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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks September 2002
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

          
             GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - SEPTEMBER 2002


          !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!

*************************************************************************

ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
  forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
  Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida.   A 1-minute averaging
  period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
  warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Storm EDOUARD (05)                         01 - 06 Sep
   Tropical Storm FAY (06)                             04 - 11 Sep
   Tropical Depression (07)                            07 - 08 Sep
   Hurricane GUSTAV (08)                               07 - 14 Sep
   Tropical Storm HANNA (09)                           12 - 16 Sep
   Hurricane ISIDORE (10)                              14 - 27 Sep
   Tropical Storm JOSEPHINE (11)                       17 - 19 Sep
   Hurricane KYLE (12)                                 20 Sep - 17 Oct
   Hurricane LILI (13)                                 21 Sep - 04 Oct

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: EDOUARD               Cyclone Number: 05      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 01 0000  28.3 N   76.4 W         25        From Navy JMV File
02 SEP 01 0600  28.5 N   77.3 W         25
02 SEP 01 1200  28.7 N   78.1 W         25
02 SEP 01 1800  28.9 N   78.9 W  1013   30        First NHC Advisory
02 SEP 02 0000  29.6 N   79.2 W  1010   30
02 SEP 02 0600  30.1 N   79.7 W  1007   35
02 SEP 02 1200  30.4 N   79.6 W  1007   35
02 SEP 02 1800  30.5 N   79.2 W  1005   35
02 SEP 03 0000  30.5 N   78.7 W  1003   35
02 SEP 03 0600  30.4 N   78.6 W  1003   35
02 SEP 03 1200  30.4 N   78.4 W  1003   55
02 SEP 03 1800  30.0 N   79.1 W  1004   45
02 SEP 04 0000  29.7 N   79.1 W  1005   35
02 SEP 04 0600  29.8 N   79.5 W  1002   35
02 SEP 04 1200  29.9 N   79.7 W  1008   35
02 SEP 04 1800  29.7 N   80.5 W  1009   35
02 SEP 05 0000  29.4 N   81.0 W  1009   35        On NE Florida coast
02 SEP 05 0600  29.1 N   81.6 W  1010   25        Inland/See Note
02 SEP 05 1200  28.8 N   82.6 W  1011   20
02 SEP 05 1800  28.7 N   83.4 W  1011   20        Over Gulf of Mexico
02 SEP 06 0000  28.4 N   83.9 W  1009   20
02 SEP 06 0600  28.3 N   84.7 W  1009   20
02 SEP 06 1200  28.5 N   86.0 W  1008   20

Note: Edouard was downgraded to a 30-kt tropical depression at 0300 UTC
on 5 September.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: FAY                   Cyclone Number: 06      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 04 0600  28.0 N   93.5 W         25        From Navy JMV File
02 SEP 04 1200  28.0 N   93.5 W         25
02 SEP 04 1800  28.1 N   93.5 W         25
02 SEP 05 0000  28.1 N   93.5 W         25
02 SEP 05 0600  28.1 N   93.5 W         25
02 SEP 05 1200  28.1 N   93.5 W         30
02 SEP 05 1800  28.0 N   93.8 W  1009   30        First NHC Advisory
02 SEP 06 0000  28.0 N   93.3 W  1006   30
02 SEP 06 0600  27.6 N   94.1 W  1005   35        Upgraded at 06/0300Z
02 SEP 06 1200  27.9 N   94.8 W  1001   50
02 SEP 06 1800  27.8 N   94.7 W   999   50
02 SEP 07 0000  27.8 N   95.0 W   998   50
02 SEP 07 0600  28.0 N   95.5 W   999   50
02 SEP 07 1200  29.1 N   96.9 W  1002   45        Inland in Texas
02 SEP 07 1500  29.2 N   97.3 W  1002   30        Final NHC Advisory
02 SEP 07 2100  28.7 N   98.2 W  1005   17        HPC Summary
02 SEP 08 0300  28.9 N   99.2 W  1003   17        Winds 30 kts on coast
02 SEP 08 0900  28.9 N   99.5 W  1005   17        Winds 25 kts on coast
02 SEP 08 1500  28.8 N   99.4 W  1006   17
02 SEP 08 2100  28.8 N   99.2 W  1008   17
02 SEP 09 0300  28.7 N   99.1 W  1007   17
02 SEP 09 0900  28.7 N   99.1 W  1009   17
02 SEP 09 1500  28.1 N   99.6 W  1010   13
02 SEP 09 2100  27.6 N   99.6 W  1007    9
02 SEP 10 0300  27.4 N   99.4 W  1007   17        Over northern Mexico
02 SEP 10 0900  27.0 N   99.9 W  1008   13
02 SEP 10 1500  26.6 N  100.3 W  1008   13
02 SEP 10 2100  25.6 N   99.8 W  1008   17
02 SEP 11 0300  26.1 N  100.1 W  1008   13

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 07      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 07 1200  24.4 N   47.7 W  1009   30
02 SEP 07 1800  24.5 N   48.2 W  1015   30
02 SEP 08 0000  24.4 N   49.1 W  1016   30
02 SEP 08 0600  24.6 N   50.0 W  1016   25
02 SEP 08 1200  24.4 N   51.3 W  1016   25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: GUSTAV                Cyclone Number: 08      Basin: ATL
(Initially named as Subtropical Storm Gustav)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 07 1800  25.7 N   72.4 W         30        From Navy JMV File
02 SEP 08 0000  26.7 N   71.8 W         30
02 SEP 08 0600  27.8 N   71.3 W         30
02 SEP 08 1200  28.1 N   70.3 W  1010   30        First NHC Advisory
02 SEP 08 1800  30.2 N   71.0 W  1008   35
02 SEP 09 0000  30.9 N   72.1 W  1004   35
02 SEP 09 0600  31.4 N   73.0 W  1004   40
02 SEP 09 1200  31.7 N   73.6 W  1002   40
02 SEP 09 1800  32.0 N   74.4 W   999   40
02 SEP 10 0000  32.2 N   75.5 W   996   45
02 SEP 10 0600  33.0 N   75.8 W   989   50
02 SEP 10 1200  33.7 N   75.4 W   987   50        Reclassified as TS
02 SEP 10 1800  35.0 N   75.4 W   985   50        SE of Cape Hatteras
02 SEP 11 0000  35.7 N   74.7 W   984   50
02 SEP 11 0600  37.0 N   72.7 W   975   60
02 SEP 11 1200  38.1 N   70.8 W   975   65
02 SEP 11 1800  40.1 N   67.4 W   964   80
02 SEP 12 0000  43.3 N   62.7 W   964   70        See Note
02 SEP 12 0600  46.5 N   60.0 W   960   65        Becoming extratropical
02 SEP 12 1200  48.0 N   58.0 W   967   55        Extratropical
02 SEP 12 1800  50.0 N   56.0 W   967   55
02 SEP 13 0000  51.0 N   54.0 W   968   55
02 SEP 13 0600  53.0 N   52.0 W   968   50
02 SEP 13 1200  55.0 N   52.0 W   972   50
02 SEP 13 1800  56.0 N   49.0 W   976   50
02 SEP 14 0000  57.0 N   52.0 W   982   50
02 SEP 14 0600  58.0 N   53.0 W   984   50
02 SEP 14 1200  60.0 N   54.0 W   988   40        Pressure interpolated
02 SEP 14 1800  61.0 N   54.0 W   992   40

Note: Hurricane Gustav crossed over Nova Scotia's Cape Breton Island
between 12/0300 and 0600 UTC.   The 12/0600 UTC position is just off the
island's northeastern shore.  At 1200 UTC the center of Post-tropical
Gustav was over southeastern Newfoundland and by 1800 UTC was moving
off the island's northern coastline.  The track information following
NHC's final advisory at 12/0900 UTC was taken from MPC's High Seas
Forecasts.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: HANNA                 Cyclone Number: 09      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 12 0000  26.3 N   86.6 W  1001   30
02 SEP 12 0600  26.7 N   86.4 W  1001   30
02 SEP 12 1200  27.0 N   86.7 W  1003   30
02 SEP 12 1800  27.2 N   87.5 W  1001   30
02 SEP 13 0000  26.6 N   87.9 W  1001   30
02 SEP 13 0600  26.7 N   88.0 W  1002   40
02 SEP 13 1200  27.3 N   89.3 W  1003   40
02 SEP 13 1800  27.7 N   89.4 W  1003   40
02 SEP 14 0000  27.9 N   89.1 W  1001   45
02 SEP 14 0600  28.7 N   89.1 W  1003   45
02 SEP 14 1200  30.1 N   88.8 W  1002   45
02 SEP 14 1800  30.8 N   88.0 W  1005   30
02 SEP 14 2100  31.1 N   87.9 W  1005   25        Final NHC Advisory
02 SEP 15 0300  31.8 N   86.5 W  1010   17        HPC Summary
02 SEP 15 0900  32.2 N   85.2 W  1012    5        See Note #1
02 SEP 15 1500  33.8 N   85.0 W  1016    5
02 SEP 15 2100  34.4 N   82.4 W  1015    5
02 SEP 16 0300  33.7 N   81.2 W  1015    5
02 SEP 16 0900  35.6 N   81.3 W  1014    5        See Note #2

Note #1: From 15/0900 UTC onward the HPC summaries did not give any value
for the maximum winds associated with Hanna's remnants, only saying that
winds were light near the center.   Since summaries for previous storms
have given winds as low as 10 mph (9 kts), I elected to represent the
"light winds" with 5 kts.  The 15/0900 UTC summary did indicate that
gusts to 20 mph (17 kts) had been observed in thunderstorms well east of
the center.

Note #2: The MPC High Seas Forecast for 16/1800 UTC mentioned an inland
1014-mb LOW near 36N, 77W, moving east-northeastward at 20 kts.  Winds
to 25 kts and seas to 8 ft were forecast within 240 nm in the south and
southeastern quadrants.    Whether this was the same center which had
been Hanna or a new baroclinic development, I do not know--the 1800 UTC
position suggests it could have been Hanna.    However, the 17/0000 UTC
warning did not refer to this LOW, although it did mention a 24-hour
forecast LOW to be near 37N, 69W.   Because of this uncertainty, I chose
to end Hanna's track with the final HPC summary.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: ISIDORE               Cyclone Number: 10      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 14 1800  10.0 N   60.5 W  1009   25
02 SEP 15 0000  10.2 N   62.4 W  1009   25        Over Venezuela
02 SEP 15 0600  10.5 N   64.2 W  1009   25
02 SEP 15 1200  11.1 N   66.2 W  1009   25        Final advisory
02 SEP 17 1200  15.9 N   76.8 W  1009   30        Center redeveloped
02 SEP 17 1800  16.1 N   77.4 W  1006   30
02 SEP 18 0000  16.7 N   77.7 W  1006   30
02 SEP 18 0600  17.0 N   78.1 W  1006   35
02 SEP 18 1200  17.6 N   78.5 W  1003   40
02 SEP 18 1800  18.7 N   78.6 W   999   45
02 SEP 19 0000  19.4 N   79.2 W   998   50
02 SEP 19 0600  19.7 N   80.4 W   990   55
02 SEP 19 1200  19.9 N   80.9 W   990   60
02 SEP 19 1800  20.4 N   81.7 W   984   65
02 SEP 20 0000  20.7 N   82.3 W   979   70
02 SEP 20 0600  21.1 N   83.0 W   967   75
02 SEP 20 1200  21.5 N   83.5 W   966   90
02 SEP 20 1800  21.8 N   84.1 W   965   85        Near coast of W Cuba
02 SEP 21 0000  22.2 N   84.3 W   964   85        Over western Cuba
02 SEP 21 0600  22.3 N   85.1 W   964   85        Over Gulf of Mexico
02 SEP 21 1200  22.0 N   85.8 W   955   90
02 SEP 21 1800  21.9 N   86.1 W   946  105
02 SEP 22 0000  22.2 N   86.4 W   946  110
02 SEP 22 0600  22.0 N   87.4 W   936  110
02 SEP 22 1200  21.9 N   88.2 W   934  110
02 SEP 22 1800  21.7 N   89.0 W   934  110
02 SEP 23 0000  21.0 N   89.4 W   950  105        Inland over Yucatan
02 SEP 23 0600  20.6 N   89.6 W   952   70
02 SEP 23 1200  20.1 N   89.6 W   960   60
02 SEP 23 1800  20.3 N   89.4 W   968   50
02 SEP 24 0000  20.5 N   89.3 W   980   40
02 SEP 24 0600  21.0 N   89.5 W   985   35
02 SEP 24 1200  21.8 N   89.8 W   987   50        Over Gulf of Mexico
02 SEP 24 1800  22.1 N   89.8 W   988   50
02 SEP 25 0000  23.0 N   89.7 W   987   50
02 SEP 25 0600  24.2 N   89.7 W   990   50
02 SEP 25 1200  25.7 N   90.2 W   990   50
02 SEP 25 1800  26.3 N   90.5 W   989   50
02 SEP 26 0000  27.5 N   90.3 W   989   55
02 SEP 26 0600  29.2 N   90.3 W   986   55        Near Louisiana coast
02 SEP 26 1200  30.0 N   89.9 W   985   55        Inland
02 SEP 26 1800  32.2 N   89.8 W   988   45
02 SEP 26 2100  33.0 N   89.7 W   988   30        Final NHC Advisory
02 SEP 27 0300  34.8 N   88.8 W   992   17        HPC Summary
02 SEP 27 0900  36.2 N   86.3 W   995   15
02 SEP 27 1500  39.3 N   82.7 W   998   17
02 SEP 27 2100  41.0 N   79.5 W   999   17        Extratropical

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: JOSEPHINE             Cyclone Number: 11      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 17 1800  33.2 N   52.8 W  1015   30
02 SEP 18 0000  33.7 N   52.5 W  1014   30
02 SEP 18 0600  34.7 N   52.5 W  1009   35
02 SEP 18 1200  35.5 N   52.0 W  1009   35
02 SEP 18 1800  36.6 N   50.5 W  1009   35
02 SEP 19 0000  38.1 N   48.8 W  1009   35
02 SEP 19 0600  39.8 N   47.1 W  1009   35
02 SEP 19 1200  41.5 N   43.5 W  1004   50        Extratropical/Final Adv
02 SEP 19 1800  45.0 N   41.0 W  1002   30        MPC High Seas Forecast

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: KYLE                  Cyclone Number: 12      Basin: ATL
(Initially named as Subtropical Storm Kyle)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 20 1200  28.0 N   52.0 W  1010   25        From High Seas Forecast
02 SEP 20 1800  28.1 N   51.9 W  1007   25        First NHC Advisory
02 SEP 21 0000  29.6 N   51.2 W  1007   30
02 SEP 21 0600  30.4 N   51.6 W  1007   35
02 SEP 21 1200  31.0 N   51.6 W  1007   40
02 SEP 21 1800  31.7 N   51.3 W  1006   40
02 SEP 22 0000  31.9 N   51.4 W  1006   40
02 SEP 22 0600  32.1 N   51.5 W  1006   40
02 SEP 22 1200  33.2 N   49.9 W  1006   40
02 SEP 22 1800  33.2 N   49.4 W  1006   40        Reclassified as TS
02 SEP 23 0000  33.2 N   49.1 W  1007   35
02 SEP 23 0600  33.0 N   49.6 W  1007   35
02 SEP 23 1200  32.3 N   49.5 W  1005   35
02 SEP 23 1800  31.9 N   49.6 W  1003   40
02 SEP 24 0000  31.5 N   50.1 W  1003   40
02 SEP 24 0600  31.0 N   50.4 W  1000   45
02 SEP 24 1200  30.5 N   50.7 W  1000   45
02 SEP 24 1800  30.3 N   51.1 W   994   55
02 SEP 25 0000  30.0 N   52.1 W   994   55
02 SEP 25 0600  29.7 N   53.7 W   994   55
02 SEP 25 1200  29.3 N   54.4 W   990   60
02 SEP 25 1800  29.0 N   55.3 W   987   65
02 SEP 26 0000  28.7 N   56.6 W   987   65
02 SEP 26 0600  28.2 N   57.5 W   980   75
02 SEP 26 1200  27.9 N   58.3 W   980   75
02 SEP 26 1800  27.8 N   59.0 W   980   75
02 SEP 27 0000  27.5 N   59.5 W   980   75
02 SEP 27 0600  27.1 N   60.0 W   980   75
02 SEP 27 1200  27.1 N   60.4 W   980   75
02 SEP 27 1800  26.9 N   60.6 W   984   70
02 SEP 28 0000  26.7 N   61.1 W   984   70
02 SEP 28 0600  26.2 N   62.1 W   987   65
02 SEP 28 1200  26.3 N   63.1 W   990   60
02 SEP 28 1800  26.7 N   63.2 W   997   50
02 SEP 29 0000  27.1 N   63.7 W  1000   45
02 SEP 29 0600  27.2 N   64.4 W  1002   40
02 SEP 29 1200  27.7 N   64.7 W  1002   40
02 SEP 29 1800  28.4 N   64.6 W  1002   40
02 SEP 30 0000  28.7 N   64.6 W  1002   40
02 SEP 30 0600  29.2 N   64.5 W  1002   40
02 SEP 30 1200  29.8 N   64.8 W  1002   40
02 SEP 30 1800  27.5 N   67.0 W  1005   40
02 OCT 01 0000  27.4 N   67.1 W  1005   30
02 OCT 01 0600  28.5 N   66.8 W  1008   30
02 OCT 01 1200  28.1 N   67.2 W  1005   35
02 OCT 01 1800  28.5 N   67.5 W  1002   40
02 OCT 02 0000  28.4 N   67.7 W  1000   45
02 OCT 02 0600  28.5 N   67.8 W  1000   45
02 OCT 02 1200  28.8 N   67.7 W   997   50
02 OCT 02 1800  29.0 N   66.9 W   991   60
02 OCT 03 0000  29.1 N   66.7 W   994   55
02 OCT 03 0600  29.0 N   66.6 W   994   55
02 OCT 03 1200  29.0 N   67.2 W  1000   45
02 OCT 03 1800  29.3 N   67.7 W  1000   45
02 OCT 04 0000  29.4 N   68.0 W  1000   45
02 OCT 04 0600  29.6 N   68.4 W  1005   35
02 OCT 04 1200  30.1 N   69.5 W  1004   35
02 OCT 04 1800  30.6 N   70.2 W  1004   35
02 OCT 05 0000  31.1 N   70.9 W  1004   35
02 OCT 05 0600  31.6 N   71.6 W  1006   30
02 OCT 05 1200  32.1 N   71.3 W  1005   30
02 OCT 05 1800  33.0 N   70.8 W  1005   30
02 OCT 06 0000  33.2 N   70.1 W  1006   30
02 OCT 06 0600  33.4 N   69.4 W  1008   30
02 OCT 06 1200  33.7 N   69.7 W  1007   35
02 OCT 06 1800  32.7 N   69.7 W  1006   35
02 OCT 07 0000  32.6 N   69.7 W  1006   35
02 OCT 07 0600  33.0 N   70.6 W  1006   35
02 OCT 07 1200  32.6 N   70.8 W  1006   35
02 OCT 07 1800  32.7 N   70.9 W  1006   35
02 OCT 08 0000  32.6 N   71.0 W  1006   35
02 OCT 08 0600  32.1 N   71.2 W  1006   35
02 OCT 08 1200  31.4 N   71.3 W  1006   35
02 OCT 08 1800  30.7 N   71.9 W  1009   30
02 OCT 09 0000  29.8 N   72.4 W  1010   30
02 OCT 09 0600  29.0 N   73.3 W  1009   30
02 OCT 09 1200  28.7 N   74.0 W  1009   30
02 OCT 09 1800  28.5 N   74.8 W  1011   25
02 OCT 10 0000  28.4 N   75.8 W  1010   25
02 OCT 10 0600  28.3 N   77.0 W  1010   25
02 OCT 10 1200  28.4 N   78.1 W  1010   25
02 OCT 10 1800  28.9 N   79.5 W  1010   30
02 OCT 11 0000  29.8 N   80.2 W  1009   30
02 OCT 11 0600  30.7 N   80.8 W  1008   35
02 OCT 11 1200  31.8 N   80.7 W  1008   40
02 OCT 11 1800  33.4 N   79.1 W  1008   40
02 OCT 12 0000  34.2 N   78.0 W  1012   30
02 OCT 12 0600  35.4 N   75.9 W  1009   40
02 OCT 12 1200  36.7 N   74.1 W  1009   40        Becoming XT/Final Adv
02 OCT 12 1800  36.0 N   72.0 W  1009   40        MPC High Seas Forecast
02 OCT 13 0000  38.5 N   66.5 W  1004   40        Canadian Hurr Ctr Stmt
02 OCT 13 0600  39.0 N   66.0 W  1009   40        CHC: 37.5 N, 69.0 W
02 OCT 13 1200  38.0 N   66.0 W  1006   40        MPC High Seas Forecast
02 OCT 13 1800  38.0 N   63.0 W  1006   40
02 OCT 14 0000  38.0 N   62.0 W  1006   45
02 OCT 14 0600  37.0 N   61.0 W  1006   40
02 OCT 14 1200  36.0 N   59.0 W  1006   40
02 OCT 14 1800  37.0 N   57.0 W  1006   35
02 OCT 15 0000  38.0 N   59.0 W  1006   35
02 OCT 15 0600  38.0 N   57.0 W  1006   30        Relocation
02 OCT 15 1200  38.0 N   56.0 W  1006   40
02 OCT 15 1800  38.0 N   53.0 W  1004   40
02 OCT 16 0000  37.0 N   53.0 W  1004   40
02 OCT 16 0600  37.0 N   49.0 W   998   50
02 OCT 16 1200  37.0 N   46.0 W  1002   50
02 OCT 16 1800  36.0 N   44.0 W  1002   40
02 OCT 17 0000  35.0 N   43.0 W  1008   35
02 OCT 17 0600  37.0 N   40.0 W  1006   35
02 OCT 17 1200  37.0 N   36.0 W  1005   30
02 OCT 17 1800  39.0 N   33.0 W   996   30

Note: Below is an alternate track for the extratropical stage of
Kyle, beginning at 13/0000 UTC, prepared by Chris Fogarty of the
Canadian Maritimes Weather Center.  The track is based upon manual
surface analyses prepared at the Halifax office.  Chris writes that
he performed a bit of interpolation in an attempt to come up with a
"best extratropical track".   A special thanks to Chris for compiling
the track and sending it to me.

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent
          (GMT)                 Press
                                 (mb)             Remarks
-------------------------------------------------------------------------


02 OCT 13 0000  37.5 N   68.5 W  1007
02 OCT 13 0600  38.0 N   66.0 W  1009
02 OCT 13 1200  37.8 N   64.6 W  1006
02 OCT 13 1800  37.6 N   63.5 W  1005
02 OCT 14 0000  37.8 N   62.0 W  1005
02 OCT 14 0600  37.2 N   62.6 W  1004 
02 OCT 14 1200  38.3 N   63.4 W  1004
02 OCT 14 1800  39.5 N   62.5 W  1003
02 OCT 15 0000  39.6 N   60.4 W  1002
02 OCT 15 0600  39.6 N   58.2 W   998
02 OCT 15 1200  39.0 N   56.5 W   996
02 OCT 15 1800  38.6 N   55.0 W   998
02 OCT 16 0000  38.0 N   52.0 W   998
02 OCT 16 0600  37.4 N   49.4 W   998
02 OCT 16 1200  36.3 N   46.9 W   998
02 OCT 16 1800  35.7 N   44.5 W   999
02 OCT 17 0000  34.9 N   41.7 W  1002
02 OCT 17 0600  36.0 N   39.0 W  1000
02 OCT 17 1200  37.0 N   35.0 W   998
02 OCT 17 1800  38.5 N   31.0 W   995    Last point for post-Kyle center
02 OCT 18 0000  42.5 N   35.0 W          Absorbed by large XT LOW

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: LILI                  Cyclone Number: 13      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 21 1800  10.4 N   44.9 W  1009   30
02 SEP 22 0000  10.2 N   46.0 W  1006   30
02 SEP 22 0600  10.6 N   47.8 W  1006   30
02 SEP 22 1200  12.0 N   51.0 W  1007   30
02 SEP 22 1800  12.0 N   53.0 W  1005   30
02 SEP 23 0000  12.1 N   55.0 W  1005   30
02 SEP 23 0600  12.5 N   57.4 W  1005   30
02 SEP 23 1200  12.4 N   58.7 W  1004   30        Near Barbados
02 SEP 23 1800  12.5 N   60.4 W  1004   50        Upgraded at 1530Z
02 SEP 24 0000  12.7 N   62.0 W  1006   50        Near Grenadine Islands
02 SEP 24 0600  12.8 N   63.8 W  1006   50
02 SEP 24 1200  13.0 N   64.9 W  1004   60
02 SEP 24 1800  13.2 N   66.0 W  1006   60
02 SEP 25 0000  13.4 N   66.9 W  1008   35
02 SEP 25 0600  13.9 N   67.9 W  1008   35
02 SEP 25 1200  13.9 N   68.8 W  1008   40
02 SEP 25 1800  14.2 N   69.3 W  1007   40
02 SEP 26 0000  14.0 N   70.0 W  1007   40
02 SEP 26 0600  14.3 N   70.5 W  1007   35
02 SEP 26 1200  15.0 N   72.1 W  1006   30        Broad LLCC/Last Adv
02 SEP 26 1800  16.0 N   73.0 W  1006   25        From High Seas Forecast
02 SEP 27 0000  15.5 N   73.2 W  1006   30        Advisories Re-initiated
02 SEP 27 0600  15.9 N   74.7 W  1006   30
02 SEP 27 1200  16.1 N   74.6 W  1005   30
02 SEP 27 1800  16.7 N   75.0 W  1004   40        Upgraded at 27/1500Z
02 SEP 28 0000  17.4 N   75.1 W   999   45
02 SEP 28 0600  17.5 N   75.5 W   999   45
02 SEP 28 1200  18.0 N   75.5 W  1000   45
02 SEP 28 1800  18.4 N   75.6 W  1003   45
02 SEP 29 0000  18.8 N   76.0 W  1000   40
02 SEP 29 0600  18.9 N   76.8 W  1000   40
02 SEP 29 1200  18.7 N   77.3 W   994   45
02 SEP 29 1800  18.7 N   77.6 W   994   50
02 SEP 30 0000  19.0 N   78.1 W   989   55
02 SEP 30 0600  19.1 N   78.7 W   991   60
02 SEP 30 1200  19.6 N   79.6 W   986   65
02 SEP 30 1800  20.0 N   80.2 W   984   65
02 OCT 01 0000  20.5 N   81.1 W   978   70
02 OCT 01 0600  21.0 N   82.2 W   975   75
02 OCT 01 1200  21.6 N   83.2 W   971   75        Over Isle of Youth
02 OCT 01 1800  22.4 N   84.4 W   970   85        Over western Cuba
02 OCT 02 0000  23.0 N   85.7 W   966   90
02 OCT 02 0600  23.6 N   87.2 W   955   95
02 OCT 02 1200  24.4 N   88.3 W   953  105
02 OCT 02 1800  25.4 N   89.5 W   938  115
02 OCT 03 0000  26.6 N   90.3 W   942  125
02 OCT 03 0600  28.1 N   91.4 W   957  115
02 OCT 03 1200  29.2 N   92.1 W   965   85
02 OCT 03 1800  30.5 N   92.3 W   982   60        Inland in Louisiana
02 OCT 04 0000  31.9 N   92.1 W   989   40
02 OCT 04 0600  33.4 N   91.4 W   994   35
02 OCT 04 0900  34.3 N   90.9 W   994   30        Final NHC Advisory
02 OCT 04 1500  37.4 N   88.7 W   999   25        HPC Summary

Note:  The final HPC Summary at 04/2100 UTC stated that no closed
circulation had been evident since 1800 UTC and that the remnants of
Lili were being absorbed by a low-pressure system in the northern
Great Lakes area.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180


                       Sources of Information
                       ----------------------

     The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
  forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
  Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude
  140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu,
  Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W.  A 1-minute averaging
  period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
  warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------
 
   Tropical Depression (11E)                           05 - 08 Sep
   Tropical Storm ISELLE (12E)                         15 - 20 Sep
   Tropical Storm JULIO (13E)                          25 - 26 Sep

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 11E     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 05 1800  18.9 N  107.5 W  1007   25
02 SEP 06 0000  19.5 N  107.8 W  1007   30
02 SEP 06 0600  20.2 N  108.7 W  1007   30
02 SEP 06 1200  20.6 N  109.7 W  1007   30
02 SEP 06 1800  21.2 N  110.6 W  1007   30
02 SEP 07 0000  21.4 N  111.3 W  1007   30
02 SEP 07 0600  21.5 N  111.5 W  1006   30
02 SEP 07 1200  21.5 N  112.0 W  1009   30
02 SEP 07 1800  20.8 N  112.8 W  1007   25
02 SEP 08 0000  21.1 N  113.3 W  1006   25
02 SEP 08 0600  21.5 N  113.6 W  1006   25
02 SEP 08 1200  21.9 N  113.9 W  1008   20

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: ISELLE                Cyclone Number: 12E     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 15 0600  15.2 N  104.0 W  1005   25
02 SEP 15 1200  15.3 N  104.5 W  1005   25
02 SEP 15 1800  15.6 N  105.9 W  1006   25
02 SEP 15 1800  16.2 N  105.5 W  1002   40
02 SEP 16 0000  16.9 N  106.8 W  1001   40
02 SEP 16 0600  17.4 N  108.0 W  1000   40
02 SEP 16 1200  18.0 N  109.0 W   998   45
02 SEP 16 1800  19.2 N  110.4 W   998   45
02 SEP 17 0000  20.0 N  111.6 W   996   50
02 SEP 17 0600  20.7 N  112.9 W   994   55
02 SEP 17 1200  21.5 N  113.8 W   994   55
02 SEP 17 1800  21.7 N  114.0 W   990   60
02 SEP 18 0000  21.9 N  114.6 W   990   55
02 SEP 18 0600  22.1 N  114.8 W   998   45
02 SEP 18 1200  22.3 N  114.7 W  1002   40
02 SEP 18 1800  22.5 N  114.0 W  1005   35
02 SEP 19 0000  22.7 N  113.7 W  1005   35
02 SEP 19 0600  23.0 N  113.3 W  1005   35
02 SEP 19 1200  23.6 N  113.0 W  1004   35
02 SEP 19 1800  23.8 N  112.5 W  1004   30
02 SEP 20 0000  24.1 N  112.6 W  1003   25
02 SEP 20 0600  24.5 N  112.8 W  1005   25
02 SEP 20 1200  24.9 N  113.0 W  1006   20

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: JULIO                 Cyclone Number: 13E     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 25 1200  16.0 N  101.8 W  1003   30
02 SEP 25 1800  17.0 N  101.9 W  1000   30
02 SEP 26 0000  17.9 N  102.4 W  1000   40        Upgraded at 25/2100Z
02 SEP 26 0600  18.7 N  103.6 W  1002   35        Inland in Mexico
02 SEP 26 1200  19.4 N  104.4 W  1004   25        Downgraded at 26/0900Z
02 SEP 26 1800  20.0 N  104.0 W  1005   20

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180


                       Sources of Information
                       ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
  from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.  In a few instances, information from
  warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
  The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
  pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
  when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
  Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
  issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
  Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
  (PAGASA).  Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me
  each month tracks obtained from warnings issued by the National
  Meteorological Center of China (NMCC), the Central Weather Bureau
  of Taiwan (CWBT) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).    A very
  special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so
  reliably provide.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Storm HAGUPIT (23W / 0218)                 09 - 17 Sep
   Tropical Storm CHANGMI (0219)                       18 - 25 Sep
   Tropical Depression                                 21 - 22 Sep
   Tropical Storm MEKKHALA (24W / 0220)                23 - 28 Sep
   Super Typhoon HIGOS (25W / 0221)                    26 Sep - 05 Oct

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: HAGUPIT               Cyclone Number: 23W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0218

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 09 1800  19.5 N  119.3 E  1002   15    25  JTWC TCFA
02 SEP 10 0000  19.5 N  119.0 E  1002   25    25  JMA: 19.0 N, 118.0 E
02 SEP 10 0600  19.7 N  118.5 E   998   30    30  JMA: 19.6 N, 117.8 E
02 SEP 10 1200  20.6 N  116.9 E   994   35    30  NMCC: 20.5 N, 116.1 E
02 SEP 10 1800  20.6 N  115.8 E   994   35    30
02 SEP 11 0000  20.7 N  114.8 E   992   40    35  JMA: 20.4 N, 114.1 E
02 SEP 11 0600  21.1 N  113.5 E   990   45    40  HKO Pressure: 975 mb
02 SEP 11 1200  21.3 N  112.7 E   985   45    50
02 SEP 11 1800  21.6 N  112.3 E   990   30    45  Near coast
02 SEP 12 0000  22.0 N  110.8 E   998   25    30  Inland in China
02 SEP 12 0600  22.0 N  109.9 E  1000   25    25
02 SEP 12 1200  22.1 N  109.6 E  1001         25  NMCC Bulletins
02 SEP 12 1800  22.2 N  109.1 E  1002         25
02 SEP 13 0000  22.2 N  108.7 E  1003         25
02 SEP 13 0600  22.1 N  108.5 E  1001         25
02 SEP 13 1200  21.0 N  108.0 E  1004         25  JMA Bulletins
02 SEP 13 1800  21.0 N  108.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 14 0000  22.0 N  109.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 14 0600  21.0 N  110.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 14 1200  21.0 N  109.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 14 1800  21.0 N  111.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 15 0000  22.0 N  112.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 15 0600  21.0 N  113.0 E  1002         25
02 SEP 15 1200  22.0 N  113.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 15 1800  22.0 N  113.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 16 0000  21.0 N  113.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 16 0600  21.0 N  114.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 16 1200  21.0 N  114.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 16 1800  20.0 N  113.0 E  1004         25
02 SEP 17 0000  18.0 N  112.0 E  1006         20
02 SEP 17 0600  17.0 N  111.0 E  1006         20
02 SEP 17 1200  16.0 N  111.0 E  1006         20
02 SEP 17 1800  16.0 N  112.0 E  1006         20

Note:  The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NHCC and HKO are tabulated
below.

   Date   Time      Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
          (GMT)        NMCC      HKO
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 10 0600          30        25
02 SEP 10 1200          35        30
02 SEP 10 1800          35        35
02 SEP 11 0000          45        45
02 SEP 11 0600          50        60
02 SEP 11 1200          60        55
02 SEP 11 1800          60        50
02 SEP 12 0000          40        50
02 SEP 12 0600          35        40
02 SEP 12 1200          30        30
02 SEP 12 1800          25
02 SEP 13 0000          25
02 SEP 13 0600          20

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: CHANGMI               Cyclone Number: None    Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0219

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 18 1200  18.7 N  145.0 E  1004         30
02 SEP 18 1800  18.8 N  144.5 E  1002         30
02 SEP 19 0000  18.8 N  144.2 E  1002         30
02 SEP 19 0600  18.8 N  145.0 E  1000         30
02 SEP 19 1200  20.0 N  143.0 E  1004         20
02 SEP 19 1800  20.0 N  142.0 E  1002         20
02 SEP 20 0000  22.0 N  140.0 E  1002         20
02 SEP 20 0600  22.0 N  140.0 E  1000         25
02 SEP 20 1200  23.0 N  139.0 E  1000         25
02 SEP 20 1800  24.0 N  138.0 E  1000         25
02 SEP 21 0000  25.0 N  138.0 E  1000         25
02 SEP 21 0600  27.0 N  137.0 E  1000         25
02 SEP 21 1200  28.0 N  136.0 E   998         25
02 SEP 21 1800  29.0 N  136.0 E   996         25
02 SEP 22 0000  29.7 N  138.2 E   990         40
02 SEP 22 0600  30.9 N  138.8 E   985         45
02 SEP 22 1200  31.6 N  140.0 E   985         45
02 SEP 22 1800  32.6 N  142.0 E   985         45
02 SEP 23 0000  36.0 N  146.0 E   986         50  Extratropical
02 SEP 23 0600  37.0 N  149.0 E   984         50
02 SEP 23 1200  39.0 N  154.0 E   976         50
02 SEP 23 1800  41.0 N  158.0 E   980         50
02 SEP 24 0000  44.0 N  164.0 E   984         50
02 SEP 24 0600  45.0 N  168.0 E   980         50
02 SEP 24 1200  46.0 N  171.0 E   980         50
02 SEP 24 1800  48.0 N  175.0 E   976         50
02 SEP 25 0000  51.0 N  176.0 E   972         50
02 SEP 25 0600  53.0 N  179.0 E   968         50
02 SEP 25 1200  54.0 N  178.0 W   960         60
02 SEP 25 1800  55.0 N  176.0 W   958         65
                                           
Note: This system was not classified as a tropical cyclone by JTWC.
NMCC, however, did regard Changmi as a tropical storm.  Five warnings
were issued, from 22/0000 through 23/0000 UTC, with the 10-min avg MSW
reported at 40 kts during the entire warning period.  Center coordinates
agreed well with JMA's except for the final one at 23/0000 UTC--NMCC's
center position was 34.6N, 147.2E.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: None

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 21 1800  25.0 N  155.0 E  1008         25  See Note
02 SEP 22 0000  26.0 N  154.0 E  1008         25
02 SEP 22 0600  27.0 N  154.0 E  1008         25
02 SEP 22 1200  28.0 N  153.0 E  1008         25
02 SEP 22 1800  29.0 N  154.0 E  1004         25

Note:  JMA was the only warning agency to classify this system as a
tropical depression, including it in the Summary section of their High
Seas Warning and Summary bulletins.  No maximum winds were specified,
but inclusion in the Summary portion of the bulletin normally implies
25-kt winds.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: MEKKHALA              Cyclone Number: 24W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0220

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 23 1200  15.1 N  112.1 E  1002   25    25  HKO 10-min avg MSW
02 SEP 23 1800  15.3 N  111.7 E  1002   25    25
02 SEP 24 0000  15.6 N  110.6 E  1002   30    25
02 SEP 24 0600  16.0 N  110.2 E  1002   30    25  NMCC: 16.6 N, 110.8 E
02 SEP 24 1200  16.2 N  109.9 E  1002   30    25  NMCC: 16.8 N, 110.3 E
02 SEP 24 1800  17.1 N  110.0 E  1000   40    30  JMA: 17.7 N, 109.2 E
02 SEP 25 0000  17.7 N  109.8 E   996   50    30
02 SEP 25 0600  18.1 N  109.3 E   990   50    45  JMA upgraded at 0300Z
02 SEP 25 1200  18.5 N  108.8 E   990   55    45  Over Hainan Dao
02 SEP 25 1800  18.7 N  109.1 E   992   55    40
02 SEP 26 0000  19.1 N  109.0 E   996   45    40
02 SEP 26 0600  19.7 N  108.7 E   994   45    40  Over Gulf of Tonkin
02 SEP 26 1200  20.2 N  108.4 E   996   40    40
02 SEP 26 1800  20.8 N  108.2 E   998   35    35
02 SEP 27 0000  21.4 N  108.4 E  1000   30    35
02 SEP 27 0600  21.8 N  108.5 E  1000   25    35  Almost on coast
02 SEP 27 1200  21.3 N  108.8 E  1000         35  NMCC Positions
02 SEP 27 1800  21.2 N  109.4 E  1000         35  Over Gulf of Tonkin
02 SEP 28 0000  21.5 N  109.9 E  1004         30
02 SEP 28 0600  21.4 N  110.1 E  1004         30  Final NMCC Warning
02 SEP 28 1200  21.0 N  110.0 E  1008         25  JMA Bulletin

Note:  The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NMCC and HKO are tabulated
below.

   Date   Time      Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
          (GMT)        NMCC      HKO
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 23 1200                    25
02 SEP 23 1800                    25
02 SEP 24 0000                    25
02 SEP 24 0600          25        25
02 SEP 24 1200          30        25
02 SEP 24 1800          30        30
02 SEP 25 0000          40        35
02 SEP 25 0600          45        35
02 SEP 25 1200          45        40
02 SEP 25 1800          40        40
02 SEP 26 0000          40        40
02 SEP 26 0600          40        40
02 SEP 26 1200          40        40
02 SEP 26 1800          40        35
02 SEP 27 0000          45        35
02 SEP 27 0600          45        35
02 SEP 27 1200          45        35
02 SEP 27 1800          45        35
02 SEP 28 0000          30        35  See Note
02 SEP 28 0600          30

Note:  The final bulletin from HKO was issued at 28/0300 UTC with the
MSW estimated at 30 kts.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: HIGOS                 Cyclone Number: 25W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0221

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 26 0600  15.9 N  155.6 E         25
02 SEP 26 1200  15.5 N  154.7 E         30
02 SEP 26 1800  15.4 N  153.7 E  1004   30    30  JMA: 15.6 N, 154.5 E
02 SEP 27 0000  16.0 N  152.0 E  1000   40    30  JMA: 16.5 N, 152.2 E
02 SEP 27 0600  16.4 N  150.6 E   992   45    40
02 SEP 27 1200  16.9 N  149.1 E   985   55    50
02 SEP 27 1800  17.5 N  147.2 E   980   65    55
02 SEP 28 0000  18.0 N  145.8 E   975   65    60
02 SEP 28 0600  18.6 N  144.0 E   975   75    60
02 SEP 28 1200  19.0 N  142.1 E   970   85    65
02 SEP 28 1800  19.5 N  140.5 E   955  105    75
02 SEP 29 0000  19.8 N  138.8 E   945  120    85
02 SEP 29 0600  20.2 N  137.6 E   945  130    85
02 SEP 29 1200  20.9 N  136.7 E   935  135    90
02 SEP 29 1800  21.5 N  136.0 E   935  130    90
02 SEP 30 0000  22.5 N  135.8 E   935  130    90
02 SEP 30 0600  23.7 N  135.8 E   935  120    90
02 SEP 30 1200  25.2 N  136.1 E   940  110    85
02 SEP 30 1800  27.1 N  136.6 E   945  110    80
02 OCT 01 0000  29.6 N  137.5 E   945  110    80
02 OCT 01 0600  32.7 N  138.3 E   950   95    80
02 OCT 01 1200  35.7 N  139.8 E   965   80    65  Very near Tokyo
02 OCT 01 1800  40.6 N  141.5 E   975   65    60  Over NE Honshu
02 OCT 02 0000  43.9 N  141.5 E   980   55    50  Over western Hokkaido
02 OCT 02 0600  46.2 N  142.0 E   980   50    50  NMCC: 46.6 N, 140.4 E
02 OCT 02 1200  48.0 N  142.0 E   980         50  Extratropical
02 OCT 02 1800  50.0 N  143.0 E   984         40  Over Sakhalin Island
02 OCT 03 0000  51.0 N  144.0 E   984         45
02 OCT 03 0600  52.0 N  147.0 E   986         45
02 OCT 03 1200  52.0 N  151.0 E   992         40
02 OCT 03 1800  52.0 N  155.0 E   996         40
02 OCT 04 0000  52.0 N  157.0 E   998         35
02 OCT 04 0600  51.0 N  160.0 E  1000         35
02 OCT 04 1200  51.0 N  165.0 E  1000         35
02 OCT 04 1800  51.0 N  170.0 E   998         35
02 OCT 05 0000  51.0 N  171.0 E   998         35
02 OCT 05 0600  52.0 N  173.0 E   996         35
02 OCT 05 1200  52.0 N  174.0 E   994         35
02 OCT 05 1800  51.0 N  177.0 E   992         35  See Note

Note:  I was unable to locate the JMA High Seas Warning and Summary for
October 06/0000 UTC.   By 0600 UTC the system was a weak 1000-mb LOW
near 50N, 178E, moving eastward at 20 kts.  The 10-min avg MSW estimates
from NMCC are tabulated below.

   Date   Time      Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
          (GMT)        NMCC
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 27 0600          40
02 SEP 27 1200          40
02 SEP 27 1800          45
02 SEP 28 0000          60
02 SEP 28 0600          60
02 SEP 28 1200          65
02 SEP 28 1800          80
02 SEP 29 0000          90
02 SEP 29 0600          90
02 SEP 29 1200         100
02 SEP 29 1800         100
02 SEP 30 0000         100
02 SEP 30 0600         100
02 SEP 30 1200         100
02 SEP 30 1800          90
02 OCT 01 0000          90
02 OCT 01 0600          75
02 OCT 01 1200          65
02 OCT 01 1800          55
02 OCT 02 0000          55
02 OCT 02 0600          55

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
  Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin.  The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from
  JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Depression (MFR 01 / 01S)                  05 - 08 Sep

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 01S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 01


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 SEP 05 1200   3.1 S   63.5 E  1005         25  Locally 30 kts to south
02 SEP 05 1800   2.9 S   62.0 E  1005         25             "
02 SEP 06 0000   3.2 S   61.2 E  1003         25             "
02 SEP 06 0600   3.5 S   59.8 E  1003         25             "
02 SEP 06 1200   3.7 S   59.0 E  1000         30  Locally 35 kts to south
02 SEP 06 1800   4.0 S   57.8 E  1000   35    30             "
02 SEP 07 0000   4.2 S   57.3 E  1000         30             "
02 SEP 07 0600   4.2 S   56.3 E  1002   35    30             "
02 SEP 07 1200   4.3 S   55.3 E  1003         25  Locally 30 kts to south
02 SEP 07 1800   4.1 S   54.7 E  1004   30    25             "
02 SEP 08 0600   4.1 S   54.0 E         30        Final JTWC Warning

Note: The final bulletin on this system from MFR at 08/0600 UTC did not
specify any center coordinates.  Residual squalls were forecast to be
occurring between 4S and 7S and from 51E to 55E.

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             !!!!!!  IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ  !!!!!!

     It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the
  cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's
  Note at the end of the cyclone summaries.   The tropical cyclone
  tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/
  advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone
  warning agencies around the world.   Users of these tracks should
  be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
  post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
  analysts at the several warning centers.

     For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
  cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
  the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
  Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
  tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
  North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:

     http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>

     In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning
  centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best
  tracks" might be archived.


  PREPARED BY:

  Gary Padgett              [email protected]


  SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:

  Michael V. Padua          [email protected] 
                            [email protected]

  Huang Chunliang           [email protected]

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Document: trak0209.htm
Updated: 27th December 2006

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