wx: space station views Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com hi all, found this. looks awesome from up there! not sure where this is though or when it is http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=4436 Steve Baynham http://www.angelfire.com/ok/gany Australian Severe Weather Association http://www.severeweather.asn.au Brisbane Storm Chasers http://www.bsch.simplenet.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Dane Newman" To: Subject: aus-wx: Mt Beauty Storm Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 18:22:31 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Thunderstorm came through the area between 4..30pm and 5.15pm, very little rain, frequent lightning mostly cc but one or two cg's. Almost continual thunder. Dane Newman (Tawonga Sth) near Mt Beauty-NE Victoria. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "bussie" To: "weather list" Subject: aus-wx: Bit of activity Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 19:35:09 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com After a very warm 37 here today a few very light showers have passed here with less than half a mill falling. Bit of rumbling but nothing much. Looks to be a bit heavier around the Albury/Wodonga area. Currently a pretty gusty westerly following it and still 30 degrees. Bussie (NE Victoria) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 21:16:18 +1100 From: David Carroll X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.74 [en] (Win98; U) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie Weather Subject: aus-wx: Wagga Storm Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 9.15pm 05/12 Anybody watching the Wagga loop radar,, seems to be a line of storms moving NE.. quite abit of lightning activity as well.. Dave Bathurst +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 21:24:28 +1100 From: Jane ONeill X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie-wx Subject: aus-wx: TDU2K images Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Evening all, I've loaded quick shots of digicam images taken on TDU2K at http://www.stormchasers.au.com/tdu2kjon1.htm I'll scan the photographs next week (5 rolls to be developed), & the video stills sometime after that. Keep your eyes open for the reports from the rest of the TDU2K travellers as they get home. There'll be some absolutely stunning shots to come from them!!! Enjoy! Jane PS: Nick - could I pleeeeaaase have a copy of the pic you took of me sitting in the middle of the road????????? -------------------------------- Jane ONeill - Melbourne cadence at stormchasers.au.com Melbourne Storm Chasers http://www.stormchasers.au.com ASWA - Victoria http://www.severeweather.asn.au -------------------------------- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Authentication-Warning: new-smtp1.ihug.com.au: Host p48-max41.syd.ihug.com.au [203.173.147.176] claimed to be storm.ihug.com.au X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.0 Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2000 21:44:09 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara Subject: aus-wx: AMOS meeting Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com A.M.O.S. SYDNEY CENTRE - WEATHERWATCH GROUP NEWSLETTER NUMBER 00-12 - DECEMBER 2000 The Next Meeting of the AMOS Weatherwatch Group will be on Wednesday 13th December 2000 at 7:30pm (19:30) at Macquarie University, Building E5A, Room 143 (E5A-143). Expensive Parking is available in University Car-Parks see notes below. This meeting will be an opportunity to discuss the Recent Chases to Northern N.S.W. and Queensland. Also Mr. Jimmy Deguara and Team will have returned from their Storm Chasing Holiday and will present a report on 'Highlights and Lowlights of Severe Storms in the North.' and will introduce photos, video, and data from this outing. Jimmy will answer questions and offer his comments on the Recent N.S.W. Floods and some spectacular recent Storms. Visitors are very welcome. Discussion will follow the presentation, and light refreshments will be available during the meeting. At this meeting of Weatherwatch be careful about your parking, fees have changed to be $1.00 for the first hour, then three more dollars for two, three or four hours, and a MAXIMUM OF $5.00 If you want to stay until midnight. Sorry folks, it will cost you $4.00. You can run outside and pay a dollar every hour if you wish. IF YOU HAVE INFORMATION about the N.S.W. or Mackay Floods, recent weather, news, data, or photographs, PLEASE PARTICIPATE. Enquiries PTO >>>>>>>> Alan Williams (02)9488.9975 Paul Graham (02)9888.2527 Jimmy Deguara (02)9627.1943 Roger Nurse (02)9449.1473 Future dates of the next AMOS Weatherwatch Meetings for 2001 will be discussed. Possibly Wednesday 24th or 31st January 2001 at this stage. There should be a few more storms in the meantime. Other 2001 Weatherwatch Meeting Dates could be discussed. Please bring any suggestions to this December Meeting. Recent Meetings. At the last Weatherwatch Meeting on Wednesday 22nd of November David Seagrove brought us data from three years in U.K. and news of the recent floods. Alan Williams brought an extract on the Storm of November 1703 in SE England and the English Channel. The AMOS Meeting at the Bureau in Sydney on Wednesday 8th November featured Dr. Tom Keenan, and was on Nowcasting. This uses all available data as input, and was applied to the storm of Friday 3rd November 2000. This meeting included the AGM and Election of the Committee. The only change was the election of Dr. Gail Box as an extra Committee Member. The Christmas Function is a Picnic at Observatory Hill at 7:00pm(19:00) on Friday 8th December 2000. Recent Weather Wet November in Sydney, but Annual Rainfall well below average. Floods at Tamworth, Narrabri, Walgett, and floods predicted for many places in Northern N.S.W. Floods at MacKay. Heavy Snow and Avalanches in Europe. Cold and famine in North Korea. Wishing all our members and friends a safe, interesting Spring season. Today's Quiz Question is the same as last time. What are the changes in the headings between Newsletter 00-11 and 00-12. No prizes. Feel proud of your powers of observation. Tell Roger or Alan or Paul. Regards Roger T. Nurse, News Editor 30th November 2000 ----------------------------------------- Jimmy Deguara Storm Chaser and Mathematics Teacher from Schofields, Sydney NSW Australia e-mail:jdeguara at ihug.com.au Web Page with Michael Bath Australian Severe Weather Home Page http://www.australiasevereweather.com President of the Australian Severe Weather Association http://www.severeweather.asn.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "clyve herbert" To: Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC is named........ Sam ! :-) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 21:53:47 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all. Sam! they could have thought up a more original name,maybe if the area north of Yirrkala develops they could call that system the " son of Sam."...... regards Clyve H. ----- Original Message ----- From: Bradley Filmer To: Sent: Tuesday, December 05, 2000 4:22 PM Subject: aus-wx: TC is named........ Sam ! :-) > It is official. BOM Perth has named the first TC of the Season on the 5th of > December. > > > TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 20 > Issued at 12:55 pm WST on Tuesday, 5 December 2000 > BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY > TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH > > A WARNING is current for a Category 1 tropical cyclone for the coastal and > island communities between Kalumburu and Broome. > > A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Wallal. > > At noon WST Tropical Cyclone Sam was located 135 kilometres north of Kuri > Bay > and 340 kilometres north northeast of Derby and moving west at 10 kilometres > per > hour. > Gales with gusts to 90 kilometres per hour are expected on the coast between > Kalumburu and Kuri Bay today. The gales may develop in the Cape Leveque > area > tonight and extend southwards to Broome tomorrow if the cyclone changes > course > towards the south. > > Details of Tropical Cyclone Sam at noon WST. > > Location of centre : within 60 kilometres of > Latitude 14.3 South Longtitude 124.3 East. > Recent movement : West at 10 kilometres per hour. > Central Pressure : 993 hPa. > Maximum wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour near the centre. > Severity category : 1 > > > Cheers > Bradley Filmer > Sys Admin and Apps specialist > Perth Aust. > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Patrick Tobin" To: "Aussie-wx" Subject: aus-wx: Canberra lightning Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 22:20:25 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.5 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com At 10pm, the sky is very lightning active to the south of Canberra. Looks like at least a flash per second for sustained periods. The radar image and lightning tracker shows a very long line of storms extending from South Western NSW between Mildura and Menindee through to the coast off Bega then extending south to northern Tasmanian latitudes. Should be an interesting night for Canberra and early morning for Sydney. Current temp in Canberra is 22 (DP 12). Cooma shows a temp of 15, having collected 12mm from the storms - so would anticipate a temp drop of around 5-7 degrees when the front comes through. Patrick PS the BOM deserves credit for hanging in with the storm forecast through today. Particularly as activity looked well capped this afternoon and even the storms in Vic didn't really fire until late afternoon. The AVN model suggests that tomorrow looks a much better proposition with LI of almost -4 and CAPE near 800 and Thursday looks good as well - but not quite as good as tomorrow. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Michael Thompson" To: Subject: Re: aus-wx: Couple of good storm days for the Sydney Area? Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 23:08:10 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Actually Shaun the good ole SE ( Storm Eradicator ) will move through before any convection can occur. Transfer to Williamtown for the day. However, a storm is a possibility tonight. Michael ----- Original Message ----- From: "Shaun Whelan" To: Sent: Tuesday, 5 December 2000 16:48 Subject: Re: aus-wx: Couple of good storm days for the Sydney Area? > The storms will start tomorrow afternoon around the Nowra area with > hail,major electrical activity and a tornado or two. It will be super > cellular and be talked about for years. Why do I know this? Because I will > be on duty at work doing fire sentry as the lightning will cause a blackout > at work, rendering the fire alarm system kaput. Almost like late October > when the last big one came through and I was on duty. > Such is life > Shaun Nowra Sunny > > > ____________________________________________________________________________ _________ > Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Michael Thompson" To: Subject: aus-wx: Thursday CAPE in Wollongong Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 23:22:59 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Now this is something I find hard to credit. AVN are going for a small bullseye of CAPE around 2200 right over Wollongong for 06Z on Thursday. I would like to see that ! I even have the day free to chase. Remember however that under the Immutable laws of storm chasing the region of CAPE and LI always moves NW, so Lithgow be prepared. Michael Thompson http://thunder.simplenet.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Ben Quinn" To: Subject: Re: aus-wx: space station views Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2000 20:50:16 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Steve, everyone Awesome shot! These are also worth a look - taken by Jason Rainforest on the way back from Darwin yesterday afternoon http://bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/04-12-200001.jpg http://bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/04-12-200002.jpg http://bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/lem/04-12-200003.jpg BTW - the rest of sundays tornado pictures have been delayed - they were actually left in Darwin by accident, so we are just waiting for them to be emailed over ----- Original Message ----- From: "steve baynham" To: Sent: Tuesday, December 05, 2000 5:03 PM Subject: aus-wx: space station views > hi all, > found this. looks awesome from up there! > not sure where this is though or when it is > http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=4436 > Steve Baynham > http://www.angelfire.com/ok/gany > > Australian Severe Weather Association > http://www.severeweather.asn.au > > Brisbane Storm Chasers > http://www.bsch.simplenet.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------