Storm News
[Index][Aussie-Wx]
Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Wednesday, 8 March 2000

    From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve map animation update
002 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve map animation updated #54
003 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve map animation updated #55
004 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]                TC Steve Artical (ABC)
005 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve map animation updated #56
006 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Gloria destruction in Madagascar
007 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          Heavy overnight rain around NSW
008 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          Heavy overnight rain around NSW
009 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          Sydneys weather - low cloud - more to come !
010 Susan Puddifer [susanpud at healey.com.au]        Heavy overnight rain around NSW
011 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au             Heavy overnight rain around NSW
012 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Heavy overnight rain around NSW
013 davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au                   Heavy overnight rain around NSW
014 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]              BSCH Picture Update
015 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          Heavy overnight rain around NSW
016 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Coolest Australian summer since 1975/76
017 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Blackheath Rain/Chilly
018 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder
019 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Coolest Australian summer since 1975/76
020 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          Bellenden Ker 1999 Rainfall
021 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]             Blackheath Rain/Chilly
022 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          Rain continues, and flood warning for the Hunter Valley
023 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve map animation updated #59
024 "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com]        Plains going off (again!)
025 "James Pickett" [juxie_69 at hotmail.com]         Sydneys weather- Heavy rain ,windy 
026 "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net]           TC's on collision course?
027 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Heavy overnight rain around NSW
028 "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com]     Plains going off (again!)
029 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve map animation updated #61
030 "Craig Geddes" [CRAIG.GEDDES at Warringah.nsw.go  Sydneys weather- Heavy rain ,windy
031 "dann weatherhead" [weatherhead at ozemail.com.a  Sydneys weather- Heavy rain ,windy 
032 davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au                   TC's on collision course?
033 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve map animation updated #63
034 "Adam Mayo" [oyam at bigpond.com]                 aus:wx -  Sydney weather - Heavy rain, windy
035 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         Heavy overnight rain around NSW
036 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         Bellenden Ker 1999 Rainfall
037 "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net]           Gympie-wx
038 "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net]           Bellenden Ker 1999 Rainfall
039 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve map animation updated #65
040 Ira Fehlberg [jra at upnaway.com]                 ADVICE OUT FOR WA!!!!!!!! check this out!
041 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]    Severe Thunderstorms for Brisbane!!!
042 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]           TV request
043 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]    Severe Thunderstorm Warning for SE QLD!!!
044 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Another rainband coming in from NE
045 Paul Miracki [pmiracki at powerup.com.au]         Severe Thunderstorms for Brisbane!!!
046 "Mac Hill" [mac_hill at hotmail.com]              Check out the lighting tracker :)
047 Ira Fehlberg [jra at upnaway.com]                 Tornado deaths in aus?
048 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Severe Thunderstorm Warning for SE QLD!!!
049 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]           Severe Thunderstorm Warning for SE QLD!!!
050 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]              Local Flooding + radar buggered
051 Paul Miracki [pmiracki at powerup.com.au]         Check out the lighting tracker :)
052 paulmoss at tpgi.com.au                           Local Flooding + radar buggered
053 "John Graham" [gorzzzz at Dingoblue.net.au]       flood warning for the hunter
054 "DAMIEN HOWES" [dhowes at powerup.com.au]         Severe Thunderstorms for Brisbane!!!
055 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]             Tornado deaths in aus?

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Tue, 7 Mar 2000 23:01:45 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation update
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

TC Steve's journey from Karratha and crossing the coast is now a map
animation at http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/StevePilbara2Anim.htm.

The start of the West Coast map animation is at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWestCoastAnim.htm, which is a few
frames behind, will be updated in an hour or so.

BoM warning #54 and JTWC #27 below.

Regards,
Carl.


IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 54
Issued at 6:50 pm WST on Tuesday, 7 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal and adjacent inland areas
between Exmouth and Denham.

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Kalbarri.

At 7 pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 30 kilometres east of Coral Bay,
125 kilometres south of Exmouth and 205 kilometres north northeast of Carnarvon
and moving southwest at 12 kilometres per hour.

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected in the warning area
north of Carnarvon overnight extending south to Denham tomorrow.

Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding though the Pilbara and
northern Gascoyne.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 7 pm WST.

  Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of
                       Latitude 23.1 South Longitude 114.1 East.
  Recent movement    : Southwest at 12 kilometres per hour.
  Central Pressure   : 980 hPa.
  Wind gusts         : 100 kilometres per hour.
  Severity category  : 1

The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:

Blue Alert:  Denham and Useless Loop

Yellow Alert: Coral Bay and Carnarvon

The next warning will be issued at 10 pm WST.

This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210.

137
WTXS35 PGTW 070900
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (STEVE) WARNING NR 027
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   070600Z3 --- NEAR 22.7S1 114.5E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.7S1 114.5E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   071800Z6 --- 23.8S3 113.2E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   080600Z4 --- 25.0S7 112.1E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z7 --- 26.1S9 111.5E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   090600Z5 --- 27.4S3 111.3E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   100600Z7 --- 31.3S7 112.3E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 23.0S5 114.2E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTH
OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS,
DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5
VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND RADAR
DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 14P (STEVE) HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE
GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, HOWEVER INTERACTION WITH LAND HAS SERVED TO
WEAKEN THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 14P (STEVE) IS FORECAST
TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD INITIALLY, THEN INCREASINGLY SOUTHWARD
THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD
WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL
INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN IT AS IT IS
ABSORBED INTO THE PASSING MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG
071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), AND
080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN)
WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 18P (LEO) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES.//


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002
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Tue, 7 Mar 2000 23:40:21 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #54
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

The TC Steve West Coast map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWestCoastAnim.htm has been updated to
BoM#54.

Looks like Steve is due to cross the coast, probably just S of Coral Bay.

Regards,
Carl.


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003
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 01:22:56 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #55
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

The TC Steve West Coast map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWestCoastAnim.htm has been updated to
BoM#55.

With TC Steve's apparent like for moving parallel to coastlines, I wonder
if it will swing South down the WA coast?

BoM#55 and JTWC#28 pasted below.

Regards,
Carl.

IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 55
Issued at 9:50 pm WST on Tuesday, 7 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal and adjacent inland areas
between Exmouth and Denham.

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Kalbarri.

At 10 pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 10 kilometres southsoutheast of
Coral Bay, 145 kilometres southsouthwest of Exmouth and 190 kilometres north of
Carnarvon and moving westsouthwest at 10 kilometres per hour.

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected in the warning area
north of Carnarvon overnight extending south to Denham tomorrow.

Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding though the Pilbara and
northern Gascoyne.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 10 pm WST.

  Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of
                       Latitude 23.2 South Longitude 113.8 East.
  Recent movement    : Westsouthwest at 10 kilometres per hour.
  Central Pressure   : 980 hPa.
  Wind gusts         : 100 kilometres per hour.
  Severity category  : 1

The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:

Blue Alert:  Denham and Useless Loop

Yellow Alert: Coral Bay and Carnarvon

The next warning will be issued at 1 am WST Wednesday.

This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210.


047
WTXS35 PGTW 071500
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (STEVE) WARNING NR 028
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   071200Z0 --- NEAR 23.3S8 114.0E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.3S8 114.0E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z8 --- 24.6S2 112.9E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   081200Z1 --- 25.5S2 112.1E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z9 --- 26.4S2 111.9E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   091200Z2 --- 27.3S2 111.9E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   101200Z4 --- 30.3S6 114.4E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 23.6S1 113.7E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM SOUTH
OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS,
DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY
IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS, AS
WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT TC 14P (STEVE) HAS BEGUN TO MOVE OFF OF AUSTRALIA AND INTO THE
INDIAN OCEAN. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT OVER THE
PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE
GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, HOWEVER INTERACTION WITH LAND HAS SERVED TO
WEAKEN THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. TC 14P (STEVE) IS FORECAST
TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD INITIALLY, THEN RECURVE THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY
OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH, INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT, THEN SERVE TO WEAKEN
THE SYSTEM, UNTIL IT IS ABSORBED INTO THE PASSING MID-LATITUDE
SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5),
080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18P (LEO) WARNINGS
(WTPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//


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004
Date: Tue, 07 Mar 2000 23:52:56 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve Artical (ABC)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

found this story tonight on the ABC web site on TC Steve
http://www.abc.net.au/news/state/wa/metwa-7mar2000-14.htm

                    Cyclone Steve expected to cross
                    WA coastline overnight

                    Tropical Cyclone Steve continues to play a cat and
                    mouse game with Western Australia.

                    For most of the day it has been hovering off the
Pilbara
                    coast, but according to the weather bureau in Perth,
the
                    storm is expected to cross the coast in the early
hours
                    of the morning near Coral Bay, about 1,100
kilometres
                    north of Perth.

                    The cyclone is currently 30 kilometres east of Coral
Bay
                    and is moving south-west at 12 kilometres an hour.

                    The bureau's Garry Foley says there have been strong

                    winds and heavy rain in the Coral Bay area.

                    "From there we will expect Cyclone Steve to move out

                    to sea it will probably remain a category one type
                    cyclone but it is in a position that it can threaten
most of
                    the west coast over the next few days."

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005
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 03:59:41 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #56
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

The TC Steve West Coast map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWestCoastAnim.htm has been updated to
BoM#56.

Steve is now over water just SW of Coral Bay.

BoM#56 pasted below.

Regards,
Carl.


IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 56
Issued at 12:50 am WST on Wednesday, 8 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal and adjacent inland areas
between Exmouth and Denham.

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Kalbarri.

At 1 am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 35 kilometres southwest of Coral
Bay, 165 kilometres southsouthwest of Exmouth and 175 kilometres north of
Carnarvon and moving westsouthwest at 9 kilometres per hour.

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected in the warning area
north of Carnarvon this morning extending south to Denham later today.

Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding though the Pilbara and
northern Gascoyne.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 1 am WST.

  Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of
                       Latitude 23.3 South Longitude 113.5 East.
  Recent movement    : Westsouthwest at 9 kilometres per hour.
  Central Pressure   : 980 hPa.
  Wind gusts         : 100 kilometres per hour.
  Severity category  : 1

The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:

Blue Alert:  Denham and Useless Loop

Yellow Alert: Coral Bay and Carnarvon

The next warning will be issued at 4 am WST Wednesday.

This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210.


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006
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 04:37:09 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Gloria destruction in Madagascar
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

Just got this email.

Thought I would pass it on.

The 'big island' referred to is Madagascar.

Regards,
Carl.

>    Dear all,   just watched few minutes ago the news from Reunion I get
>from  sat tv and it was announced that 15S/GLORIA has left a trail of
>destruction  where it struck( which cooroborates JTWC's assessement of the
>int of at  leastT4.0> 65kt while MFR was again totally wrong with a
>Tnumber of  3.0+!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ). The official death toll so far stands
>at 130 deaths and  cholera is said to be rampant as Matthew earlier
>reported .There are many  thousands left homeless .   It was said that the
>island is on the brink of becoming  another Mozambique. So alarming news
>from the big island . Reunion is planning to  go shooting there and hope
>will get some needed pictures of the  situation.   Regards   Patrick



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007
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW
Date: Tue, 07 Mar 2000 20:44:38 GMT
X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id PAA10065
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

(Sorry -- accidentally hit the send button before completing :-~)

I awoke to heavy steady rain here at Blackheath, and was a bit
surprised to find 30mm in the gauge since 9am yesterday, most of it
fallen since midnight. Looking around the Sydney area, here are some
of the totals 9am to midnight and midnight to 7am:

Sydney Obs Hill 12.2 and 19.0
Sydney Airport 4.4 and 16.6
Horsely Park 1.2 and 16.6
Penrith 1.2 and 15.8
Richmond MO 8.0 and 17.0
Homebush 1.4 and 22.2
Mt Boyce 5.8 and 16.0
Bathurst 0 and 15.2
Mangrove Mountain 25.0 and 22.6
Norah Head 19.8 and 4.2
Bellambi 0 and 1.8 !!
Nowra 0 and 0

Out west Cobar had 42mm 9pm to 9am, and in the 3 hours to 6am Katoomba
had 15mm, Homebush 14, Nullo Mtn 12 and Coonabarabran 10. 

The Taree AWS is either reporting a deluge or malfunctioning -- it
reported 35mm 3pm to 9pm, 29mm 9pm to midnight, 82mm midnight to 3am
and 101mm 3 to 6am, or a total of 227.4 for 22 hrs to 7am. Can anyone
confirm what is going on up there? Port Macquarie has had a mere 10.8
during the same period.





-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather News & Links
http://ausweather.simplenet.com
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008
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW
Date: Tue, 07 Mar 2000 20:53:06 GMT
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On Tue, 07 Mar 2000 20:36:59 GMT, wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier
Williams) wrote:

>Out west Cobar had 42mm 9pm to 9am, 

Oops -- 6pm to 6am

Laurier

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009
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Sydneys weather - low cloud - more to come !
Date: Tue, 07 Mar 2000 21:07:46 GMT
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On Tue, 7 Mar 2000 22:48:04 +1000, "Michael Thompson"
 wrote:

>At the risk of sounding like a broken record it somehow remained dry here at
>my place over the last 24 hours.
>
>But I am at last confident that something will give, there was sunny breaks
>this afternoon before cirrus thickened rapidly from the NW. I think the rain
>currently over the NW from the upper trough is on its way, projecting its
>path it should move offshore and may start some circulation just off Sydney
>tomorrow, bringing in heavier rain.
>
Meso-LAPS is developing a weak low off the mid-north coast by 11am,
then deepening it very slightly while moving it south very slowly,
tightening the gradient along the coast south from about Port
Macquarie. GASP and AVN are content with developing a deep trough,
which hangs about until later Thursday, but has the same effect of
tightening the SE gradient. All three models produce pretty
substantial rain on the mid north and central coasts, and through
northern inland NSW, today and tomorrow, getting to the south coast
Thursday.


-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather News & Links
http://ausweather.simplenet.com
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010
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 08:16:40 +1000
From: Susan Puddifer [susanpud at healey.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.05 (Macintosh; I; PPC)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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> Heard on ABC around 6.30 am that parts of the pacific highway around the
> taree area were closed due to flooding so rain readings could well be
> accurate

Susan from Balmain

>
>
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011
From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au
To: "        -         *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 07:52:52 +0930
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I just rang my Parents - they confirm the rainfall readings and subsequent
flooding - they said they had 8 inches or so  til early this morning.

Paul in Darwin.





susanpud at healey.com.au at SMTP at world.std.com on 08/03/2000 06:59:27 AM
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Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW



> Heard on ABC around 6.30 am that parts of the pacific highway around the
> taree area were closed due to flooding so rain readings could well be
> accurate

Susan from Balmain

>
>
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012
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 10:03:09 +1100 (EST)
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> 
> I just rang my Parents - they confirm the rainfall readings and subsequent
> flooding - they said they had 8 inches or so  til early this morning.
> 
> Paul in Darwin.
> 
Also 225mm in 4 days (nearly all of which would have been overnight)
at Forster, and a couple of other 100+ totals.

Incidentally, 100mm has been topped somewhere in Australia on every
day since 1 February (even without including the data from Bellenden
Ker, which hasn't come through yet). I don't know how unusual this is
but suspect it is reasonably uncommon.

Blair Trewin
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013
From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 10:12:27 +1100
X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.2 (Intl)|4 November 1999) at 08/03/2000 10:12:28 AM
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HI Laurier,,

Would you know how much rain Bathurst has received in the last 24 hrs..

Thanks..

Dave..

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014
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 10:15:13 +1000
From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I)
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: BSCH Picture Update
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Hi Everyone,

32 new pictures added to BSCH

http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/picturegallerynew.htm

90% of the images were taken over a period of 3-5 weeks late last year..

Some large Cu around this morning - nothing all that stormy looking, but
the LI's do get down to -5 in Brisbane itself today - if this cloud
breaks up a bit it could be interesting.. 



-- 

Ben Quinn

The Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage (BSCH)
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com
The Australian Weather Pages Webring
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/webring/index.htm
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015
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 00:59:05 GMT
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On Wed, 8 Mar 2000 10:12:27 +1100, davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au wrote:

>
>HI Laurier,,
>
>Would you know how much rain Bathurst has received in the last 24 hrs..
>
15.8 at the airport, all of which fell after midnight. The Ag Station
report hasn't come in.

Taree AP finished up with 230 for the 24 hours, while the town gauge
recorded 204 (all in 18 hrs to 9am). Forster reported 223mm for the 18
hours to 9am, with a 4-day total of 225, as Blair has commented.
Logans Crossing, a few km NW of Kendall recorded 177, of which 130
fell in 3 hours to 2.45am, and 80 fell in the hour to 1.15am -- those
figures give a return period of around 40 years! That station reported
no rainfall after 3am. Other falls in the area were 138 at Lorne, 112
at Bulahdelah and 73 at Lostock Dam. Interestingly, Comboyne only had
61. 

Some other heavy 24 hour falls:

Around Sydney: Peats Ridge 54, Turramurra 50, Parramatta 46, Darkes
Forest 42 (but Wollongong Uni 9)

Northern Tablelands: Guyra 56, Glen Innes Ag Stn 53, Deepwater 54

Central Tablelands: Katoomba 63 (but Blackheath 26 in the official
Godson Avenue gauge, and 34.6 in mine, just 1km to the SW)

Farther west, very patchy but some big falls: Byrock 107, Coolabah and
Enngonia 70, Cobar AP 57, Balowra (about 100km SE of Cobar) 58,
Moothumbil Station (35km S of Nymagee) 90, Moree AP 66, Carinda 79 --
yet lots of sub-10mm falls mixed in between these. 

There are some interesting shorter duration falls on my noteworthy
reports page at http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/pub/$NOTESYN.TXT

-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather News & Links
http://ausweather.simplenet.com
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016
Date: Tue, 07 Mar 2000 08:20:27 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coolest Australian summer since 1975/76
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Fascinating stuff Blair. Thanks for this info, its always appreciated.

Lindsay P.

Blair Trewin wrote:
> 
> Australia's mean temperature for the summer of 1999/2000 was the
> coolest since 1975/76.
> 
> The anomalies (based on a 1961-90 climatology) were:
> 
> Maximum         -1.43 (3rd lowest since 1950, lowest since 1975/76)
> Minimum         -0.28
> 
> Mean            -0.86 (4th lowest since 1950, lowest since 1975/76)
> 
> Blair Trewin
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017
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 08:02:00 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Blackheath Rain/Chilly
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12:20pm Wednesday

Its around 11 degrees (Thermometer under awning near house says 13 but
its an el cheapo so I have taken into account the difference to my
screen thermometer which is 25 metres away, down the yard in the rain!
Hence the "around") 

30mm for the 24 hrs to 9am this morning and another 3mm in the gauge
now.


So far this month, we've had just over twice what we had in all of
February.


Lindsay P.

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018
Date: Tue, 07 Mar 2000 08:22:36 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Great to hear David, glad you got some good falls.

Lindsay P.

David Carroll wrote:
> 
> Hi Everyone --
> 
> Finally Bathurst has got some decent rain,, only just started here.. Looks
> like it will stay for awhile.. Gutters are already overflowing in my street...
> 
> Thunder really letting loose now..
> 
> Dave..
> 
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019
Date: Tue, 07 Mar 2000 08:54:13 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Coolest Australian summer since 1975/76
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Yes, I second John thoughts/questions, although cool summers or indeed
hot ones, don't necessarily have a statistical connection/correlation to
the type of winter that follows. Is that correct?


Lindsay Pearce


John Woodbridge wrote:
> 
> Hi Blair,
> 
> So we weren't just imagining things here in Brissy then, although I guess
> the folks in Perth will be rather doubtful of this stat.
> 
> I guess the question is whether this particularly relates to any other
> meaningful stat., e.g., mean Antartic temp, ocean temps, La Nina, or
> whatever.  What do you think this implies for winter, are we also likely to
> get the coldest winter in 25 years, or a correspondingly mild winter.
> 
> Regards,
> John.
> >snip
> 
> Subject: aus-wx: Coolest Australian summer since 1975/76
> 
> Australia's mean temperature for the summer of 1999/2000 was the
> coolest since 1975/76.
> 
> The anomalies (based on a 1961-90 climatology) were:
> 
> Maximum         -1.43 (3rd lowest since 1950, lowest since 1975/76)
> Minimum         -0.28
> 
> Mean            -0.86 (4th lowest since 1950, lowest since 1975/76)
> 
> Blair Trewin
> 
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020
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Bellenden Ker 1999 Rainfall
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 01:43:46 GMT
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Don asked about daily and monthly rainfall for Bellenden Ker for 1999.
The station recorded 11,852mm for 1999 -- I think an Australian annual
rainfall record. 

I've put the full 1999 record at
http://ausweather.simplenet.com/temp/Bellenden_Ker_1999_Rainfall.html

This is for the top station -- the bottom station only recorded a
measly 7197mm for the year. Unfortunately, the gauge is not always
read daily, and two likely occurrences of highest 24-hour rainfalls
were lost -- the 48 hour total on 13/2/99 was 1870mm, and the 72 hour
total on 15/3/99 was 1281mm. 

-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather News & Links
http://ausweather.simplenet.com
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021
X-Sender: disarm at mail.braenet.com.au
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Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 13:00:51 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Blackheath Rain/Chilly
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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30mm here again today in Burwood, and 8mm since 9am, still raining, and
should be all afternoon going by radar.

Matt Smith

>12:20pm Wednesday
>
>Its around 11 degrees (Thermometer under awning near house says 13 but
>its an el cheapo so I have taken into account the difference to my
>screen thermometer which is 25 metres away, down the yard in the rain!
>Hence the "around") 
>
>30mm for the 24 hrs to 9am this morning and another 3mm in the gauge
>now.
>
>
>So far this month, we've had just over twice what we had in all of
>February.
>
>
>Lindsay P.
>
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022
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Rain continues, and flood warning for the Hunter Valley
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 02:01:55 GMT
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On Wed, 08 Mar 2000 08:02:00 -0800, Lindsay 
wrote:

>12:20pm Wednesday
>
>Its around 11 degrees (Thermometer under awning near house says 13 but
>its an el cheapo so I have taken into account the difference to my
>screen thermometer which is 25 metres away, down the yard in the rain!
>Hence the "around") 
>
11.2 at Mt Boyce at midday, and 11.5 at Katoomba, with 3 and 5mm rain
9 to 12 respectively.

Some good falls continuing around the state. 9 to noon figures: --
35mm at Newcastle Nobbys, 28 at Williamtown, Mangrove Mtn 15, Norah
Head 14, Moree AP 17 and Nullo Mountain in the upper Hunter 13.

Current (12.40pm) radar shows a line of heavy rain/storms across Port
Stevens across to the west of Dungog moving south ahead of what looks
like a clearing. 

BoM has just issued the following warning

_________________________________________

IDW40N08

Flood Warning Number : 1         
PRELIMINARY  MINOR
FLOOD WARNING  FOR THE WILLIAMS RIVER 
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 12:49pm on Wednesday the 8th of March 2000

Renewed heavy rain this morning in the lower Williams River is
expected to cause
minor flooding at Dungog by 3 pm this afternoon with further rises
possible .



For further information contact the State Emergency Service

River Height Predictions

Dungog           Reach 5.0   metres around 3 pm Wednesday 8/3/200
[minor
flooding] with further rises possible.
 

River heights on Wed 08/03/2000 were:

River heights on Wednesday were:

HUNTER R AT MOONAN DAM SITE                           0.98 m   at 1139
am 06 Mar

snipped

Weather Outlook

Wednesday
Showers or rain at times with some local heavy falls. Mild. South to
southeast 
winds, fresh to strong at times near the coast. 
Thursday Showers. Mild. Southeast to northeast wind. 
Friday   Isolated showers, ceasing. Warm. Northerly winds. 
Saturday Chance of isolated thundery showers. Warm. Northeast to
northwest
winds. 

Next warning will be issued by    4 pm Wednesday 8/3/2000     
-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather News & Links
http://ausweather.simplenet.com
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023
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 13:41:01 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #59
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

The TC Steve West Coast map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWestCoastAnim.htm has been updated to
BoM#59.

Steve has intensified to 120 km/hr and after being nearly stationary near
Coral Bay, has started moving South along the coast towards Carnarvon.

BoM#60 and JTWC#30 pasted below.

Regards,
Carl.

IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY

FLASH TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 60
Issued at 11:25 am WST on Wednesday, 8 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal and adjacent inland areas
between Exmouth and Denham.

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Kalbarri.

At 11 am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 65 kilometres north of
Carnarvon
and moving south at 20 kilometres per hour.  The cyclone centre is expected to
pass over Carnarvon about 2pm.

Gales with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected in the Carnarvon
area.


Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the western Pilbara and Gascoyne.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 11 am WST.

  Location of centre : Latitude 24.3 South Longitude 113.5 East.
  Recent movement    : South at 20 kilometres per hour.
  Central Pressure   : 980 hPa.
  Wind gusts         : 120 kilometres per hour.
  Severity category  : 1

The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:

Yellow Alert: Carnarvon and Red alert: CarnarvonCoral Bay
Blue Alert:  Denham and Useless Loop

The next warning will be issued at noon WST today.

This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210.

237
WTXS35 PGTW 080300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (STEVE) WARNING NR 030
   04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   080000Z8 --- NEAR 23.9S4 113.4E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.9S4 113.4E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   081200Z1 --- 24.5S1 113.0E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z9 --- 25.5S2 112.5E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   091200Z2 --- 26.6S4 112.4E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   100000Z1 --- 27.9S8 112.9E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   110000Z2 --- 30.4S7 115.4E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.1S7 113.3E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING
POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND RADAR DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 14P (STEVE) HAS CONTINUED TO
ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY FROM DAMPIER,
AUSTRALIA CLEARLY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS
SITUATED JUST OFF THE COAST AND NORTH OF CAPE CUVIER. ANIMATED WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 14P
(STEVE) IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD INITIALLY, THEN
RECURVE THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER WATER
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH, AFTER THE 24
HOUR PERIOD, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT
AND THEN SERVE TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM, UNTIL IT IS ABSORBED INTO THE
PASSING MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
080000Z8 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1),
081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG
090151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN) WARNINGS (WTXS32
PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (LEO)
WARNINGS (WTPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 19P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

024
X-Originating-IP: [203.36.248.18]
From: "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Plains going off (again!)
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 14:51:00 EST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

The Great Plains (and they sure seem to be great atm) are going off again. 
It's probably night time in Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas but there are still 
50000 foot mesos and TVs!!!!

http://www.intellicast.com/LocalWeather/World/UnitedStates/RadarSummary/

Cheers,
Kevin from (not so great) Wycheproof.
______________________________________________________
Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com

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025
X-Originating-IP: [202.67.64.144]
From: "James Pickett" [juxie_69 at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Sydneys weather- Heavy rain ,windy 
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 03:49:21 GMT
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi again!
      Currently 3pm and wind at sydney airport 25-35knots gusting 40knots 
from 150 degrees.  Interesting to note a more southern movement in all rain 
activity on the radar today.
Blowing a gale, and yes, still raining (not so heavy though)!
Still confident for a developing east coast low...

JAMES in a windy Randwick.

______________________________________________________
Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com

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026
From: "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: TC's on collision course?
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 13:56:53 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook CWS, Build 9.0.2416 (9.0.2910.0)
Importance: Normal
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All,

Latest BoM MSLP chart appears to show TC's "Norman" and "Steve" on an
apparent collision course, presuming that they remain intact.  "Norman" in
particular looks like a gonna.

John.

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027
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 11:31:12 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Thats interesting Laurier, it's fascinating watching the differences in
falls in our area.

I got 30mm for the 24 hours to 9am Wednesday. And around 15mm from 9am
to 3pm.

Fresh winds here in Blackheath - I know, I was up on the roof of our
house looking for the entry point of a leak into our back room! And I
found it, after 20 minutes out in the rain and nearly falling into the
Rhododendren etc. :-(...Drip, drip.

Interestingly, the hole looked a little like a hail dent. We have an
aluminium cliplock roof and I've noticed different dents of different
sizes scattered about. 

Lindsay P.

BIG SNIP... 
> Around Sydney: Peats Ridge 54, Turramurra 50, Parramatta 46, Darkes
> Forest 42 (but Wollongong Uni 9)
> 
> Northern Tablelands: Guyra 56, Glen Innes Ag Stn 53, Deepwater 54
> 
> Central Tablelands: Katoomba 63 (but Blackheath 26 in the official
> Godson Avenue gauge, and 34.6 in mine, just 1km to the SW)
> 
> Farther west, very patchy but some big falls: Byrock 107, Coolabah and
> Enngonia 70, Cobar AP 57, Balowra (about 100km SE of Cobar) 58,
> Moothumbil Station (35km S of Nymagee) 90, Moree AP 66, Carinda 79 --
> yet lots of sub-10mm falls mixed in between these.
> 
> There are some interesting shorter duration falls on my noteworthy
> reports page at http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/pub/$NOTESYN.TXT
> 
> --
> Laurier Williams
> Australian Weather News & Links
> http://ausweather.simplenet.com
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>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

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028
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 00:12:15 -0500
From: "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Plains going off (again!)
To: "INTERNET:aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id AAA14109
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Kevin:

> The Great Plains (and they sure seem to be great atm) are going off
again. 
> It's probably night time in Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas but there are
still 
> 50000 foot mesos and TVs!!!!

Yes, it is evening.  The 50,000 feet related to the max storm top.  It was
independent of the mesocyclone.  Mesocyclones will almost never extend that
high.  The TVS is from the new "TDA" or Tornado Detection Algorithm".  It
is actually a misnomer.  It detects shears of all types.  It detects far
more "TVSs" than are real or actual tornadoes..  That is especially true
with the gust front along squall lines.  There are very frequent false
alarms.  

In my opinion the TDA was introduced into operations too soon before it had
been sufficiently developed.  This is not to say that it is never right. 
It is right in some cases.......sometimes more so than others. 
Additionally, it uses several sets of adaptable parameters that make it
less or more sensitive and make it sometimes very likely to be false
alarms.  We, who can get the NIDS products outside of  the government do
not know which set they are using.   Finally, there are "elevated TVSs" and
surface based TVSs.  There are far, far more elevated TVSs that are not
really important.  That is why most offices have turned them off, elevated
TVSs that is.  Most but not all have turned them off.

Les
************************
Leslie R. Lemon
Radar, Severe Storms, & Research Meteorologist
Tel. 816-373-3533, 816-213-3237
E-Mail: lrlemon at compuserve.com
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029
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 15:16:49 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #61
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

New TC Steve West Coast map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWestCoast2Anim.htm has been updated
to BoM#61. All the animations are now linked through Previous and Next
links beneath each animation.

The BoM is issuing hourly warnings at the moment.

BoM#62 pasted below.

Regards,
Carl.

IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 62
Issued at 12:45 pm WST on Wednesday, 8 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal and adjacent inland areas
between Exmouth and Kalbarri.

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Geraldton.

At 1 pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 50 kilometres northwest of
Carnarvon and 150 kilometres north of Denham and moving south southwest at 20
kilometres per hour.  The cyclone will pass close to Carnarvon this afternoon.

Gales with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected in the Carnarvon area,
extending to Denham later today.

Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 1 pm WST.

  Location of centre : Latitude 24.6 South Longitude 113.3 East.
  Recent movement    : South southwest at 20 kilometres per hour.
  Central Pressure   : 980 hPa.
  Wind gusts         : 120 kilometres per hour.
  Severity category  : 1

The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:

Red Alert:  Carnarvon
Yellow Alert: Shark Bay and Useless Loop
Blue Alert:  Kalbarri and Coral Bay

The next warning will be issued at 2pm WST today.

This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210.


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030
X-Mailer: Novell GroupWise 5.5.2
Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 16:14:04 +1100
From: "Craig Geddes" [CRAIG.GEDDES at Warringah.nsw.gov.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Sydneys weather- Heavy rain ,windy
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id AAA15107
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi All,

For information here at the Emergency Control Centre at Terrey Hills the current obs are:

Rainfall from 9:00am 73.8 mm
Temperature 18 Degrees 
Relative Humidity 93.3%
Wind Speed 7 k/ph gusting to 22 k/ph
Direction North West

Local SES and Rural Fire Service crews are active in flooding and trees down.

Looks like a wet and windy night.


Regard,




******************************************
Craig Geddes
Superintendent
Warringah Pittwater District
NSW Rural Fire Service
Thompson Drive, Terrey Hills, N.S.W.
Australia, 2084

Phone  9450 3000  Fax 9450 1028
Mobile  0417 265 173

Email Address : craig.geddes at warringah.nsw.gov.au 

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031
From: "dann weatherhead" [weatherhead at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Sydneys weather- Heavy rain ,windy 
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 16:32:49 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


'
Windy here too (cranebrook), while writing part1 of this email, the power
went out for about 15 minutes. Only really started to get consistenly gusty
since about 3pm.
Had 37mm up til 4:30 this afternoon, many of the local roads around here
have surface water all over them, and for the third day in a row rowing
trials have been cancelled at Penrith Lakes. Looks like The Barbera
Striesand Concert at the SFS will be cancelled also....do you think the
weather gods maybe trying to tell us something?

what a difference a week makes =)

dann weatherhead


----- Original Message -----
From: James Pickett [juxie_69 at hotmail.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Wednesday, March 08, 2000 2:49 PM
Subject: aus-wx: Sydneys weather- Heavy rain ,windy


> Hi again!
>       Currently 3pm and wind at sydney airport 25-35knots gusting 40knots
> from 150 degrees.  Interesting to note a more southern movement in all
rain
> activity on the radar today.
> Blowing a gale, and yes, still raining (not so heavy though)!
> Still confident for a developing east coast low...
>
> JAMES in a windy Randwick.
>
> ______________________________________________________
> Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com
>
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>

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032
From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au
Subject: RE: aus-wx: TC's on collision course?
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 16:47:01 +1100
X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.2 (Intl)|4 November 1999) at 08/03/2000 04:47:02 PM
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Looks like things could get busy for Advance Energy later..

Dave..


IDW16N00

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 1606 on Wednesday the 8th of March 2000

This advice affects people in the following weather districts:

North West Plains,
Central West Slopes and Plains north of Nyngan to Gilgandra,
Upper Western east of Wanaaring and Tilpa.

Thunderstorms are forecast within the advice area this afternoon and
evening. Some of these are expected to be severe bringing large hailstones,
destructive winds and very heavy rainfall.

The STATE EMERGENCY SERVICE advises that as storms approach people should:
  * put vehicles under cover
  * move indoors away from windows

During and after the storm people should:
  * beware of fallen trees and power lines
  * keep away from creeks and drains as you may be swept away

The RTA recommends motorists switch their lights & wipers on & slow down in
the wet.

If your house is damaged contact your local SES unit, listed under "S" in
the white pages, for emergency assistance. Don't use the telephone during
storms.

TV CRAWL: Severe Thunderstorm Advice current for Northwest Plains and parts
of the Central West Slopes and Plains and of Upper Western weather forecast
districts.

NOT FOR BROADCAST: This Advice message is valid until 9 pm. The Bureau and
SES would appreciate it being broadcast regularly until this time.

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033
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 16:18:25 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #63
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

New TC Steve West Coast map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWestCoast2Anim.htm has been updated
to BoM#63. All the animations are now linked through Previous and Next
links beneath each animation.

Steve is passing Carnarvon.

BoM#63 pasted below.

Regards,
Carl.

IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 63
Issued at 1:55 pm WST on Wednesday, 8 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal and adjacent inland areas
between Coral Bay and Kalbarri.

A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Geraldton.

At 2 pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 40 kilometres west northwest of
Carnarvon and 140 kilometres north of Denham and moving south southwest at 20
kilometres per hour.  The cyclone is now passing to the west of Carnarvon.

Gales with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected in the Carnarvon area,
extending to Denham later today.

Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 2 pm WST.

  Location of centre : Latitude 24.7 South Longitude 113.3 East.
  Recent movement    : South southwest at 20 kilometres per hour.
  Central Pressure   : 980 hPa.
  Wind gusts         : 120 kilometres per hour.
  Severity category  : 1

The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:

Red Alert:  Carnarvon
Yellow Alert: Shark Bay and Useless Loop
Blue Alert:  Kalbarri and Coral Bay

The next warning will be issued at 3pm WST today.

This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210.


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034
From: "Adam Mayo" [oyam at bigpond.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: aus:wx -  Sydney weather - Heavy rain, windy
Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 17:48:55 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com









Hi All,
 
Rainfall at Mona Vale just keeps on falling!!!!
9 am Monday 5.5 mm
9 am Tuesday 28 mm
9 am Wednesday 20.5 mm
5.30 pm Wednesday 64 mm
 
Wakehurst Parkway just in the act of being closed by Police due to flooding.  Think that we will go and have a look around the opening of Narrabeen Lakes later on. 
 
Judy Mayo
035 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 18:19:02 +1100 From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy overnight rain around NSW Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com For what it's worth, here (North Seven Hills) there have been 54.4mm in the 12 hours to 6pm tonight and a total of 103.0mm since 6am Monday. Laurier Williams wrote: > > I awoke to heavy steady rain here at Blackheath, and was a bit > surprised to find 30mm in the gauge since 9am yesterday, most of it > fallen since midnight. Looking around the Sydney area, here are some > of the totals 9am to midnight and midnight to 7am: > > Sydney Obs Hill 12.2 and 19.0 > Sydney Airport 4.4 and 16.6 > Horsely Park 1.2 and 16.6 > Penrith 1.2 and 15.8 > Richmond MO 8.0 and 17.0 > Homebush 1.4 and 22.2 > Mt Boyce 5.8 and 16.0 > Bathurst 0 and 15.2 > Mangrove Mountain 25.0 and 22.6 > Norah Head 19.8 and 4.2 > Bellambi 0 and 1.8 !! > Nowra 0 and 0 > > Out west Cobar had 42mm 9pm to 9am, and in the 3 hours to 6am Katoomba > had 15mm, Homebush 14, Nullo Mtn 12 and Coonabarabran 10. > > The Taree AWS is either reporting a deluge or malfunctioning -- it > reported 35mm 3pm to 9pm, 29mm 9pm to midnight, 82mm midnight to 3am > and 101mm 3 to 6am, or a total of > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 036 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 18:25:25 +1100 From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Bellenden Ker 1999 Rainfall Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I presume the rain gauge is a tipping-bucket or some other type of device? In other words where would one get a rain gauge capable of holding the equivalent of 72 inches of rain (of course it always buckets down up there..excuse the sick pun)..... Laurier Williams wrote: > > Don asked about daily and monthly rainfall for Bellenden Ker for 1999. > The station recorded 11,852mm for 1999 -- I think an Australian annual > rainfall record. > > I've put the full 1999 record at > http://ausweather.simplenet.com/temp/Bellenden_Ker_1999_Rainfall.html > > This is for the top station -- the bottom station only recorded a > measly 7197mm for the year. Unfortunately, the gauge is not always > read daily, and two likely occurrences of highest 24-hour rainfalls > were lost -- the 48 hour total on 13/2/99 was 1870mm, and the 72 hour > total on 15/3/99 was 1281mm. > > -- > Laurier Williams > Australian Weather News & Links > http://ausweather.simplenet.com > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 037 From: "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Gympie-wx Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 17:31:54 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook CWS, Build 9.0.2416 (9.0.2910.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey, If you think it's wet in Sydney, check out the local radar for Gympie, it's been like this for most of the afternoon, we're talking lots of pink here. Expect some serious totals! John. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 038 From: "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Bellenden Ker 1999 Rainfall Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 17:34:08 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook CWS, Build 9.0.2416 (9.0.2910.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I guess you use your wheely bin! Seriously, I heard someone at the last ASWA meeting say this is exactly what they did up there... John. >snip I presume the rain gauge is a tipping-bucket or some other type of device? In other words where would one get a rain gauge capable of holding the equivalent of 72 inches of rain (of course it always buckets down up there..excuse the sick pun)..... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 039 X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 18:41:31 +1000 To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com] From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #65 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. The TC Steve West Coast map animation at http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWestCoast2Anim.htm has been updated to BoM#65. All the animations are now linked through Previous and Next links beneath each animation. Steve is moving down the coast from Carnarvon. BoM#65 and JTWC#31 pasted below. Regards, Carl. IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 65 Issued at 3:50 pm WST on Wednesday, 8 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal and adjacent inland areas between Coral Bay and Kalbarri. A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Geraldton. At 4 pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 45 kilometres west of Carnarvon and 120 kilometres north northwest of Denham and moving south southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. The cyclone is now passing to the west of Carnarvon. Gales with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected in the Carnarvon area, extending to Denham later today. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 4 pm WST. Location of centre : Latitude 24.9 South Longitude 113.2 East. Recent movement : South southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 980 hPa. Wind gusts : 120 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 1 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: Red Alert: Carnarvon Yellow Alert: Shark Bay and Useless Loop Blue Alert: Kalbarri and Coral Bay The next warning will be issued at 5pm WST today. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. 602 WTXS35 PGTW 080900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (STEVE) WARNING NR 031 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 24.7S3 113.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S3 113.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.7S4 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 26.7S5 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 28.4S4 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 30.0S3 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 33.2S8 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 25.0S7 113.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 23 NM NORTHWEST OF CARNARVON, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND RADAR DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 14P (STEVE) HAS BEGUN TO SHEAR OFF TO THE EAST. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY FROM DAMPIER, AUSTRALIA SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS SITUATED NEAR THE TIP OF CAPE RONSARD IN THE GEOGRAPHE CHANNEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 14P (STEVE) IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD INITIALLY, THEN RECURVE THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE COAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT AND THEN SERVE TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM, UNTIL IT IS ABSORBED INTO THE PASSING MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (090151Z6), AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18P (LEO) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 040 X-Sender: jra at upnaway.com X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.6 (32) Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 17:05:15 +0800 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Ira Fehlberg [jra at upnaway.com] Subject: aus-wx: ADVICE OUT FOR WA!!!!!!!! check this out! Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com IDW16N00 TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE Issued at 1606 on Wednesday the 8th of March 2000 This advice affects people in the following weather districts: Perth and all areas within chasing distance around Ira's place. There are two chances of Thunderstorms to be forecast within the advice area this afternoon and evening. They definitely wont be expected to be severe or to bring large hailstones, destructive winds and very heavy rainfall. The STATE EMERGENCY SERVICE advises that as storms approach people should: * Don't lock your keys in the car casue it'll be a pain in the arse tomorrow morning * Look out your windows, glass is real handy for seeing outside and that During and after the storm people should: * Beware of trees and power lines if you climb them you could fall and skin your knees * Keep away from creeks and drains and large brooms as you may be swept away * Remain indoors at night time and if it gets cold put a jumper on The BOM recommends motorists switch their lights at night & wipers in the rain, oh & slow down in the wet. If your house is damaged fix it. Don't contact your local SES unit, listed under "S" in the white pages, for emergency assistance. Cause they have better stuff to do like play golf. NOT FOR BROADCAST: This Advice message is valid until probably the start of winter now. The Bureau and SES would appreciate it being broadcast regularly until this time. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 041 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 19:33:25 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Severe Thunderstorms for Brisbane!!! Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all! Received 31.4mm of rain here in ten minutes from a thunderstorm! Produced one CG, and several CC's - large amount of thunder, but was drowned out from the torrential rain! Gutters overflowed, and the backyard flooded nicely :-))) Wow, I don't believe it! SOMETHING AT LAST!!!!! I reported it to the forecasters at the BoM and got told "They're not really storms as such, just lots of moisture and instability." The temperature has sat around 26C for most of the afternoon, and DP's around 23-24, and CAPE around 2500. But I don't know, I'd classify a CG, numerous CC's and thunder, and 31.4mm in 10mins/168mm/hr rain rate as a 'thunderstorm.' :-) I also gently suggested that a cell near Crows Nest should be watched, but was informed it was nothing special. It's been in maximum intensity for thirty minutes now, and is moving differently/more structured than other cells. -- Anthony Cornelius Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA) (07) 3390 4812 14 Kinsella St Belmont, Brisbane QLD, 4153 Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at http://www.severeweather.asn.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 042 X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.2 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 20:36:43 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TV request Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Based on the e-mail sent to the list by Ben Quinn, I have tried to set up an ASWA story plot. Well Martin Williams was interested in the End of Year Chase. If you are interested in possibly being interviewed, contact Martin Williams on the following e-mail: Martin Williams martin at pionprod.demon.co.uk Remember, this is TV. They work out who they want and what they want to hear. So therefore it is them who chooses who they want etc etc. You can only give it a try. They want to know very soon who is interested. Jimmy Deguara +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 043 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 19:42:40 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for SE QLD!!! Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Ahh, maybe they did decide that I wasn't dribbing sh*t :-) IDW10Q00 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY Queensland Region Brisbane Office TOP PRIORITY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane at 7:38pm EST on Wednesday the 8th of March 2000 For the Southeast Coast District Isolated thunderstorms, possibly severe, have been observed north of a line from Brisbane to Toowoomba moving to the south south-east. Severe wind squalls are possible. The next warning will be issued at 8.30 pm ***** NOT TO BE BROADCAST AFTER 8.30 PM ******. This warning is also available by telephone on 1196 for the cost of a local call and on 1900 969 921 at a cost of around 75 cents per minute. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -- Anthony Cornelius Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA) (07) 3390 4812 14 Kinsella St Belmont, Brisbane QLD, 4153 Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at http://www.severeweather.asn.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 044 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Another rainband coming in from NE Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 20:45:56 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com At present it is dry here, we had about 15mm today. I noticed that last night the rain came in from the NW, but a look at the loop at 8.45pm shows a band coming in from the N/NE. The significance for the Illawarra is the escarpment generally gets its heaviest falls when the rain is from the East around to the N/NE, only hitch is the wind is still SE. I predict some heavy falls overnight here. Michael Thompson http://thunder.simplenet.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 045 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 19:46:05 +1000 From: Paul Miracki [pmiracki at powerup.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.7 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Severe Thunderstorms for Brisbane!!! Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com IDW10Q00 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY Queensland Region Brisbane Office TOP PRIORITY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane at 7:38pm EST on Wednesday the 8th of March 2000 For the Southeast Coast District Isolated thunderstorms, possibly severe, have been observed north of a line from Brisbane to Toowoomba moving to the south south-east. Severe wind squalls are possible. The next warning will be issued at 8.30 pm ***** NOT TO BE BROADCAST AFTER 8.30 PM ******. This warning is also available by telephone on 1196 for the cost of a local call and on 1900 969 921 at a cost of around 75 cents per minute. Anthony Cornelius wrote: > Hi all! > > Received 31.4mm of rain here in ten minutes from a thunderstorm! > Produced one CG, and several CC's - large amount of thunder, but was > drowned out from the torrential rain! Gutters overflowed, and the > backyard flooded nicely :-))) > > Wow, I don't believe it! SOMETHING AT LAST!!!!! > > I reported it to the forecasters at the BoM and got told "They're not > really storms as such, just lots of moisture and instability." The > temperature has sat around 26C for most of the afternoon, and DP's > around 23-24, and CAPE around 2500. But I don't know, I'd classify a > CG, numerous CC's and thunder, and 31.4mm in 10mins/168mm/hr rain rate > as a 'thunderstorm.' :-) > > I also gently suggested that a cell near Crows Nest should be watched, > but was informed it was nothing special. It's been in maximum intensity > for thirty minutes now, and is moving differently/more structured than > other cells. > > -- > Anthony Cornelius > Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association > (ASWA) > (07) 3390 4812 > 14 Kinsella St > Belmont, Brisbane > QLD, 4153 > Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm > reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at > http://www.severeweather.asn.au > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 046 X-Originating-IP: [132.234.250.7] From: "Mac Hill" [mac_hill at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Check out the lighting tracker :) Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 19:52:26 EST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Check out the lighting tracker for SE- Qld. http://www.energex.com.au/main/asp/redirect.asp?url=/news/lightningtracker.asp >From Wilson = at o at = ============================================================ ***By the mean time, please visit my homepage **** http://www.angelfire.com/ak3/machill/ccc.html ============================================================ "Remember LIFE is just 20 % happens to you and 80 % on how you react back !!!! Coz you only live ONCE so take your OWN BEST SHOT !!!!!" =^o^= ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 047 X-Sender: jra at upnaway.com X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.6 (32) Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 18:12:51 +0800 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Ira Fehlberg [jra at upnaway.com] Subject: aus-wx: Tornado deaths in aus? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Doesnt anyone have any info on this???? I got this email today, can anyone out there help me with the other states? "Ira, when was the last big tornado in Australia, both in terms of F value and the one that killed the most number of people?" I know of a few deaths in aus but im not sure what the most recent would be. I think the bucca would easily qualify for the biggest most recent one. Ta Ira Fehlberg +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 048 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for SE QLD!!! Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 21:03:41 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Just remember Anthony " their not storms as such " Michael ----- Original Message ----- From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Sent: Wednesday, 8 March 2000 19:42 Subject: aus-wx: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for SE QLD!!! > Ahh, maybe they did decide that I wasn't dribbing sh*t :-) > > IDW10Q00 > BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY > Queensland Region > Brisbane Office > > > > TOP PRIORITY > SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING > Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane > at 7:38pm EST on Wednesday the 8th of March 2000 > > For the Southeast Coast District > > Isolated thunderstorms, possibly severe, have been observed north of a > line from > Brisbane to Toowoomba moving to the south south-east. Severe wind > squalls are > possible. > The next warning will be issued at 8.30 pm > > ***** NOT TO BE BROADCAST AFTER 8.30 PM ******. > > This warning is also available by telephone on 1196 for the cost of a > local call > and on > 1900 969 921 at a cost of around 75 cents per minute. > > -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------ > > > > -- > Anthony Cornelius > Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association > (ASWA) > (07) 3390 4812 > 14 Kinsella St > Belmont, Brisbane > QLD, 4153 > Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm > reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at > http://www.severeweather.asn.au > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 049 X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.2 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 20:55:56 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for SE QLD!!! Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey Anthony, Did you tell them you are from ASWA? They seem to think we know nothing. I had a similar experience of extremely heavy rain 1 January 1999. I rang the Bureau knowing what to expect.... This is not really a severe storm. I think they need to recognise we are not the general public and are going on their definition of severe weather. It surprises me that it has happened in Brisbane... Oh well....one day we may be able to get the recognition of giving proper reports and being taken seriously. Jimmy Deguara At 19:42 8/03/00 +1000, you wrote: >Ahh, maybe they did decide that I wasn't dribbing sh*t :-) > >IDW10Q00 >BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY >Queensland Region >Brisbane Office > > > >TOP PRIORITY >SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING >Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane >at 7:38pm EST on Wednesday the 8th of March 2000 > >For the Southeast Coast District > >Isolated thunderstorms, possibly severe, have been observed north of a >line from >Brisbane to Toowoomba moving to the south south-east. Severe wind >squalls are >possible. >The next warning will be issued at 8.30 pm > >***** NOT TO BE BROADCAST AFTER 8.30 PM ******. > >This warning is also available by telephone on 1196 for the cost of a >local call >and on >1900 969 921 at a cost of around 75 cents per minute. > >--------------------------------------------------------------------------- >----- > > > >-- >Anthony Cornelius >Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association >(ASWA) >(07) 3390 4812 >14 Kinsella St >Belmont, Brisbane >QLD, 4153 >Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm >reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at >http://www.severeweather.asn.au > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 050 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 20:23:26 +1000 From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Local Flooding + radar buggered Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Everyone, Just spoke to Anthony who is currently driving around the eastern suburbs of Brisbane - he reported lots of local flooding, especially in his suburb of Belmont.. One thing of note tonight is how unreliable Brisbane local scale radar is at the moment.. the last few days (probably getting close to a week now) the local scale radar has not been showing the intensities it should - broad scale appears to be much more acccurate.. the storm that Anthony got (180mm/h rain rate) showed up on the local scale as yellow and green intensity - which is obviously not right.. but the broad scale shot showed a large area of pink, and a small area of red - which appears to be the correct intensity.. I don't know if it's a problem with the radar itself, or some kind of software problem.. but it has happened quite often in the past, and seems to come good after a while.. maybe some BOM people who are on the list can provide some input? -- Ben Quinn The Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage (BSCH) http://www.bsch.simplenet.com The Australian Weather Pages Webring http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/webring/index.htm +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 051 Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 20:29:18 +1000 From: Paul Miracki [pmiracki at powerup.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.7 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Check out the lighting tracker :) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com and you can also try this URL. http://bastion.energex.com.au/strike/ Mac Hill wrote: > Check out the lighting tracker for SE- Qld. > > http://www.energex.com.au/main/asp/redirect.asp?url=/news/lightningtracker.asp > > >From Wilson = at o at = > > ============================================================ > ***By the mean time, please visit my homepage **** > http://www.angelfire.com/ak3/machill/ccc.html > ============================================================ > "Remember LIFE is just 20 % happens to you > and 80 % on how you react back !!!! > Coz you only live ONCE so take your OWN BEST SHOT !!!!!" > =^o^= > > ______________________________________________________ > Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 052 From: paulmoss at tpgi.com.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 20:15:22 +0930 Subject: Re: aus-wx: Local Flooding + radar buggered X-mailer: Pegasus Mail for Win32 (v3.12a) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Ben - its not a problem that is only experienced in Brisbane either........... We really need doppler everywhere - then we can be sure of everything. Paul in Darwin On 8 Mar 00, at 20:23, Ben Quinn wrote: > Hi Everyone, > > Just spoke to Anthony who is currently driving around the eastern > suburbs of Brisbane - he reported lots of local flooding, especially > in his suburb of Belmont.. > > One thing of note tonight is how unreliable Brisbane local scale radar > is at the moment.. the last few days (probably getting close to a week > now) the local scale radar has not been showing the intensities it > should - broad scale appears to be much more acccurate.. the storm > that Anthony got (180mm/h rain rate) showed up on the local scale as > yellow and green intensity - which is obviously not right.. but the > broad scale shot showed a large area of pink, and a small area of red > - which appears to be the correct intensity.. > > I don't know if it's a problem with the radar itself, or some kind of > software problem.. but it has happened quite often in the past, and > seems to come good after a while.. maybe some BOM people who are on > the list can provide some input? > > > -- > > Ben Quinn > > The Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage (BSCH) > http://www.bsch.simplenet.com > The Australian Weather Pages Webring > http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/webring/index.htm > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > -+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail > to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather > your_email_address" in the body of your message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au---------------------------- > -- > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 053 From: "John Graham" [gorzzzz at Dingoblue.net.au] To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: flood warning for the hunter Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 22:13:46 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Flood Warning Number : 5 RENEWED MODERATE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WILLIAMS RIVER AND PATTERSON RIVER BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE Issued at 10:04pm on Wednesday the 8th of March 2000 The level of the Williams River at Dungog isclose to peaking at 7.10 metres at 9.50 this evening causing MINOR flooding. While rainfalls have generally eased in the Williams River catchment, moderate falls of 16mm have continued in the Patterson River catchment [particularly around Gresford] over the last 3 hours. The continued rainfall is expected to cause the river at Gostwyck to rise to around 11.5 metres causing moderate flooding at around 2 to 3 am tomorrow morning. The moderate rainfalls have now eased and are not expected to cause further river rises. For further information contact the State Emergency Service River Height Predictions Mill Dam Falls - Approach MODERATE flood level 7.6 metres around 2 am Thursday 9/3/00 Gostwyck Peak around 11.5 metres with moderate flooding between 2 and 3 am Thursday 9/3/00 River heights on Wed 08/03/2000 were: River heights on Wednesday were: HUNTER R AT MOONAN DAM SITE 0.98 m at 1139 am 06 Mar ROUCHEL BROOK AT ROUCHEL BROOK 1.71 m at 916 pm 08 Mar DART BROOK AT YARRANDI BRIDGE 0.19 m at 835 am 07 Mar KINGDON PONDS AT PARKVILLE 0.44 m at 839 am 07 Mar HUNTER R AT MUSWELLBROOK 0.93 m at 831 am 08 Mar HUNTER R AT DENMAN 0.45 m at 840 am 08 Mar GOULBURN R AT KERRABEE 0.84 m at 650 pm 08 Mar GOULBURN R AT SANDY HOLLOW 1.48 m at 842 am 08 Mar GLENNIES CK AT MIDDLE FALBROOOK 1.61 m at 833 am 08 Mar WOLLOMBI BROOK AT WARKWORTH 0.96 m at 915 pm 08 Mar HUNTER R AT GRETA 1.44 m at 915 pm 08 Mar HUNTER R AT MAITLAND [BELMORE BR] 0.83 m at 914 pm 08 Mar HUNTER R AT MORPETH 1.37 m at 915 pm 08 Mar PATERSON R AT LOSTOCK DAM D/S 2.86 m at 915 pm 08 Mar PATERSON R AT GOSTWYCK BRIDGE 11.22 m at 915 pm 08 Mar ALLYN R AT HALTON 1.24 m at 602 am 07 Mar PATERSON R AT VACY 10.09 m at 836 pm 08 Mar PATERSON R AT HINTON BRIDGE 1.57 m at 915 pm 08 Mar WILLIAMS R AT DUNGOG 7.06 m at 916 pm 08 Mar WILLIAMS R AT MILL DAM FALLS 6.71 m at 914 pm 08 Mar HUNTER R AT HEXHAM BRIDGE 0.54 m at 915 pm 08 Mar _________________________________________________________ John Graham Email: gorzzzz at dingoblue.net.au or gorzzz at yahoo.com Member of the Australian Severe Weather Assoc. (ASWA) ASWA Homepage http://www.severeweather.asn.au/ ICQ# 25440353 Snail Mail : P.O.Box 1072 Ballina 2478 N.S.W Australia +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 054 From: "DAMIEN HOWES" [dhowes at powerup.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Severe Thunderstorms for Brisbane!!! Date: Wed, 8 Mar 2000 21:39:11 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com G'DAY, I've just been driving for the last half hour in the bureaus' '' just a lot of moisture and instability'' and believe me it was vigorous at Browns Plains, south of Brisbane, with intense rain,CC's and even a little small hail for good measure. Anthony - I can certainly relate to and understand your frustration in dealing with some of the forecasters. Funny how we were talking about just this sort of thing the other day........ Original Message----- From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Date: Wednesday, 8 March 2000 8:43 Subject: aus-wx: Severe Thunderstorms for Brisbane!!! >Hi all! > >Received 31.4mm of rain here in ten minutes from a thunderstorm! >Produced one CG, and several CC's - large amount of thunder, but was >drowned out from the torrential rain! Gutters overflowed, and the >backyard flooded nicely :-))) > >Wow, I don't believe it! SOMETHING AT LAST!!!!! > >I reported it to the forecasters at the BoM and got told "They're not >really storms as such, just lots of moisture and instability." The >temperature has sat around 26C for most of the afternoon, and DP's >around 23-24, and CAPE around 2500. But I don't know, I'd classify a >CG, numerous CC's and thunder, and 31.4mm in 10mins/168mm/hr rain rate >as a 'thunderstorm.' :-) > >I also gently suggested that a cell near Crows Nest should be watched, >but was informed it was nothing special. It's been in maximum intensity >for thirty minutes now, and is moving differently/more structured than >other cells. > >-- >Anthony Cornelius >Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association >(ASWA) >(07) 3390 4812 >14 Kinsella St >Belmont, Brisbane >QLD, 4153 >Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm >reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at >http://www.severeweather.asn.au > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 055 X-Sender: disarm at mail.braenet.com.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0 (32) Date: Wed, 08 Mar 2000 23:51:41 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Tornado deaths in aus? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Sorry Ira cant help... not sure that I would want to help on this topic actually, not very nice to think about. Matt Smith >Doesnt anyone have any info on this???? > >I got this email today, can anyone out there help me with the other states? > >"Ira, >when was the last big tornado in Australia, both in terms of F value and >the one that killed the most number of people?" > >I know of a few deaths in aus but im not sure what the most recent would >be. I think the bucca would easily qualify for the biggest most recent one. > >Ta > > Ira Fehlberg > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

Document: 000308.htm
Updated: 18 March 2000

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