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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 21st February 1999

    From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 Michael Fewings [mike at strikeone.com.au]        happy99.exe virus
002 Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]       happy99.exe virus
003 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Cyclone Frank: interesting scenarios for middle of next week
004 Michael Fewings [mike at strikeone.com.au]        happy99.exe virus
005 "truffles at xenon.net" [truffles at xenon.net]      Ballina Supercell 18/2
006 Ross Portas [rportas at mindless.com]             Ballina Supercell 18/2
007 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]           Ballina Supercell 18/2
008 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Ocean temperatures
009 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     Ballina Supercell 18/2
010 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Ocean temperatures
011 Greg Spencer [hawk at aisnet.net.au]              Ballina Supercell 18/2
012 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]            Rals Pics.
013 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   happy99.exe virus
014 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     Cyclone Frank: interesting scenarios for middle of next week
015 Ben Quinn [Bodie19 at eisa.net.au]                Ocean temperatures
016 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         More dangerous swells for NSW?
017 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Cyclone Frank: interesting scenarios for middle of next week

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001

Date: Sat, 20 Feb 1999 23:21:46 +0800
From: Michael Fewings [mike at strikeone.com.au]
Organization: Strike One Lightning Photos
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: happy99.exe virus
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all,

I am not one to spread rumours about virus's that wander the
net but this one I got from another list similar to this one
is worth mentioning.
It is called happy99.exe and comes in emails as attachments.
When the person receiving the email opens up the attachment
(similar to the way you would have when you got it), is that
it puts 2 files on your hard drive
ska.exe and
ska.dll
it also changes your winsock32.dll file
If you find ska.exe, ska.dll or happy99.exe  on your
computer, then you have this virus. It is not harmful except
it makes attachments to your out going emails without you
knowing about it and all your correspondents including mail
lists get the attachment (a bit nasty).

I don't think this list is too much at risk as we don't
allow attachments through by rule, but a few have slipped
through and it doesn't hurt to be informed.

Anyway hope things are well and look forward to catching up
on 2 weeks of posts to the list.
(191 emails waiting to be read)
--
Michael Fewings
Strike One Lightning Photos
http://strikeone.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
002

X-Sender: cmaunder at mail.dynamite.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0.5 (32)
Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 08:53:37 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: happy99.exe virus
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Happy99 is a confirmed worm. Check out the description at

http://beta.nai.com/public/datafiles/valerts/vinfo/w32ska.htm

The is the fist email virus warning I've seen that is actually
legit. Miracles happen!

cheers,
Chris

At 23:21 20/02/99 +0800, you wrote:
>Hi all,
>
>I am not one to spread rumours about virus's that wander the
>net but this one I got from another list similar to this one
>is worth mentioning.
>It is called happy99.exe and comes in emails as attachments.
>When the person receiving the email opens up the attachment
>(similar to the way you would have when you got it), is that
>it puts 2 files on your hard drive
>ska.exe and
>ska.dll
>it also changes your winsock32.dll file
>If you find ska.exe, ska.dll or happy99.exe  on your
>computer, then you have this virus. It is not harmful except
>it makes attachments to your out going emails without you
>knowing about it and all your correspondents including mail
>lists get the attachment (a bit nasty).
>
>I don't think this list is too much at risk as we don't
>allow attachments through by rule, but a few have slipped
>through and it doesn't hurt to be informed.
>
>Anyway hope things are well and look forward to catching up
>on 2 weeks of posts to the list.
>(191 emails waiting to be read)
>--
>Michael Fewings
>Strike One Lightning Photos
>http://strikeone.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
003

From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: aus-wx: Cyclone Frank: interesting scenarios for middle of next week
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 14:33:41 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

The GASP and UK Met Office models both show Cyclone Frank moving on
a SSW course east of Australia, ending up running parallel to the NSW
coast and penetrating deep into the mid-latitudes. UKMO has it as a
975 hPa low on Thursday night off the south coast of NSW. (The 
European model kills the system off off northern NSW, but has quite
a substantial upper cold pool over northern Victoria and would
probably ultimately be a wetter scenario away from the coast).

If Frank does take this course, the sea surface temperatures off NSW
are high enough (25 C off Sydney, 2-3 C above average) that it could
retain its tropical status a long way south - are we going to see a
tropical cyclone off Sydney? (Note that no model has it making       
landfall in NSW, so the main impacts would be heavy rain and high surf).

Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
004

Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 12:00:04 +0800
From: Michael Fewings [mike at strikeone.com.au]
Organization: Strike One Lightning Photos
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: happy99.exe virus
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Chris and all,

I can personally confirm it because I actually got the virus from the other
mail list that I mentioned in my previous posting. Also the information on how
to erase it from your computer was later posted for the benefit of all who got
it (at least 30 of us!!).
I later read my post and it did seem that I was just warning every one on a
rumour I received.  I can unfortunately say that it was a lot more real than
that.

Happy travelling/chasing/observing/reporting

--
Michael Fewings
Strike One Lightning Photos
http://strikeone.com.au


Chris Maunder wrote:

> Happy99 is a confirmed worm. Check out the description at
>
> http://beta.nai.com/public/datafiles/valerts/vinfo/w32ska.htm
>
> The is the fist email virus warning I've seen that is actually
> legit. Miracles happen!
>
> cheers,
> Chris

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
005

From: "truffles at xenon.net" [truffles at xenon.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: Ballina Supercell 18/2
Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 14:13:18 +-1000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Ok here 'tis .... knock yaselves out!!

http://www.xenon.net/~truffles/feb99.htm

rals at truffles

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
006

Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 14:16:17 +1000
From: Ross Portas [rportas at mindless.com]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Ballina Supercell 18/2
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

ok, I'm knocked out......  Those were great, rals.

"truffles at xenon.net" wrote:

> Ok here 'tis .... knock yaselves out!!
>
> http://www.xenon.net/~truffles/feb99.htm
>
> rals at truffles

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
007

From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: Ballina Supercell 18/2
Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 15:35:55 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook 8.5, Build 4.71.2173.0
Importance: Normal
X-Ms-Tnef-Correlator: 00000000EAF7FD590B0AD211B14BC86306C10000E4D42200
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

great pics - love the one at 1820 - what a stunner!!
Jane
Bayswater

-----Original Message-----
Ok here 'tis .... knock yaselves out!!

http://www.xenon.net/~truffles/feb99.htm

rals at truffles

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
008

Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 16:00:41 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Ocean temperatures
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

I have a colleague who has asked me of a good site for Ocean
Temperatures. Does anyone have one?

Thanks,

Lindsay P.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
009

Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 15:03:18 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Ballina Supercell 18/2
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Geez...I love those pics!!  Great overshoot on the first...and the 1820
one is awesome!!  Ok, you told me you were jealous of our Jan 31st
chase, I'm now jealous of this chase...even? :)

Anthony

"truffles at xenon.net" wrote:
> 
> Ok here 'tis .... knock yaselves out!!
> 
> http://www.xenon.net/~truffles/feb99.htm
> 
> rals at truffles

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
010

From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Ocean temperatures
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 16:23:31 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

> 
> I have a colleague who has asked me of a good site for Ocean
> Temperatures. Does anyone have one?
> 
> Thanks,
> 
> Lindsay P.
For global or regional-scale analyses, try the home page of Neville
Smith (of the BMRC Oceanography Group):

http://www.bom.gov.au/bmrc/mrlr/nrs/climocan.htm

(I think this page is accessible from outside the Bureau, but am not
absolutely sure about this).

I'm not sure about water temperature off beaches. There is a link
to a Surf Watch page for Victoria off the Age's home page (http://
www.theage.com.au), but this includes Victorian data only (and I
don't know how reliable it is - plus it probably doesn't operate
outside summer). It may be worth doing a search on surf lifesaving
organisations or the like.

Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
011

Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 13:28:29 +0800
From: Greg Spencer [hawk at aisnet.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Ballina Supercell 18/2
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hey Rals

Great pix. Im with every1 else on the favourite, 1820 pic, what a STUNNING
shot

Well done :-)

Greg Spencer

"truffles at xenon.net" wrote:

> Ok here 'tis .... knock yaselves out!!
>
> http://www.xenon.net/~truffles/feb99.htm
>
> rals at truffles

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
012

From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Rals Pics.
Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 16:53:55 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0)
Importance: Normal
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Great pic Rals. Keep up the good work. I'm knocked out.


 Terry.

mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
013

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: happy99.exe virus
Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 16:57:16 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

I received a so called Internet Explorer 4 patch file, the E Mail said it
was from microsoft support, but I smelt a rat. When you actually looked at
the address properties, the real path was from a couple of Harvard
University accounts.

I have since learnt that these files do similar things as outlined below,
one theory is they try to find things like your credit card number and
forward this on.

Michael


>I am not one to spread rumours about virus's that wander the
>net but this one I got from another list similar to this one
>is worth mentioning.
>It is called happy99.exe and comes in emails as attachments.
>When the person receiving the email opens up the attachment
>(similar to the way you would have when you got it), is that
>it puts 2 files on your hard drive
>ska.exe and
>ska.dll
>it also changes your winsock32.dll file
>If you find ska.exe, ska.dll or happy99.exe  on your
>computer, then you have this virus. It is not harmful except
>it makes attachments to your out going emails without you
>knowing about it and all your correspondents including mail
>lists get the attachment (a bit nasty).
>
>I don't think this list is too much at risk as we don't
>allow attachments through by rule, but a few have slipped
>through and it doesn't hurt to be informed.
>
>Anyway hope things are well and look forward to catching up
>on 2 weeks of posts to the list.
>(191 emails waiting to be read)
>--
>Michael Fewings

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
014

Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 16:40:36 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Cyclone Frank: interesting scenarios for middle of next week
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all,

NGP suggested the same scenario, with Frank nearing very close to Sydney
and possibly making landfall nearby, maintaining fair intensity.  MRF
insists that it'll weaken substainially (possibly due to some shearing)
However, the JTWC models have it losing its tropical characteristics as
it moves over to colder water.  Although the SST's of Sydney are around
25C, further out to sea they decrease to 22-24C, JTWC and NGP suggest
Frank tracking along this cooler water before moving closer to the coast
into the warmer 25C waters that are capable of sustaining a TC.

It certainly may be an interesting scenario, even an extra-tropical
cyclone can pack winds of Cat 3-4 strength given the right conditions
(Hurricane Bonnie had snow yet packed 110mph winds in the states)

Another situation I am keeping an eye on, is that both MRF and NGP are
suggesting a rather strong upper level trough to pass over us, with some
very cold air (for summer) near 558-564 heights!  MRF had vertical
vorticities at -30!!!  Which in my opinion is too extreme, NGP is no
where near as radical as MRF.  However, if Frank does track SSW parralel
to the coast we could get SE winds on Thursday which may ruin any
t'storm chances (although we have gotten t'storms on SE winds before,
it's just that NE winds are preferable) MRF LI's are in the low positive
range (around +3) but LI's are not reliable that far ahead.  Also, the
850 level will 50-80% moisture, which decreases our chance of a rain
event, and increases our chance of possible t'storm event - a 70-90kt
jetstream will also be present.

This is however +120-144hrs ahead, so is rather unreliable
unfortunately.  I am waiting in anticipation for the new NGP models, and
I current cannot access the ECMWF models, but again - will be eager to
see them when the site comes back up.

Anthony from Brisbane

Blair Trewin wrote:
> 
> The GASP and UK Met Office models both show Cyclone Frank moving on
> a SSW course east of Australia, ending up running parallel to the NSW
> coast and penetrating deep into the mid-latitudes. UKMO has it as a
> 975 hPa low on Thursday night off the south coast of NSW. (The
> European model kills the system off off northern NSW, but has quite
> a substantial upper cold pool over northern Victoria and would
> probably ultimately be a wetter scenario away from the coast).
> 
> If Frank does take this course, the sea surface temperatures off NSW
> are high enough (25 C off Sydney, 2-3 C above average) that it could
> retain its tropical status a long way south - are we going to see a
> tropical cyclone off Sydney? (Note that no model has it making
> landfall in NSW, so the main impacts would be heavy rain and high surf).
> 
> Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
015

Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 18:06:31 +1100
From: Ben Quinn [Bodie19 at eisa.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Ocean temperatures
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

> >
> > I have a colleague who has asked me of a good site for Ocean
> > Temperatures. Does anyone have one?
> >
> > Thanks,
> >
> > Lindsay P.

This one seems to be the best..
http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/otis/otis.shtml

http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/environment/imagery/imagery.pl?eaussiecurgac&0

(NOAA Anomaly) 
http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/climo.html

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/sst/latest_sst.gif

There are others, but these seem to be the most accurate to my knowledge

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
016

Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 19:13:20 +1100
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: More dangerous swells for NSW?
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

We could do with a nice, deep inland trough with cyclone Frank feeding moisture
into it...

Michael Thompson wrote:

> I have been keeping an eye on this situation as well, it depends a lot on
> what sort of isobar compression we get between Frank and any high pressure
> near New Zealand, the models do have some of that occurring so it could be
> wax the surfboard early next week.
>
> Sure could do some rain though, over a week without significant rain in
> February is rare here.
>
> Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
017

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Cyclone Frank: interesting scenarios for middle of next week
Date: Sun, 21 Feb 1999 22:39:29 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

>It certainly may be an interesting scenario, even an extra-tropical
>cyclone can pack winds of Cat 3-4 strength given the right conditions


Especially if there is a steep isobar gradient, the GASP model has a
significant high south of South Australia in its scenarios, if true there
will be gale force winds south of cyclone for hundreds of kilometres, and
the subsequent sea swell off SE Australia will be huge.

The cold air you mention may also be matched on the surface, Frank and the
high well south of Australia may act as a pump for southern ocean air, under
this scenario even the inland may get some action ( rain ).

Michael

Document: 990221.htm
Updated: 24th February, 1999

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