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Storm News
[Index][Aussie-Wx] |
Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Saturday, 1 April 2000 |
From Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 Jane ONeill [cadence at rubix.net.au] Victorian rain
002 "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au] Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
003 "Gary Mallett" [gary_mallett at hotmail.com] Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
004 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] TC Tessie Has Formed!!!
005 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] CYCLONE TESSI #1
006 paulmoss at tpgi.com.au Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
007 "Gary Mallett" [gary_mallett at hotmail.com] Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
008 davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au ightning Strike Cumnock
009 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Storm Chase Birthday
010 davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au ightning
011 Jane ONeill [cadence at rubix.net.au] Rear Flank Downdraft
012 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
013 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Tessi (22P) map animation.
014 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Hunter Severe Storm
015 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Tessi (22P) map animation updated.
016 paulmoss at tpgi.com.au Severe MultiCell Storm
017 MSC1&2 [cadence at rubix.net.au] Does anyone know?
018 MSC [cadence at rubix.net.au] Australian Storm Chasers page
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001
Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 00:30:08 +1000
From: Jane ONeill [cadence at rubix.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.05 [en] (Win95; I)
To: Aussie-wx [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Victorian rain
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
This may not mean much to those of you who have lately experienced
thunderstorms, tornadoes or heavy rain, but in Victoria we have *needed*
some weather and haven't been getting it. Tonight that's looking a bit
different - there are currently middle level showers around the
metropolitan area (10-20mm/hr to the east & in Bass Strait) & some
serious totals in the southwest of the state.
NEWSFLASH:
Lightning to the SE near Pakenham at midnight!!!!!
By 2355 we had the following rainfall totals in the southwest of the
state....
AireysInlet 6
Cape Otway 16
Casterton 2
Casterton CFA 9
Colac 3
Cp Nelson 8
Dartmoor 9
Hamilton 8
Mortlake 6
Port Fairy 5
Portland 13
Warrnamboo 10
Wilsons Pr 3
Wonthaggi 2
Our Forecast Outlook & Discussion page is on the ball again
PS: ...and Anthony thinks *he* suffers from SDS?????
--------------------------------
Jane ONeill
cadence at rubix.net.au
Melbourne Storm Chasers
http://www.rubix.net.au/~cadence
ASWA - Victoria
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
--------------------------------
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002
From: "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 01:01:57 +1000
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Hi again...just replying to my own email (nothing wrong with me)
JTWC just issued this Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert:
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.6S1 155.3E4 TO 16.9S6
149.7E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT
JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS
TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS.
METSAT IMAGERY AT 311230Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS
LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 154.7E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPID ORGANIZATION OF
CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS REVEALS WEAK
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 200 MB
ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED BENEATH THE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 011500Z7
Regards
James Chambers
>Hi all
>
>Tonight there's a very nice looking tropical low in the Central Coral Sea.
>It's quite large in size (bigger than TC Rona or Steve ever was) and it has
>good outflow and there doesn't appear to be a large amount of shear. Of
>course, it could all suddenly die in a heap and fool me completely - we'll
>see! I just checked NGP and I don't believe what it shows - it only has
the
>low at 1008hpa and not really doing anything apart from moving west.
>
>By the way, if this low develops into a TC what will it be called? I've got
>info that says it'll be called "Tessi" but Jacob from Perth (sorry to
>incriminate you!) has info that it'll be called "Tania".
>
>It'll be worth watching anyway.
>
>Regards
>
>James Chambers
>The Brisbane & SE Qld Storm Site
>http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html
>
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> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
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003
X-Originating-IP: [198.142.183.173]
From: "Gary Mallett" [gary_mallett at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 10:06:00 EST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>From the latest satellite picture it looks like both lows are really
starting to get their act together (there's a second near New Caledonia
moving west).
Perhaps the first advice from the Bureau is not too far away.
Today is afterall the 1st April. Not just April fools day but the day the
low that was to develop into Cyclone Aivu started to get it's act together.
Severe TC Aivu (category 4) hit the town of Ayr on 4th April 1989. I lived
there then and it is a day I'll never forget. According to my plotting if
Tessi or Tania or whover she may be continues on her current track she may
also pay Ayr a friendly visit!
>From: "James Chambers"
>Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>To:
>Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
>Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 01:01:57 +1000
>
>Hi again...just replying to my own email (nothing wrong with me)
>
>JTWC just issued this Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert:
>RMKS/
>1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
>150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.6S1 155.3E4 TO 16.9S6
>149.7E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT
>JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS
>TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS.
>METSAT IMAGERY AT 311230Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS
>LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 154.7E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD
>AT 08 KNOTS.
>2. REMARKS:
>ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPID ORGANIZATION OF
>CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS REVEALS WEAK
>VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 200 MB
>ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED BENEATH THE UPPER-
>LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30
>KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE
>POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
>WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD.
>3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 011500Z7
>
>Regards
>James Chambers
>
>
> >Hi all
> >
> >Tonight there's a very nice looking tropical low in the Central Coral
>Sea.
> >It's quite large in size (bigger than TC Rona or Steve ever was) and it
>has
> >good outflow and there doesn't appear to be a large amount of shear. Of
> >course, it could all suddenly die in a heap and fool me completely -
>we'll
> >see! I just checked NGP and I don't believe what it shows - it only has
>the
> >low at 1008hpa and not really doing anything apart from moving west.
> >
> >By the way, if this low develops into a TC what will it be called? I've
>got
> >info that says it'll be called "Tessi" but Jacob from Perth (sorry to
> >incriminate you!) has info that it'll be called "Tania".
> >
> >It'll be worth watching anyway.
> >
> >Regards
> >
> >James Chambers
> >The Brisbane & SE Qld Storm Site
> >http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html
> >
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>to:majordomo at world.std.com
> > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> > message.
> > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
> >
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
004
Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 11:05:42 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Tessie Has Formed!!!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi all,
IDW50Q00
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with
this
message.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
For 11am EST on Saturday the 1st of April 2000
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal and island communities
between Cape Melville and Townsville.
At 11am, Tropical Cyclone Tessi, Category 1, was centred near latitude
15.5 South longitude 153.3 East, which is 880 kilometres east of
Cooktown.
The cyclone is expected to move west-southwest towards the coast and
slowly
intensify.
Gales are not expected on the coast and islands before Sunday night.
People between Cape Melville and Townsville should consider action they
will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases and listen to the next
advice at
5pm.
--
Anthony Cornelius
Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
14 Kinsella St
Belmont, Brisbane
QLD, 4153
Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm
reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
005
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 11:14:15 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: CYCLONE TESSI #1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
Cyclone Tessi has formed in the Coral Sea.
Here is BoM TCA #1
Carl.
>IDW50Q00
>BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
>Queensland Region
>Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
>
>Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
>message.
>
>
>PRIORITY
>TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
>Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
>For 11am EST on Saturday the 1st of April 2000
>
>A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal and island communities
>between Cape Melville and Townsville.
>
>At 11am, Tropical Cyclone Tessi, Category 1, was centred near latitude
>15.5 South longitude 153.3 East, which is 880 kilometres east of Cooktown.
>
>The cyclone is expected to move west-southwest towards the coast and slowly
>intensify.
>
>Gales are not expected on the coast and islands before Sunday night.
>
>People between Cape Melville and Townsville should consider action they will
>need to take if the cyclone threat increases and listen to the next advice at
>5pm.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
006
From: paulmoss at tpgi.com.au
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 10:50:52 +0930
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
X-mailer: Pegasus Mail for Win32 (v3.12a)
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0100,0100,0100Seems that Jacob was wrong.
Times New RomanPRIORITYTROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1Issued by the
Bureau of Meteorology, BrisbaneFor 11am EST on Saturday the 1st of
April 2000A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal and island
communitiesbetween Cape Melville and Townsville. At 11am, Tropical
Cyclone Tessi, Arial
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
007
>Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
>Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 10:06:00 EST
>
>From the latest satellite picture it looks like both lows are really
>starting to get their act together (there's a second near New Caledonia
>moving west).
>Perhaps the first advice from the Bureau is not too far away.
>Today is afterall the 1st April. Not just April fools day but the day the
>low that was to develop into Cyclone Aivu started to get it's act together.
>Severe TC Aivu (category 4) hit the town of Ayr on 4th April 1989. I lived
>there then and it is a day I'll never forget. According to my plotting if
>Tessi or Tania or whover she may be continues on her current track she may
>also pay Ayr a friendly visit!
>
>
>>From: "James Chambers"
>>Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>>To:
>>Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
>>Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 01:01:57 +1000
>>
>>Hi again...just replying to my own email (nothing wrong with me)
>>
>>JTWC just issued this Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert:
>>RMKS/
>>1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
>>150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.6S1 155.3E4 TO 16.9S6
>>149.7E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT
>>JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS
>>TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS.
>>METSAT IMAGERY AT 311230Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS
>>LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 154.7E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD
>>AT 08 KNOTS.
>>2. REMARKS:
>>ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPID ORGANIZATION OF
>>CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS REVEALS WEAK
>>VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 200 MB
>>ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED BENEATH THE UPPER-
>>LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30
>>KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE
>>POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
>>WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD.
>>3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 011500Z7
>>
>>Regards
>>James Chambers
>>
>>
>> >Hi all
>> >
>> >Tonight there's a very nice looking tropical low in the Central Coral
>>Sea.
>> >It's quite large in size (bigger than TC Rona or Steve ever was) and it
>>has
>> >good outflow and there doesn't appear to be a large amount of shear. Of
>> >course, it could all suddenly die in a heap and fool me completely -
>>we'll
>> >see! I just checked NGP and I don't believe what it shows - it only has
>>the
>> >low at 1008hpa and not really doing anything apart from moving west.
>> >
>> >By the way, if this low develops into a TC what will it be called? I've
>>got
>> >info that says it'll be called "Tessi" but Jacob from Perth (sorry to
>> >incriminate you!) has info that it'll be called "Tania".
>> >
>> >It'll be worth watching anyway.
>> >
>> >Regards
>> >
>> >James Chambers
>> >The Brisbane & SE Qld Storm Site
>> >http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html
>> >
>> > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
>> > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail
>>to:majordomo at world.std.com
>> > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of
>>your
>> > message.
>> > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>> >
>>
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>>to:majordomo at world.std.com
>> with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
>> message.
>> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
>______________________________________________________
>Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com
>
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>-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
______________________________________________________
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
008
From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au
Subject: Re: aus-wx:Lightning Strike Cumnock
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 11:25:13 +1000
X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.2 (Intl)|4 November 1999) at 01/04/2000 11:25:14 AM
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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HI there..
Just took phone call for Lightning strike in Cumnock. Has hit one of our
poles and brought wires down.
GPATS Lightning tracker shows lightning near Cumnock Yeoval, Molong areas.
The storm has moved from
Cobar area and now down to area above.
Dave
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
009
X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au
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Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 11:24:14 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Storm Chase Birthday
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi everyone,
Even though the models have not picked it up as much but I think the
atmosphere is in a state destabilisation. We have had widespread
castellanus all morning and now the middle layers are closing in. Sydney
can get something out of this as the cold front is weak and seems to have
stalled and perhaps the prefrontal trough is developing. I noticed on the
satellite picture that some cells seem to b forming along this trough
especially near Mudgee and NW.
Mario and I have therefore decided enough was enough and we will chase and
perhaps stay overnight for tomorrows ideal situation given the jet. We will
see what happens though.
Mario's phone 0409 924 338
my phone 0408 020 468
Let's hope my birthday is a great one
have a great day
Jimmy Deguara
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
010
From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au
Subject: Re: aus-wx:Lightning
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 12:04:10 +1000
X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.2 (Intl)|4 November 1999) at 01/04/2000 12:04:10 PM
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
More lightning now around Trangie, Tottenham areas. .. Heavy rain also in
Orange.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
011
Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 12:22:17 +1000
From: Jane ONeill [cadence at rubix.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.05 [en] (Win95; I)
To: Aussie-wx [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Rear Flank Downdraft
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Interesting to see discussion over the last couple of days about RFD's
(rear flank downdrafts).
Personally I have difficulty coming to terms with a diagrammatic
contortionist view of flow patterns in a supercell (refer some of the 2D
diagrams available in some textbooks), sometimes resembling an image of
a cat that had been kicked in the guts ie: arms, legs and tails
everywhere. Not for me to argue with this theory, nevertheless I
wouldn't say that at some stage or other such airflow patterns may or
may not exist in supercells.
I wish to offer an exercise to all our amateur & professional
meteorologists, weather enthusiasts and 'farmer joes' - could all of you
as individuals describe in your own words what you think an RFD is and
how it operates, and what its causes may be or whether it exists at all.
Kind regards
Clyve Herbert
Amateur Weather Enthusiast
Leopold, Victoria
(by phone)
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
012
X-Sender: jacob at mail.iinet.net.au
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Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 11:06:49 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coral Sea Action: TC Formation Alert (JTWC)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
The Cyclone names list at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.html was wrong.
Eastern Australian Region
It has on the 2nd column
Rona
Sandy
Tessi
and on the 3rd column
Rebecca
Steve
Tania
As Steve was the last cyclone in this region, automaticly Tania should me next,
but that page messed up, Steve should have been where Sandy was.
Jacob
At 10:50 1/04/00 +0930, you wrote:
>
> Seems that Jacob was wrong.
>
> PRIORITYTROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology,
> BrisbaneFor 11am EST on Saturday the 1st of April 2000A Cyclone WATCH has
> been declared for coastal and island communitiesbetween Cape Melville and
> Townsville. At 11am, Tropical Cyclone Tessi, Category 1, was centred near
> latitude 15.5 South longitude 153.3 East, which is 880 kilometres east of
> Cooktown.The cyclone is expected to move west-southwest towards the coast and
> slowlyintensify.Gales are not expected on the coast and islands before Sunday
> night. People between Cape Melville and Townsville should consider action
> they willneed to take if the cyclone threat increases and listen to the next
> advice at5pm.
>
> Hopefully Tessi may be another Steve and sling NW.
>
> Would be coinciding with the next Madden-Juilan pulse due next week.
>
> Paul in a Fab darwin
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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013
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 15:27:01 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Tessi (22P) map animation.
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
I have started a TC Tessi map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TessiAnim.htm
Will update tonight, but ISP congestion could mean this will not be until
around midnight AEST (1400 UTC).
Have pasted the 1st JTWC warning on Tessi (22P) below.
Regards,
Carl.
>424
>WTPS31 PGTW 010300
>IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
>1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI) WARNING NR 001
> 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
> ---
> WARNING POSITION:
> 010000Z1 --- NEAR 15.6S2 153.1E0
> MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
> POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
> POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
> PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
> REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 153.1E0
> ---
> FORECASTS:
> 12 HRS, VALID AT:
> 011200Z4 --- 16.2S9 151.4E1
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 040 NM ELSEWHERE
> VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
> ---
> 24 HRS, VALID AT:
> 020000Z2 --- 16.8S5 149.3E7
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> 050 NM ELSEWHERE
> VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
> ---
> 36 HRS, VALID AT:
> 021200Z5 --- 17.4S2 147.1E3
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
> RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> OVER WATER
> 055 NM ELSEWHERE
> VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
> ---
> EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
> 48 HRS, VALID AT:
> 030000Z3 --- 18.0S9 145.1E1
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
> DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
> RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
> OVER WATER
> 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
> ---
>REMARKS:
>010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.8S4 152.7E5. THE SUSPECT AREA WHICH
>WAS UNDER A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW
>311500), EAST OF THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA, HAS DEVELOPED INTO
>TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI). TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI),
>SITUATED ABOUT 450 NM EAST OF THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA, HAS
>TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE
>WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
>WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY
>ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONVECTIVE
>BAND DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. A 312251Z4 SPECIAL
>SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS SHOWED THE CONVECTION WRAPPING
>IN TOWARD THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
>LOW/MID-LEVEL HIGH SITUATED SOUTHEAST OF NEW CALEDONIA IS EXPECTED
>TO BUILD OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COAST OF AUSTRALIA THROUGH THE
>PERIOD. TC 22P SHOULD TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD.
>THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE BEFORE
>MOVING ONSHORE AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM
>SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING
>SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 311451Z MAR 00 TROPICAL
>CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 311500) NEXT WARNINGS
>AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9). REFER TO
>TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HUDAH) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
>HOURLY UPDATES.//
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
Email: carls at ace-net.com.au
Internet: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone information: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
Cyclone Tracking Maps: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
014
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0 (32)
Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 15:51:21 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Hunter Severe Storm
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 1509 on Saturday the 1st of April 2000
This advice affects people in the following weather districts:
Hunter
Thunderstorms are forecast within the advice area this afternoon. Some of
these are expected to be severe bringing large hailstones, destructive
winds and very heavy rainfall.
A thunderstorm has been observed on radar near Denman is possibly severe.
This thunderstorm is moving eastwards at about 40 km/hr.
Matt Smith
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
015
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 17:54:34 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Tessi (22P) map animation updated.
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
The TC Tessi map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TessiAnim.htm has been upbated to BoM
TCA#2.
Will update tonight around midnight AEST (1400 UTC).
Have pasted BoM TCA#2 below.
Regards,
Carl.
>IDW50Q00
>BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
>Queensland Region
>Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
>
>Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
>message.
>
>
>PRIORITY
>TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 2
>Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
>For 5pm EST on Saturday the 1st of April 2000
>
>A Cyclone WATCH has been issued for coastal and island communities
>between Cape Melville and Bowen.
>
>At 5pm, Tropical Cyclone Tessi, Category 1, was centred near latitude
>16.1 South longitude 152.7 East, which is 790 kilometres eastsoutheast of
>Cooktown and 680 kilometres northeast of Townsville.
>
>The cyclone is expected to move west-southwest towards the coast and intensify
>overnight.
>
>Gales are not expected on the coast and islands before Sunday night.
>
>People between Cape Melville and Bowen should consider action they will
>need to
>take if the cyclone threat increases and listen to the next advice at 11pm.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
Email: carls at ace-net.com.au
Internet: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone information: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
Cyclone Tracking Maps: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
016
From: paulmoss at tpgi.com.au
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Sat, 1 Apr 2000 21:01:25 +0930
Subject: aus-wx: Severe MultiCell Storm
X-mailer: Pegasus Mail for Win32 (v3.12a)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey All.
Currently on the wetlands east of Darwin. 3 strokes of lighting per
second - and stretches from North to South. Is amazing - as usual
radar is down and so I cant tell which way its moving - but I think
its a squall line so its moving westwards and I should expect it
around 12.
Paul in Darwin
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
017
Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 21:47:53 +1000
From: MSC1&2 [cadence at rubix.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.05 [en] (Win95; I)
To: Aussie-wx [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Does anyone know?
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
from: pcochra at attglobal.net
Dear Jane,
Can you tell me if you know of any television/video program past or
present on Australian weather?
If you do, can you please let me know when it was broadcast and what
network or were I can get a copy of the video.
Yours sincerely, PETER COCHRANE
--------------------------------
...does anyone have an answer? I can't remember details of any programs
thanks
Jane
--------------------------------
Jane ONeill
cadence at rubix.net.au
Melbourne Storm Chasers
http://www.rubix.net.au/~cadence
ASWA - Victoria
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
--------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
018
Date: Sat, 01 Apr 2000 22:19:55 +1000
From: MSC [cadence at rubix.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.05 [en] (Win95; I)
To: Aussie-wx [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Australian Storm Chasers page
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Dear all,
A complete directory of active Australian storm chasers has yet to be
done I think - there are a couple overseas...are we as a group
interested in something like this being made available on the
net??....thoughts would be appreciated. For an idea of the sort of
thing I'm thinking of, have a look at
http://thedixons.net/stormtrack/whoswho.asp
Depending on the level of interest we may look at doing something like
this....anyone interested, and have thoughts about the sort of info to
be included eg: photo, best pic ever taken etc.
--------------------------------
Jane ONeill
cadence at rubix.net.au
Melbourne Storm Chasers
http://www.rubix.net.au/~cadence
ASWA - Victoria
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
--------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
| Document: 000401.htm
Updated: 03 June 2000 |
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