Storm News
[Index][Aussie-Wx]
Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Monday, 6 March 2000

    From                                           Subject
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001 "Max King" [mnk at Dingoblue.net.au]              Todays Chase
002 Greg Spencer [hawk at iinet.net.au]               Photo Comp
003 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve Cat 1 animation update #26
004 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve animation updated#27, Gloria, and JTWC.
005 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve now Cat 2
006 Miguel de Salas [mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au  Volcanoes impact on weather?
007 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve animation updated#28, now 140 hm/hr.
008 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.  Volcanoes impact on weather?
009 Miguel de Salas [mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au  Volcanoes impact on weather?
010 David Carroll [davidkc at nia.net.au]             Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder
011 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve animation updated#29, now 150 hm/hr.
012 "Keith & Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au]         Karratha now on Yellow alert
013 "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au]    SE QLD weather (5/3/00)
014 Robert Goler [robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au  Any others like Steve?
015 David Carroll [davidkc at nia.net.au]             Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder
016 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au             Another TC for Cairns
017 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Any others like Steve?
018 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Fiztroy River Flood Recored has fallen
019 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.  Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder
020 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Another TC for Cairns
021 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Info on Cyclone Eline and southern African rain
022 "weatherhead" [weatherhead at ozemail.com.au]     Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder
023 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]              Funnel Pictures
024 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au             Another TC for Cairns
025 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]                TC STEVE update 32, Red alter for jj
026 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.  Volcanoes impact on weather?
027 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Still dry in parts of the Illawarra
028 "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net]           TC STEVE radar
029 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Karratha now on Yellow alert
030 "Max King" [mnk at Dingoblue.net.au]              TC STEVE radar
031 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              TC Steve animation updated#34, 40 km NNW of Karratha
032 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]                TC Steve update # 35/ Karratha on Red Alert
033 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]           Report hail to Andrew Treloar please..
034 Robert Goler [robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au  Funnel Pictures
035 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]              Funnel Pictures
036 "Paul Graham" [v_notch at hotmail.com]            Severe Storms for NE NSW, Wednesday?
037 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]                TC Steve update # 39

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001
From: "Max King" [mnk at Dingoblue.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Todays Chase
Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 00:04:57 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com









Hi People,
 
Just in addition, while driving home from Batemans Bay this afternoon I encountered a nice storm while I was fuelling up at Ulladulla. No hail, but very, very,very large raindrops (and quite cold ones too) . Seemed to be coming from the North, which the Service Station Attendant informed me was extremely unusual. Missed the Severe Storm at Nowra, but lifes like that I suppose. A nice lightning show off the Coast after dark between Nowra and about Albion Park too.
 
Max
----- Original Message -----
From: Matt Smith
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sent: Sunday, March 05, 2000 8:13 PM
Subject: aus-wx: Todays Chase

Great day today, always a great feeling when you watch a certain day for a while, watch the models leading up to that day, forecast yourself, and pick a target area where storms develope, you get a sense of achievment :D.

I would like to strongly echo Anthonys email, about the BoM spotter line, regarding mobile and STD calls. This is something that really got on my nerves.
God knows what would have happened if the hail was any larger and for some reason couldnt contact anthony to relay the information. I would like to see the BoM change this as it is delaying important spotter reports.

Chase in short form:

2cm hail at Lithgow near the Macca's there.
2 Short lived gust fronts that were nice, and a constant green tinge in the clouds all day once storms developed.. was great.
CG's all over the show, some nice pulsating ones, and its great to listen to thunder echoeing off the mountains etc at Oberon, when you are fogged in and only seeing flashes!
Hail also up on Mt Wilson i think it was called (small stuff, 1cm but in drifts), and lots of small rivers on the sides of the road there, with lots of rain collecting on the roads.
Ill get the photos done in the next couple of days.
Thanks to Daniel Weatherhead, Anthony Cornelius, and David Carrol for giving us updates throughout the day. And a big thanks to Jane ONeill for saving the radar/sat pics for us...ill be able to write a good report on this now :)

I also hope everyone enjoyed the storms, i believe its the first good afternoon widespread thunderstorm activity since October 1 in Sydney.

Matthew Smith
-----Thunderstruck - Storm Chasing in Australia-----
http://www.braenet.com.au/~disarm/thunderstruck/index.htm
----Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA)----
http://www.severeweather.asn.au






+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
002 Date: Sun, 05 Mar 2000 21:33:53 +0800 From: Greg Spencer [hawk at iinet.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Photo Comp Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Everyone After all the hastles with my damn computer, I've finally uploaded the results for last months photo comp. You can view them in the Hall of Fame. I still dont have the new ones up for voting yet as I am waiting on the descision on which pics make the competition. I hope to have them up either tomorrow night but no later than Wednesday night Regards Greg Spencer +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 003 X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 03:28:47 +1000 To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com] From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve Cat 1 animation update #26 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. New TC Steve map animation at http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/StevePilbaraAnim.htm updated to BoM #26. Seems Steve was stopped for a few hours, is now proceeding on a WSW course again, and may intensify. Regards, Carl. IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning. PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 26 Issued at 12:35 am WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between BIDYADANGA and EXMOUTH. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Carnarvon. At Midnight WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 130 kilometres northnortheast of Port Hedland and 280 kilometres northeast of Karratha. The cyclone has resumed a steady west southwest track at 13 kilometres per hour. Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected in coastal areas between Bidyadanga and Whim Creek overnight, extending westwards towards Onslow and Exmouth later tomorrow. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying areas in the west Kimberley region extending to the eastern Pilbara overnight. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at Midnight WST. Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of Latitude 19.2 South Longitude 119.0 East. Recent movement : westsouthwest at 13 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 985 hPa. Wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 1 expected to increase to 2 overnight The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: Blue alert: La Grange [Bidyadanga], Eighty Mile Beach, Pardoo, Sandfire, Wallal, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Whim Creek, Point Samson, Wickham, Roebourne, Karratha, Dampier, Mardie and Onslow. The next warning will be issued at 4.00 am WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. 429 WTXS35 PGTW 051500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (STEVE) WARNING NR 020 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 19.1S1 119.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S1 119.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.7S7 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.1S3 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.6S8 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.4S7 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.5S0 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.3S3 118.8E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE), LOCATED ABOUT 80 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND RADAR DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC SURFACE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AND WRAP AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS IMPROVING OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER THE LLCC. IT ALSO SHOWS THAT TC 14P IS UNDER WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. THE PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA RADAR LOOP SHOWS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE, ESPECIALLY WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE LLCC. TC 14P (STEVE) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER WESTERN CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. TC 14P WILL GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AFTER THE 48-HOUR POINT AS IT TRACKS TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CAUSED BY AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TC 14P SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT TRACKS UNDER A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (GLORIA) WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR ITS FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 004 X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 07:06:24 +1000 To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com] From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve animation updated#27, Gloria, and JTWC. Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. TC Steve map animation at http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/StevePilbaraAnim.htm updated to BoM #27. Steve is intensifying and moving parallel to the coast. An interesting email came in so I thought I would share. Regards, Carl. > Dear all, 14P(STEVE) and 15S(GLORIA) are resilient to various >degrees but both of them have brought heavy rains on their respective >locations. 14P(STEVE) > BROOME: 162mm in 30h to 06utc today the 05th. >Monthly avr is 99mm. 15S(GLORIA)> MANANJARY: 427mm in 48h to 06utc >today the 05th. Monthly avr is 478mm. UKMET will probably be vindicated >again with 14P for which it was predicitng a bright future when BOM was >not expecting anything any longer. JTWC seems to handle the TC very well. > The model depicts two circulations in SWIO developing next few days. >Seems that 17S would get a second lease of life and that maybe this time >will eventually reach at least T2.5 ( MFR rated it at T2.5> but I >disregard their data/ both JTWC and KGWC gave it at best T2.0). Very >latest SSMI pass depicted 14P(STEVE) organizing well. With so far 17 >significant TCs by JTWC/NPMOC standards SH is well behind schedule( >seasonal avr>29.2 from 1983 to 1999) but the rate of intensification to >Hurricane/Typhoon status is good this year with 12 systems ( including >14P based on ground data) which represents a percentage of 70.58% and >even 75% if we only take into account the TCs which reached at least >minimal storm int > 16 ( 17S only reached 30kt so far) while the seasonal >avr is 52.05% based on TCs of at least mini storm int. JTWC is planning >to drop to term TCs of 130kt and more super typhoons ( as Gary earlier >wrote) and envisages to use the Saffir/Simpson scale for its entire AOR. >It also envisages to switch to 06 hourly warnings for SH also . It has >already done so this year for some of the TCs .It is not specified if >they will use the scale set up for tropical islands that Gary passed >along to us or if they will stick with the one used for the US. It also >wants to strengthen its links with the worldwide media which already rely >exclusively on it. Seems to have a sort of (healthy) rilvary in the air >and believe that JTWC wants to take the bull by the horns. But it must >rest assured itsproducts will not passed unnoticed in France any longer >since here and within the French islands and Mauritius ( I read the local >press) it has never been more noticed than today. With the internet today >it is easy to see that they provide unrivalled quality products ( where >else do you find sat pictures for each TC with a map and all the other >products updated constantly for free apart probably with NHC although I >find JTWC products better.) Best regards to all Patrick ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Carl Smith. Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia. carls at ace-net.com.au Cyclone Tracking Maps Website: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm Current Cyclone Information Page: http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 005 X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 07:16:00 +1000 To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com] From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve now Cat 2 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning. PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 27 Issued at 3:45 am WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between BIDYADANGA and EXMOUTH. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Carnarvon. At 3am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 100 kilometres north of Port Hedland and 235 kilometres northeast of Karratha. The cyclone has resumed a steady west southwest track at 15 kilometres per hour. Gales with gusts to 125 kilometres per hour are expected in coastal areas between Bidyadanga and Whim Creek at first, extending westwards towards Onslow later today and towards Exmouth tonight. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying areas in the west Kimberley, Eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara tonight. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 3am WST. Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of Latitude 19.4 South Longitude 118.6 East. Recent movement : westsouthwest at 15 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 980 hPa. Wind gusts : 125 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: Blue alert: La Grange [Bidyadanga], Eighty Mile Beach, Pardoo, Sandfire, Wallal, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Whim Creek, Point Samson, Wickham, Roebourne, Karratha, Dampier, Mardie and Onslow. The next warning will be issued at 7.00 am WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 006 X-Sender: mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.6 (32) Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 10:51:53 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Miguel de Salas [mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Volcanoes impact on weather? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com At 01:05 PM 04-03-2000 +0800, you wrote: > The climate would change all over the world, it would be like an Ice age >if the level of blocking was sufficient enough, or on a lesser amount of >blocking out the earth would cool down a great deal literally. A brief reminder that we actually are in an ice age right now, as has been most of the Pleistocene/Holocene. You mean a glaciation? Miguel de Salas School of Plant Science, University of Tasmania, PO Box 252-55, Sandy Bay, Hobart Tasmania, Australia, 7001. mailto://mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au My Moths Page: http://members.xoom.com/migueldes/moths/moths.html +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 007 X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 10:01:48 +1000 To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com] From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve animation updated#28, now 140 hm/hr. Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. TC Steve map animation at http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/StevePilbaraAnim.htm updated to BoM #28. Steve has intensified and has changed course, moving closer to the coast towards the Roebourne-Karratha area. Regards, Carl. IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 28 Issued at 6:50 am WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between SANDFIRE ROADHOUSE and EXMOUTH. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Carnarvon. At 6am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 70 kilometres northwest of Port Hedland and 175 kilometres northeast of Karratha. The cyclone has moved on a more southwest track at 15 kilometres per hour and is expected to be close to Karratha this evening. Destructive winds with gusts to 140 kilometres per hour are expected between Port Hedland and Karratha, extending westwards towards Onslow during the day and towards Exmouth this evening or tonight. Gales also extend eastwards to Sandfire Roadhouse. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying areas in the west Kimberley, Eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara during the day. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 6am WST. Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of Latitude 19.8 South Longitude 118.2 East. Recent movement : southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 975 hPa. Wind gusts : 140 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: Blue alert: La Grange [Bidyadanga], Eighty Mile Beach, Pardoo, Sandfire, Wallal, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Whim Creek, Point Samson, Wickham, Roebourne, Karratha, Dampier, Mardie and Onslow. The next warning will be issued at 10.00 am WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. 088 WTXS35 PGTW 052100 AMD 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (STEVE) WARNING NR 021A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 19.9S9 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.4S6 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 20.9S1 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.6S9 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.8S2 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.7S4 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.0S2 118.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE) HAS TAKEN A SUDDEN WESTWARD TURN AWAY FROM THE COAST OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. EARLIER WARNING PROJECTED THE SYSTEM TO MOVE ON SHORE AROUND 060600Z2. LANDFALL IS NO LONGER EXPECTED DUE TO THE SHIFT TO THE WEST. THEREFORE, WARNING 21 HAS BEEN AMENDED TO REFLECT THE TRACK CHANGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE), LOCATED ABOUT 22 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND RADAR DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC SURFACE DATA. A 051308Z7 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) DEPICTED TWO BANDING FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. THE FIRST, EXTENDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT, FROM THE EIGHTY MILE BEACH TO PORT HEDLAND. THE SECOND, OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATED THAT OVERALL, THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED OVER THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA RADAR LOOP REVEALS A RATHER BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER JUST NORTH OF POISSONIER POINT. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTIVE BAND OVER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST AUSTRALIA TO THE NORTHWEST REGION OF QUEENSLAND IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS POSITION THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTERWARD, IT WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWEST AUSTRALIA AND SHIFT INTO A MORE POLEWARD PATTERN AS AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST. TC 14P (STEVE) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTERWARD, TC 14P SHOULD TRACK MORE SOUTHWARD WITHIN A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. TC 14P (STEVE) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHWEST CAPE. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMMENDMENT: SUDDEN SHIFT IN TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 008 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 12:02:38 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Volcanoes impact on weather? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Miguel de Salas wrote on Mon, 06 Mar 2000 10:51:53 +1100: > > At 01:05 PM 04-03-2000 +0800, Mark Dwyer wrote: > > The climate would change all over the world, it would be > > like an Ice age if the level of blocking was sufficient enough, > > or on a lesser amount of blocking out the earth would cool down > > a great deal literally. > > A brief reminder that we actually are in an ice age right now, as > has been most of the Pleistocene/Holocene. You mean a glaciation? Hey Miguel...what support is there for the assertion that "we actually are in an ice age right now...". With respect to the Pleistocene/Holocene period that has been dominated by numerous "glaciations", I thought that the current climatological period is classified as an "interglacial", meaning that we fully expect another galacial period to occur in the future, notwithstanding the opposite effects of human-induced global warming...The comment above taken literally means that "ice age" does not equal "glaciation" but refers to a much longer period of time...This is VERY confusing to me...Could you please clarify what this answer means? On the subject of "vulcanism -> changes in weather", you'll find that the answer is a resounding yes but there are qualifications. While many major active volcanos spew cubic kilometers of ash and dust into the atmosphere, there are different consequences of this depending on where that material circulates within the atmosphere. In the lower parts, I've heard that it can cause a net heating effect but above the tropopause, net inward solar radiation flux is reduced resulting in some cooling. During modern meteorological observation times, one can plot the onset of major eruptions against mean temperature and correlate the effect, however during these recent times, such events are merely a pimple on the "climate" record, lasting a few years at most. This is quite unlike the global-warming phenomena... The same cannot be said of the period leading up to the end of the Cretaceous that was riddled with major volcanic activity along many major fault lines. This resulted in some challenging conditions for dinosaur survival, whose fate was probably sealed by a comet or meteor impact, then set in concrete by the isolation of Antartica as Australia and South America broke away and moved north leaving a body of water in-between these continents and Antartica. This was the birth of the Antartic Circumpolar Current that locked this great southern continent in perpetual glaciation, heralding the start of sequantial glaciation events during the Pleistocene/Holocene (65MYA -> present). There was also a significant bout of vulcanism during Homo Erectus's reign (~3-1.5MYA) and later when Homo Sapien's first emerged (~1.5MYA). Some of these are said to have rendered the fledgling human populations world-wide to less than 500 individuals as they suffered starvation through the effects of not just a year-or-two-bout of cooler weather, but decades of significant climate change that overturned eco-systems world-wide. It was a case for humans of adapt or die. It seems in hindsight that Homo Sapien's adapted and flourished. I wonder if the same will be said in hindsight of human-induced-climate-change... Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 009 X-Sender: mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.6 (32) Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 12:38:17 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Miguel de Salas [mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Volcanoes impact on weather? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com At 12:02 PM 06-03-2000 +1100, you wrote: >Miguel de Salas wrote on Mon, 06 Mar 2000 10:51:53 +1100: >> >> At 01:05 PM 04-03-2000 +0800, Mark Dwyer wrote: >> > The climate would change all over the world, it would be >> > like an Ice age if the level of blocking was sufficient enough, >> > or on a lesser amount of blocking out the earth would cool down >> > a great deal literally. >> >> A brief reminder that we actually are in an ice age right now, as >> has been most of the Pleistocene/Holocene. You mean a glaciation? > >Hey Miguel...what support is there for the assertion that "we >actually are in an ice age right now...". With respect to the >Pleistocene/Holocene period that has been dominated by numerous >"glaciations", I thought that the current climatological period >is classified as an "interglacial", meaning that we fully expect >another galacial period to occur in the future, notwithstanding >the opposite effects of human-induced global warming...The comment >above taken literally means that "ice age" does not equal >"glaciation" but refers to a much longer period of time...This >is VERY confusing to me...Could you please clarify what this >answer means? > That's right. When Australia and South America separated from Antarctica, and allowed a circumpolar current to form, an earth in which even the poles had a climate as is found in the tropics today (warm and wet) was slowly plunged into an ice age. An Ice Age is thus a long time span (millions of years), which encompasses several glaciations, separated by interglacials, one of which is the Holocene. An ice age refers to a climate change in a much larger scale (both in space and time) than a glaciation, which usually only lasts 100,000-140,000 years. There is evidence of smaller glaciations during the tertiary (Oligocene, I think), the cause of which is poorly understood. Furthermore, it's not clearly known if they formed part of an ice age or not. Hope it helps Cheers Miguel de Salas School of Plant Science, University of Tasmania, PO Box 252-55, Sandy Bay, Hobart Tasmania, Australia, 7001. mailto://mm_de at postoffice.utas.edu.au My Moths Page: http://members.xoom.com/migueldes/moths/moths.html +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 010 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 13:31:55 +1100 From: David Carroll [davidkc at nia.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.08 [en] (Win95; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Everyone -- Finally Bathurst has got some decent rain,, only just started here.. Looks like it will stay for awhile.. Gutters are already overflowing in my street... Thunder really letting loose now.. Dave.. > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 011 X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 12:33:29 +1000 To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com] From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve animation updated#29, now 150 hm/hr. Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. TC Steve map animation at http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/StevePilbaraAnim.htm updated to BoM #29. Steve has intensified to gusts of 150 km/hr and seems to be going to go close to Karratha. Regards, Carl. IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 29 Issued at 9:50 am WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between WALLAL and EXMOUTH. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Carnarvon. At 10am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 105 kilometres west northwest of Port Hedland and 105 kilometres northeast of Karratha. The cyclone will pass close to Wickham and Karratha late this afternoon and this evening. Destructive winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are expected between Port Hedland and Dampier today, extending westwards to Onslow overnight. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying areas in the west Kimberley, eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara during the day. Tides between Port Hedland and Dampier will be higher than normal leading to some flooding of low-lying coastal areas. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 10 am WST. Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of Latitude 20.1 South Longitude 117.6 East. Recent movement : west southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 975 hPa. Wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: Yellow Alert: Whim Creek, Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson, Karratha and Dampier. Blue alert: Wallal, Pardoo, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Mardie, Pannawonnica and Onslow. The next warning will be issued at 11.00 am WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. 128 WTXS35 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (STEVE) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 20.1S3 117.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S3 117.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.7S9 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.3S6 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.3S7 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 23.7S2 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 26.7S5 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.3S5 117.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14P (STEVE), LOCATED ABOUT 52 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND RADAR DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC SURFACE DATA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTED NEW CONVECTION DEVELOPING AND BUILDING IN TOWARD THE BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE MAJORITY OF THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REMAIN OVER THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA RADAR LOOP REVEALS A RATHER BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER JUST NORTH- NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS PROPAGATING OVER THE ROEBOURNE, DAMPIER AREA. MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST AUSTRALIA TO THE NORTHWEST REGION OF QUEENSLAND IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS POSITION THROUGH 36 HOURS. AFTERWARD, IT WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWEST AUSTRALIA AND SHIFT INTO A MORE POLEWARD PATTERN AS AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST. TC 14P (STEVE) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD JUST OFF THE COAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARD, TC 14P SHOULD TRACK MORE SOUTHWARD WITHIN A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. TC 14P (STEVE) SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHWEST CAPE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NORMAN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 012 From: "Keith & Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Karratha now on Yellow alert Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 10:23:49 +0800 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey all :) Well it looks like Steve has bulls eyed Karratha for the 3rd hit on the coast in only a week. Quite amazing when you think about it when this Tropical Low started about 3000kms + away in the Coral Sea. Winds are expected to be about the same intensity to what Cairnes experianced when it hit last week at about 150km/h 975hPa Cat 2...BoM think it wont intensify anymore due to proximity to the coast. Very dark here atm with the winds only strong gusting to Gale force with a current temp of 24.2C with a current pressure of 987.9hPa and falling. Latest Advice: BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 29 Issued at 9:50 am WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between WALLAL and EXMOUTH. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Carnarvon. At 10am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 105 kilometres west northwest of Port Hedland and 105 kilometres northeast of Karratha. The cyclone will pass close to Wickham and Karratha late this afternoon and this evening. Destructive winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are expected between Port Hedland and Dampier today, extending westwards to Onslow overnight. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying areas in the west Kimberley, eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara during the day. Tides between Port Hedland and Dampier will be higher than normal leading to some flooding of low-lying coastal areas. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 10 am WST. Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of Latitude 20.1 South Longitude 117.6 East. Recent movement : west southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 975 hPa. Wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: Yellow Alert: Whim Creek, Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson, Karratha and Dampier. Blue alert: Wallal, Pardoo, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Mardie, Pannawonnica and Onslow. The next warning will be issued at 11.00 am WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. Regards Jason & Keith Getting ready for a taste of a QLD TC :D www.kisser.net.au/kevans/weather Weather station now Online :) Just as i finish this Heavy rain starting to fall......... 013 From: "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: SE QLD weather (5/3/00) Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 13:05:50 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all Yesterday arvo I was watching the action develop on the lightning tracker (teletext) but my hands were tied by personal commitments. I finally managed to get out at 4.30pm when the storm in the Boonah-Beaudesert area seemed to be weakening. As soon as I was on the road, a rather spectacular shelf cloud was seen, suprising me quite a lot! The cirrus anvil was rather thin however, with the sun fighting to shine through it. Of course I couldn't find a spot off the side of Mt Lindsay Highway to take pics of this - the traffic and the trees conspired against me. Even though it was visably weakening I thought I'd make my way to a hill south of Jimboomba to hopefully take some good sunset/rain curtain pics. On the way I saw several CCs and a couple of purple flashes of sheet lightning. That may sound pretty ordinary, but it was my first lightning for soooooo long - probably since mid January! Anyway I reached the lookout as steady rain descended on the area as well as masses of low cloud. This low cloud was all over the hills, and by the sunset arrived, I was taking a heap of pics of orange low cloud shrouding the hills. This may sound crappola, but at least it was something!!! Well, almost something. The storm had long since died out, leaving just light rain. It was my first chase in my new chasemobile and maybe if I'd left a bit earlier I would have seen some descent CGs and shelf clouds etc. I'd give the sunset I witnessed a 7.5/10. Regards James Chambers Logan City. >http://www.angelfire.com/ok2/gany/images/0503001.jpg 3:30pm est west >http://www.angelfire.com/ok2/gany/images/0503002.jpg 3:30pm sw >http://www.angelfire.com/ok2/gany/images/0503003.jpg 4:00pm west >http://www.angelfire.com/ok2/gany/images/0503004.jpg ' ' north >http://www.angelfire.com/ok2/gany/images/0503005.jpg ' ' sw >http://www.angelfire.com/ok2/gany/images/0503006.jpg ' ' east > >enjoy what we have >see yas +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 014 X-Authentication-Warning: neumann.maths.monash.edu.au: robert owned process doing -bs Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 14:22:25 +1100 (EST) From: Robert Goler [robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au] X-Sender: robert at neumann.maths.monash.edu.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Any others like Steve? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all I was just wondering, has any other cyclones performed similar feats as TC Steve has over the last week? ie originally forming in the Coral Sea, tracked westward, redeveloped in the Gulf of Carpentaria, continued westward, and finally redeveloped again off the coast of WA. Cheers -- Robert A. Goler E-mail robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au http://www.maths.monash.edu.au/~robert/ Department of Mathematics and Statistics Monash University Clayton, Vic 3800 Australia -- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 015 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 14:34:28 +1100 From: David Carroll [davidkc at nia.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.08 [en] (Win95; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com More update in BX,,, Several blackouts across town with lightning strikes.. Police Station has no power or phones,, also no traffic lights.. David Carroll wrote: > Hi Everyone -- > > Finally Bathurst has got some decent rain,, only just started here.. Looks > like it will stay for awhile.. Gutters are already overflowing in my street... > > Thunder really letting loose now.. > > Dave.. > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 016 From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au To: " - *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Another TC for Cairns Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 13:14:46 +0930 X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id WAA14542 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey all. NOGAPS shows anothe rpossible TC for Cairns. 72Hr shows a deep low forming in the monsoonal trough. It hits about 120 hrs.....maybe another Steve? Ps - hot & humid here today has left poor ald Matt panting....hehehehe. Not used to this lovely tropical weather. Paul in Darwin. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 017 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Any others like Steve? To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 14:56:35 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL2] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > > > Hi all > > I was just wondering, has any other cyclones performed similar feats as TC > Steve has over the last week? > ie originally forming in the Coral Sea, tracked westward, redeveloped in > the Gulf of Carpentaria, continued westward, and finally redeveloped again > off the coast of WA. > > > Cheers > Just been looking at this in the library in the last few minutes :-) An inspection of Lourensz's track maps for the period up to 1980 reveals two that fit quite closely: cyclone number 5 (15-27 March 1960) and Madge (1-18 March 1973). Both crossed Cape York Peninsula somewhat further north than Steve did. Madge, after its reformation off WA, did not make landfall again, plugging away into the Indian Ocean, whilst the 1960 system behaved much as Steve is forecast to, skirting the WA coast to Perth and beyond. I haven't checked post-1980 tracks as yet. Blair Trewin +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 018 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Fiztroy River Flood Recored has fallen To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 15:01:01 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL2] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > > The record was 11.4M bcak in 96, read below for the current flood > advice, they have just said on the new's in an interview with the Head > of Severe Wx Perth, that it will or should peak around 12 Metres. > > IDW40W17 > I think this is a misinterpretation of the advice - the 1996 figure quoted is just the most recent major flood, not the highest. (Current warnings quote a 1993 flood at 12.4 m - which is not expected to be surpassed. I do not know whether or not this is a record). Blair Trewin +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 019 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 15:15:35 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com David Carroll wrote: > > More update in BX,,, > > Several blackouts across town with lightning strikes.. > Police Station has no power or phones,, also no traffic > lights.. Took a peak at the radar archive. It reveals; 1) This storm moved NNW whilst other cells all around were moving ESE. 2) Wonderful zone of convergence within the trough is revealed by a line running NNE to SSW that starts through Gosford at 0000Z (11am) and moves over Sydney by 0340Z (2:40pm). Cells to the WNW of this line are moving ESE (with the exception of the Bathurst storm). Cells to the ESE of this line are moving NNE. 3) There is a hint of circulation forming around a potential "low" forming 200km to the E of Wollongong. 4) Lots of "red" in a complex, but near stationary storm system 30km to the W of Coffs Harbour. I think we'll have an interesting storm few days ahead around the Sydney environ Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 020 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another TC for Cairns To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 15:22:07 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL2] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > Ps - hot & humid here today has left poor ald Matt panting....hehehehe. Not > used to this lovely tropical weather. > > Paul in Darwin. It could be warmer - Darwin has just competed a run of 6 consecutive days below 30, which is unusual, although not by any means unprecedented. The longest such run between October and March is 9 days, 14-22 March 1989. There have been numerous much longer runs in winter, the longest being 22 days (3-24 June 1949). Blair Trewin +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 021 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: aus-wx: Info on Cyclone Eline and southern African rain To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather) Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 15:47:04 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL2] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com There is a detailed report on Cyclone Eline (including track maps, satellite pics and rainfall reports) on the South African Weather Bureau website, http://cirrus.sawb.gov.za/. Some of the rainfall totals for February are phenomenal. A number of stations topped 1000mm for the month, in a region where the climatological normal is typically 100-200mm (central Queensland will do as a comparison). Equally interesting, although I haven't seen many numbers on it, is how far west the rains penetrated - I saw a report of one place in southern Namibia, with an annual mean of around 100mm, getting 160 in a day. I don't know whether or not the rains penetrated all the way to the Namibian coast, which is genuinely extremely arid territory (25-50 mm/year, IIRC). Blair Trewin +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 022 From: "weatherhead" [weatherhead at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 16:07:07 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com We have had torrential rain since 11am, many of the roads around penrith have been cut i the last 15 minutes, including mulgoa, cranebrook and londonderry rd. Wouldn't be suprised if more are cut before this evening. 35mm here in Cranbrook, including 15mm in the last 10 minutes. Having a bit of a problem with water rushing through the garage at the moment. dann ----- Original Message ----- From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Sent: Monday, March 06, 2000 3:15 PM Subject: Re: aus-wx: Bathurst - Heavy Rain And Thunder > David Carroll wrote: > > > > More update in BX,,, > > > > Several blackouts across town with lightning strikes.. > > Police Station has no power or phones,, also no traffic > > lights.. > > Took a peak at the radar archive. It reveals; > > 1) This storm moved NNW whilst other cells all around were > moving ESE. > 2) Wonderful zone of convergence within the trough is revealed > by a line running NNE to SSW that starts through Gosford at 0000Z > (11am) and moves over Sydney by 0340Z (2:40pm). Cells to the WNW > of this line are moving ESE (with the exception of the Bathurst > storm). Cells to the ESE of this line are moving NNE. > 3) There is a hint of circulation forming around a potential > "low" forming 200km to the E of Wollongong. > 4) Lots of "red" in a complex, but near stationary storm system > 30km to the W of Coffs Harbour. > > I think we'll have an interesting storm few days ahead around > the Sydney environ > > Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 023 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 15:06:07 +1000 From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Funnel Pictures Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Everyone, I have uploaded a report written by John Woodbridge on a funnel he saw in Brisbane in December last year http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/products/recentevents.htm I have also uploaded a selection of pictures i took yesterday.. my car broke down so i was not able to chase, but i did end up getting a car for a few hours - i took these pictures http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/assor/05-03-2000/ If i was able to chase i would have got some MUCH better pictures i'd say - especially if i was able to go south during the afternoon like James did.. -- Ben Quinn The Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage (BSCH) http://www.bsch.simplenet.com The Australian Weather Pages Webring http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/webring/index.htm +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 024 From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au To: " - *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another TC for Cairns Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 14:35:45 +0930 X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id AAA25165 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com HI Blair. Hmm Winter would be a horrific thought up here.............maybe dry season? :) Actually, that is why it seems so hot as the temps during STEVE were like only 27 but had DP's of 26 & 27 - very humid but not so hot.... Paul. blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU at SMTP at world.std.com on 06/03/2000 02:30:59 PM Please respond to aussie-weather at world.std.com at SMTP Sent by: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com To: aussie-weather at world.std.com at SMTP cc: Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another TC for Cairns > Ps - hot & humid here today has left poor ald Matt panting....hehehehe. Not > used to this lovely tropical weather. > > Paul in Darwin. It could be warmer - Darwin has just competed a run of 6 consecutive days below 30, which is unusual, although not by any means unprecedented. The longest such run between October and March is 9 days, 14-22 March 1989. There have been numerous much longer runs in winter, the longest being 22 days (3-24 June 1949). Blair Trewin +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 025 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 11:57:33 +0800 From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: TC STEVE update 32, Red alter for jj Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE 2Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 32 Issued at 12:55 pm WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between PARDOO and CORAL BAY. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to DENHAM. At 1pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 145 kilometres west of Port Hedland and 60 kilometres northeast of Karratha. The cyclone will pass close to Wickham and Karratha this afternoon. If the cyclone centre remains offshore it could intensify further to Category 3 overnight or tomorrow. Destructive winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are expected between Whim Creek and Dampier today, extending westwards to Coral Bay tomorrow. Gales with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour are expected in the Port Hedland area today, easing this evening. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding in the eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara during the day. Tides between Port Hedland and Onslow will be higher than normal leading to some flooding of low-lying coastal areas. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 1 pm WST. Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of Latitude 20.3 South Longitude 117.2 East. Recent movement : west southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 975 hPa. Wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: Red alert: Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson, Karratha and Dampier. Yellow Alert: Whim Creek Blue alert: Wallal, Pardoo, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Mardie, Pannawonnica, Onslow and Exmouth. The next warning will be issued at 2 pm WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 13:11:02 +1100 026 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Volcanoes impact on weather? X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id VAA29273 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Please see my interleaved "> " comments... > At 12:02 PM 06-03-2000 +1100, Michael Scollay wrote: > > >Miguel de Salas wrote on Mon, 06 Mar 2000 10:51:53 +1100: > >> > >> At 01:05 PM 04-03-2000 +0800, Mark Dwyer wrote: > >> > The climate would change all over the world, it would be > >> > like an Ice age if the level of blocking was sufficient enough, > >> > or on a lesser amount of blocking out the earth would cool down > >> > a great deal literally. > >> > >> A brief reminder that we actually are in an ice age right now, as > >> has been most of the Pleistocene/Holocene. You mean a glaciation? > > > >Hey Miguel...what support is there for the assertion that "we > >actually are in an ice age right now...". With respect to the > >Pleistocene/Holocene period that has been dominated by numerous > >"glaciations", I thought that the current climatological period > >is classified as an "interglacial", meaning that we fully expect > >another galacial period to occur in the future, notwithstanding > >the opposite effects of human-induced global warming...The comment > >above taken literally means that "ice age" does not equal > >"glaciation" but refers to a much longer period of time...This > >is VERY confusing to me...Could you please clarify what this > >answer means? Miguel de Salas wrote on Mon, 06 Mar 2000 12:38:17 +1100: > That's right. When Australia and South America separated from > Antarctica, and allowed a circumpolar current to form, an earth > in which even the poles had a climate as is found in the tropics > today (warm and wet) was slowly plunged into an ice age. An Ice > Age is thus a long time span (millions of years), which > encompasses several glaciations, separated by interglacials, one > of which is the Holocene. An ice age refers to a climate change > in a much larger scale (both in space and time) than a glaciation, > which usually only lasts 100,000-140,000 years. Thanks for that clarification. One learns something new every day... > There is evidence of smaller glaciations during the tertiary > (Oligocene, I think), the cause of which is poorly understood. > Furthermore, it's not clearly known if they formed part of an > ice age or not. Agreed...it's somewhat difficult to get detailed ice-core samples from this time:-) Mind you, the same cannot be said about the message in Antartic ice-core samples of the last 400,000 years... > Hope it helps Certainly does, but I'd like some more while on the subject:-) If you can recommend some good links or books toward very recent research into the ACC, that would be greatly appreciated. I am particularly interested in the effects of West Antartic Ice sheet melting and what this might do to "fuel" cold surface current anomaly conditions such as "La Niņo". Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 027 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Still dry in parts of the Illawarra Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 18:05:13 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Believe it or not there are still some parts of the Illawarra that have yet the receive a measurable fall of rain from today and over the past 3-4 days. At 6pm it is still dry here, we had some brief showers yesterday morning, but these were isolated to the Shellharbour area within 1km of the ocean. Today there were some brief showers along the escarpment and northwards of Wollongong itself. Port Kembla through to Windang remain rainless. The lastest radar loops are hard to judge, the rain seems to be sitting over the same areas. I do not share the forecast for the Illawarra of rain periods with heavy falls, unless this trough really starts firing overnight I see the Illawarra being the cutoff point for rain, with none southwards of Sydney. I do hope I am wrong !!! Michael Thompson http://thunder.simplenet.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 028 From: "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: TC STEVE radar Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 16:55:55 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook CWS, Build 9.0.2416 (9.0.2910.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, I have been watching TC Steve on the radar loop for most of the day, and I have several times seen what appears to be a section of the NE eye wall drift SW through the circulation centre, which then reforms behind it. Curious. John. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 029 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Karratha now on Yellow alert Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 18:22:27 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com The freaky thing about Steve is that some of its cloud may by next make it back to the Pacific ! Michael ----- Original Message ----- From: Keith & Jason To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Sent: Monday, 6 March 2000 12:23 Subject: aus-wx: Karratha now on Yellow alert Hey all :) Well it looks like Steve has bulls eyed Karratha for the 3rd hit on the coast in only a week. Quite amazing when you think about it when this Tropical Low started about 3000kms + away in the Coral Sea. Winds are expected to be about the same intensity to what Cairnes experianced when it hit last week at about 150km/h 975hPa Cat 2...BoM think it wont intensify anymore due to proximity to the coast. Very dark here atm with the winds only strong gusting to Gale force with a current temp of 24.2C with a current pressure of 987.9hPa and falling. Latest Advice: BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 29 Issued at 9:50 am WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between WALLAL and EXMOUTH. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Carnarvon. At 10am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 105 kilometres west northwest of Port Hedland and 105 kilometres northeast of Karratha. The cyclone will pass close to Wickham and Karratha late this afternoon and this evening. Destructive winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are expected between Port Hedland and Dampier today, extending westwards to Onslow overnight. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying areas in the west Kimberley, eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara during the day. Tides between Port Hedland and Dampier will be higher than normal leading to some flooding of low-lying coastal areas. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 10 am WST. Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of Latitude 20.1 South Longitude 117.6 East. Recent movement : west southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 975 hPa. Wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: Yellow Alert: Whim Creek, Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson, Karratha and Dampier. Blue alert: Wallal, Pardoo, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Mardie, Pannawonnica and Onslow. The next warning will be issued at 11.00 am WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. Regards Jason & Keith Getting ready for a taste of a QLD TC :D www.kisser.net.au/kevans/weather Weather station now Online :) Just as i finish this Heavy rain starting to fall......... 030 From: "Max King" [mnk at Dingoblue.net.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC STEVE radar Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 18:25:48 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I've noticed the same thing John Max ----- Original Message ----- From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Sent: Monday, March 06, 2000 4:55 PM Subject: RE: aus-wx: TC STEVE radar > Hi All, > > I have been watching TC Steve on the radar loop for most of the day, and I > have several times seen what appears to be a section of the NE eye wall > drift SW through the circulation centre, which then reforms behind it. > Curious. > > John. > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 031 X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 17:49:56 +1000 To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com] From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve animation updated#34, 40 km NNW of Karratha Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. TC Steve map animation at http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/StevePilbaraAnim.htm updated to BoM #34. Steve is passing 40 km NMW of Karratha, which is under RED ALERT. Due to internet congestion, will not be updating till about midnight EST. Regards, Carl. IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE 2Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 34 Issued at 2:55 pm WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between PARDOO and CORAL BAY. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to DENHAM. At 3pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 40 kilometres north northwest of Karratha and 215 kilometres northeast of Onslow. The cyclone is currently passing to the north of Karratha and Dampier. If the cyclone centre remains offshore it could intensify further to Category 3 overnight or tomorrow. Destructive winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are expected between Whim Creek and Dampier today, extending westwards to Exmouth and Coral Bay tomorrow. Gales with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour are expected in the Port Hedland area today, easing this evening. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding in the eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara during the day. Tides between Port Hedland and Onslow will be higher than normal leading to some flooding of low-lying coastal areas. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 3 pm WST. Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of Latitude 20.4 South Longitude 116.7 East. Recent movement : west southwest at 18 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 975 hPa. Wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: RED ALERT: Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson, Karratha and Dampier. YELLOW ALERT: Whim Creek BLUE ALERT: Wallal, Pardoo, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Mardie, Pannawonica, Tom Price, Onslow and Exmouth. The next warning will be issued at 4 pm WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 032 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 15:58:14 +0800 From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve update # 35/ Karratha on Red Alert Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE 2Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 35 Issued at 3:55 pm WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between PARDOO and CORAL BAY. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to DENHAM. At 4pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 50 kilometres northwest of Karratha and 195 kilometres northeast of Onslow and moving west southwest at 18 kilometres per hour. If the cyclone centre remains offshore it could intensify further to Category 3 overnight or tomorrow. Destructive winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are expected between Whim Creek and Onslow this evening and overnight, extending westwards to Exmouth and Coral Bay tomorrow. Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected in the Port Hedland area today, easing this evening. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding in the eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara during the day. Tides between Port Hedland and Onslow will be higher than normal leading to some flooding of low-lying coastal areas. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 4 pm WST. Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of Latitude 20.4 South Longitude 116.5 East. Recent movement : west southwest at 18 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 975 hPa. Wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: RED ALERT: Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson, Karratha and Dampier. YELLOW ALERT: Whim Creek BLUE ALERT: Wallal, Pardoo, Warralong, Port Hedland, South Hedland, Yandeyarra, Mardie, Pannawonica, Tom Price, Onslow and Exmouth. The next warning will be issued at 5 pm WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 033 X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.2 Date: Sun, 05 Mar 2000 22:22:45 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: Report hail to Andrew Treloar please.. Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi folks, Those on the list who reported hail yesterday, could you please report the hail size, time, and suburb to Andrew Treloar please. In the areas covered by the radar (Sydney Metro, Wollondilly, Blue Mtns etc...), Andrew wants hail of any size reported so that he can study the hail sizes associated with radar echos. His e-mail address is: A.Treloar at bom.gov.au Thanks Jimmy Deguara +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 034 X-Authentication-Warning: neumann.maths.monash.edu.au: robert owned process doing -bs Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2000 20:15:53 +1100 (EST) From: Robert Goler [robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au] X-Sender: robert at neumann.maths.monash.edu.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Funnel Pictures Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > I have also uploaded a selection of pictures i took yesterday.. my car > broke down so i was not able to chase, but i did end up getting a car > for a few hours - i took these pictures > > http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/assor/05-03-2000/ > > If i was able to chase i would have got some MUCH better pictures i'd > say - especially if i was able to go south during the afternoon like > James did.. Hi Ben I was perusing through your, in my opinion, terrific pickies in the above directory, and Image31 caught my attention. There is this long thin line of something extending diagonally down from the cloud at the top of the frame, to the middle. What is it? Cheers -- Robert A. Goler E-mail robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au http://www.maths.monash.edu.au/~robert/ Department of Mathematics and Statistics Monash University Clayton, Vic 3800 Australia -- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 035 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 19:58:20 +1000 From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Funnel Pictures Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Robert, <> > There is this long thin line > of something extending diagonally down from the cloud at the top of the > frame, to the middle. > What is it? Got me buggered - i didn't even notice it when i took the picture - mind you i took it from a roundabout, and i got 3 beeps and a finger while taking just that one picture.. Highly unlikely it's a funnel (in my oppinion).. the cloud at the top was the leading edge of the anvil from a strorm to my WNW.. It will go in the 'geeze i wish i took more pictures' basket, and in the 'geeze i wish i noticed that when i took the picture' basket - which are both filling quickly :P > > E-mail robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au > http://www.maths.monash.edu.au/~robert/ > > Department of Mathematics and Statistics > Monash University > Clayton, Vic 3800 > Australia > > -- > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -- Ben Quinn The Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage (BSCH) http://www.bsch.simplenet.com The Australian Weather Pages Webring http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/webring/index.htm +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 036 X-Originating-IP: [210.84.2.251] From: "Paul Graham" [v_notch at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Severe Storms for NE NSW, Wednesday? Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 02:59:26 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi everyone, At long last it looks like we have a nice upper level system to produce some storms in E NSW. I noticed that both the AVN and the NGP models show a sharp upper level trough forming with strong cyclonic curvature by Wednesday. An associated entry region to a jetstream is apparent through the NE of NSW. If the dew points remain high enough, storm chasers may be in for a treat... - Paul G. PS. Keep an eye on tomorrow afternoon too! ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 037 Date: Mon, 06 Mar 2000 19:06:28 +0800 From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve update # 39 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com IDW50W05 BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE 2Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 39 Issued at 7:55 pm WST on Monday, 6 March 2000 BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between PORT HEDLAND and CORAL BAY. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to DENHAM. At 8pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE was located 60 kilometres west northwest of Karratha and 165 kilometres northeast of Onslow. The cyclone has begun to resume moving west southwest at 18 kilometres per hour. If the cyclone centre remains offshore it could intensify to Category 3 overnight or tomorrow. Destructive winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are expected between Whim Creek and Onslow overnight, extending westwards to Exmouth and Coral Bay tomorrow. Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are easing in the Port Hedland area. Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding in the eastern and central Pilbara regions extending to the western Pilbara during the day. Tides between Port Hedland and Onslow will be higher than normal leading to some flooding of low-lying coastal areas. Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE STEVE at 8 pm WST. Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of Latitude 20.6 South Longitude 116.3 East. Recent movement : West southwest at 18 kilometres per hour. Central Pressure : 975 hPa. Wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour. Severity category : 2 The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts: RED ALERT: Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson, Karratha and Dampier. YELLOW ALERT: Whim Creek, Mardie, Pannawonica, Onslow and Exmouth. BLUE ALERT: Tom Price, Paraburdoo, Wittenoom, and Coral Bay. The next warning will be issued at 9 pm WST. This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

Document: 000306.htm
Updated: 18 March 2000

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