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Tropical Cyclone XAVIER : BoM Warnings
Season 2006-2007 Summaries (Operational Data): [AU] [SIO] [SPAC] [SH]
---> Tropical Cyclone XAVIER Track Map and Data

WWPS22 ABRF 220302
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0245 UTC on 22/10/06
Special Advisory Number 1

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 220000UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 11.0 S
Longitude: 167.8 E

The cyclone is slow moving but intensifying. 

Central pressure 995 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 35 knots near the centre increasing to 45 knots in the
next 12 hours. 

Expect gales[winds over 33 knots] out to 120 miles from the centre. 

Gale force winds with large swells are expected through the Santa Cruz islands
and should continue for at least another 24 hours.  

Forecast position at 221200 UTC:
             Latitude: 11.3 S
             Longitude: 168.0 E

The next Special Advisory will be issued at 220600 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 220617
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0608 UTC on 22/10/06
Special Advisory Number 2

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 220600UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 11.0 S
Longitude: 167.4 E

The cyclone is moving slowly in a W/SW direction and continues to intensify. 

Central pressure 985 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre increasing to 55 knots in the
next 12 hours. 

Expect gales[winds over 33 knots] out to 120 miles from the centre. 

Gale to storm force winds with large swells are expected through the Santa Cruz
islands and should continue for at least another 24 hours.  

Forecast position at 221800 UTC:
             Latitude: 11.2 S
             Longitude: 167.1 E

The next Special Advisory will be issued at 220900 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 220856
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0815 UTC on 22/10/06
Special Advisory Number 3

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 220730 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 11.0 S
Longitude: 167.2 E

The cyclone is moving slowly to the west and continues to intensify. 

Central pressure 985 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre increasing to 55 knots in the
next 6 hours. 

Expect gales [winds over 33 knots] out to 120 miles from the centre. 

Gale to storm force winds with large swells are expected through the Santa Cruz
islands and should continue for at least another 24 hours.  

Forecast position at 230000 UTC near:
             Latitude: 11.3 S
             Longitude: 166.0 E

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 221200 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 221324
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 1316 UTC on 22/10/06
Special Advisory Number 4

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 221233 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 10.9 S
Longitude: 167.4 E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone is near stationary and has rapidly
intensifyied.   An eye has been evident for 3-4 hours.

Central pressure 970 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 75 knots near the centre, with gusts to 100 knots.  Mean
maximum winds increasing to 90 knots, gusting to 125 knots within 24 hours. 

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 miles from the centre. 
Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 miles from the centre, and gales [winds
over 33 knots] out to 120 miles from the centre. 

Over the next 24-36 hours: Expect hurricane to storm force winds, prolonged
torrential rain and very large swells through the Santa Cruz islands.  Gale
force winds and very heavy rainfall in northern Vanuatu and extending towards
the eastern Solomon Islands.  

Forecast position at 230000 UTC near:
             Latitude: 11.3 S
             Longitude: 166.0 E

This cyclone is expected to continue intensification throughout the night, and
will intensify more slowly during the coming day.  Cyclone Xavier should
continue moving slowly west to be near 12S 165E by 240000 UTC.  The cyclone may
then weaken as it continues moving slowly west.

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 221800 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 221808
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 1807 UTC on 22/10/06
Special Advisory Number 5

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 221800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 10.9 S
Longitude: 167.5 E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone is near stationary and has rapidly
intensifyied.   An eye is  evident for mocrowave imagery
[www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_home.html].

Central pressure 970 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 75 knots near the centre, with gusts to 100 knots.  

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 miles from the centre. 
Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 miles from the centre, and gales [winds
over 33 knots] out to 120 miles from the centre. 

Over the next 24-36 hours: Expect hurricane to storm force winds, prolonged
torrential rain and very large swells through the Santa Cruz islands.  Gale
force winds and very heavy rainfall in northern Vanuatu and extending towards
the eastern Solomon Islands.  

Forecast position at 231200 UTC near:
             Latitude: 11.3 S
             Longitude: 166.0 E
Forecast position at 241200 UTC near:
             Latitude: 12.2 S
             Longitude: 163.9 E

This cyclone is expected to continue intensification this morning, and will
intensify more slowly during monday.  Cyclone Xavier should continue moving
slowly west. 

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 232100 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 222132
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 2125 UTC on 22/10/06
Special Advisory Number 6

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 222100 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 11.5S
Longitude: 167.8 E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south and has
been intensifying.   An eye is  evident for mocrowave imagery
[www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_home.html].

Central pressure 970 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 75 knots near the centre, with gusts to 100 knots.  

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the
centre.  Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre,
and gales [winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

Over the next 24-36 hours: Expect hurricane to storm force winds, prolonged
torrential rain and very large swells through the Santa Cruz islands.  Gale
force winds and very heavy rainfall in northern Vanuatu and extending towards
the eastern Solomon Islands.  

Forecast position at 231200 UTC near:
             Latitude: 11.5 S
             Longitude: 167.8E
Forecast position at 240000 UTC near:
             Latitude: 12.1 S
             Longitude: 167.1 E

Cyclone Xavier should continue moving south before turning towards the west
during Tuesday. 

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 230000 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 230015
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0007 UTC on 23/10/06
Special Advisory Number 7

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 230000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 11.5S
Longitude: 168.0 E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south and has
been intensifying.   

Central pressure 965 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 80 knots near the centre, with gusts to 105 knots.  

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the
centre.  Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre,
and gales [winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

Over the next 24-36 hours: Expect hurricane to storm force winds, prolonged
torrential rain and very large swells through the Santa Cruz islands.  Gale
force winds and very heavy rainfall in northern Vanuatu and extending towards
the eastern Solomon Islands.  

Forecast position at 231200 UTC near:
             Latitude: 11.8 S
             Longitude: 167.2E
Forecast position at 240000 UTC near:
             Latitude: 12.1 S
             Longitude: 166.4 E

Cyclone Xavier should continue moving slowly to the south before turning towards
the west. 

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 230300 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 230308
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0148 UTC on 23/10/06
Special Advisory Number 8

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 230133 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 11.8S
Longitude: 168.2E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south.   

Central pressure 965 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 80 knots near the centre, with gusts to 105 knots.  

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the
centre.  Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre,
and gales [winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

Over the next 24-36 hours: Expect hurricane to storm force winds, prolonged
torrential rain and very large swells through the Santa Cruz islands.  Gale
force winds and very heavy rainfall in northern Vanuatu and extending towards
the eastern Solomon Islands.  

Forecast position at 231200 UTC near:
             Latitude: 11.8 S
             Longitude: 167.2E
Forecast position at 240000 UTC near:
             Latitude: 12.1 S
             Longitude: 166.4 E

Cyclone Xavier should continue moving slowly to the south before turning towards
the west. 

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 230600 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 230636
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0536 UTC on 23/10/06
Special Advisory Number 9

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 230433 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 12.2S
Longitude: 168.3E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south
southeast at 9 knots during the past 5 hours.   

Central pressure remains at 965 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 80 knots near the centre, with gusts to 115 knots.  

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the
centre.  Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre,
and gales [winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

Over the next 24-36 hours: Expect hurricane to storm force winds, prolonged
torrential rain and very large swells through the Santa Cruz islands.  The
cyclone should continue moving south, before turning west south west towards
Vanuatu around 241800UTC.  The cyclone is expected to weaken as it heads towards
Vanuatu.  

Forecast position at 231800 UTC near:
             Latitude: 13.2 S
             Longitude: 168.8E
Forecast position at 240600 UTC near:
             Latitude: 14.0 S
             Longitude: 168.9 E

Forecast track based on movement over past 5 hours, TCLAPS 00Z and UK 00Z model
runs.  Global model runs from 12Z last night not used as guidance as they had
westerly movements that has not occurred today.

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 230900 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 230951
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

UPDATED 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0947 UTC on 23/10/06
Special Advisory Number 10

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 230830 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 12.3S
Longitude: 168.4E

Position accuracy - fair.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south
southeast at 5 knots during the past 6 hours. Latest IR satellite pictures show
the system organisation has weakened, it is now difficult to find the weak eye
seen on previous images.    

Central pressure remains at 955 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 80 knots near the centre, with gusts to 115 knots.  

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the
centre.  Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre,
and gales [winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

Over the next 24-36 hours: Expect storm force winds and very large swells
through the Santa Cruz islands.  Heavy rain now confined to the eastern side of
TC Xavier towards Anuta and Tikopia Islands. The cyclone should continue moving
south, before turning west south west towards Vanuatu around 241200UTC.  The
cyclone is expected to weaken as it heads towards Vanuatu.  

Forecast position at 240000 UTC near:
             Latitude: 13.1 S
             Longitude: 168.4E
Forecast position at 241200 UTC near:
             Latitude: 13.5 S
             Longitude: 168.1 E

Forecast track based on slow movement Sth and then SSW.

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 231300 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 231234
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 1233 UTC on 23/10/06
Special Advisory Number 11

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 231130 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 12.5S
Longitude: 168.5E

Position accuracy - fair.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south
southeast at 4 knots during the past 6 hours. During the last three hours the IR
satellite pictures have shown the organisation of the system vary, it appeared
to be weakening until the 231130UTC image which again showed an eye.    

Central pressure remains at 955 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 80 knots near the centre, with gusts to 115 knots.  

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the
centre.  Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre,
and gales [winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

Over the next 24-36 hours: Expect storm force winds and very large swells
through the Santa Cruz islands.  Heavy rain now confined to the eastern side of
TC Xavier towards Anuta and Tikopia Islands. The cyclone should continue moving
south, before turning south west towards northern Vanuatu at around 241200UTC. 
The cyclone is expected to weaken as it heads towards Vanuatu.  

Forecast position at 240000 UTC near:
             Latitude: 13.1 S
             Longitude: 168.4E
Forecast position at 250000 UTC near:
             Latitude: 14.5 S
             Longitude: 167.1 E

Forecast track based on slow movement Sth and then SW. 

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 231930 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 231802
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 1743 UTC on 23/10/06
Special Advisory Number 12

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 231630 UTC Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 12.7S
Longitude: 168.6E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south
southeast at 2 knots during the past 6 hours. During the last three hours the IR
satellite pictures have shown an eye reforming.     

Central pressure remains at 955 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 80 knots near the centre, with gusts to 115 knots.  

Expect hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the
centre.  Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre,
and gales [winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

Over the next 12 hours: Expect hurricane force winds amd large swells and storm
surge  at Tikpoia and storm force winds and very large swells through the Santa
Cruz islands and Anutas Island.  The cyclone should continue moving south,
before turning south west towards northern Vanuatu.  

Forecast position at 240600 UTC near:
             Latitude: 13.1 S
             Longitude: 168.6E
Forecast position at 250600 UTC near:
             Latitude: 14.2 S
             Longitude: 167.2 E

Forecast track based on slow movement Sth and then WSW. 

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 232130 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 232115
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 2103 UTC on 23/10/06
Special Advisory Number 13 

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 232130 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 12.9S
Longitude: 168.9E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south
southeast at 3 knots during the past 6 hours. The cyclone continues to intensify
with a clear eye on IR satellite pictures.
 

Central pressure has deepened to 945 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 85 knots near the centre, with gusts to 115 knots. Maximum
winds increasing to 95 knots. 

Hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the centre. 
Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre, and gales
[winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

The cyclone is now about 40 nautical miles south southeast of Tikopia and moving
further away.
Over the next 12 hours: Expect hurricane force winds and large swells and storm
surge  abating at Tikpoia and storm force winds and very large swells through
the Santa Cruz islands and Anutas Island slowly abating.  The cyclone should
continue moving south southeast, before turning south west towards northern
Vanuatu.  

Forecast position at 240600 UTC near:
             Latitude: 13.1 S
             Longitude: 168.6E
Forecast position at 250600 UTC near:
             Latitude: 14.2 S
             Longitude: 167.2 E


The next Special Advisory will be issued before 240030 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 240009
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0002 UTC on 24/10/06
Special Advisory Number 14

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 232333 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 13.1S
Longitude: 169.0E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the south
southeast at 3 knots during the past 6 hours. The latest satellite image
indicates Xavier has intensified rapidly over the past 2 hours. 


Central pressure has deepened to 940 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 90 knots near the centre, with gusts to 115 knots. Maximum
winds increasing to 95 knots. 

Hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the centre. 
Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre, and gales
[winds over 33 knots] out to 120 nautical miles from the centre. 

The cyclone is now moving away from Tikopia and conditions should begin to
improve there over the rest of the day. Gale force winds with heavy seas will
continue in the southern parts of the Santa Cruz Islands and Anuta Island before
easing overnight.
 

Forecast position at 241200 UTC near:
             Latitude: 13.8 S
             Longitude: 168.7E
Forecast position at 251200 UTC near:
             Latitude: 14.5 S
             Longitude: 167.5 E


The next Special Advisory will be issued before 24230 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 240341
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0320 UTC on 24/10/06
Special Advisory Number 15

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 240233 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 13.5S
Longitude: 169.3E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the southeast at
8 knots during the past 6 hours. 

Central pressure 935 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 95 knots near the centre, with gusts to 135 knots. 

Hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the centre. 
Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre, and gales
[winds over 33 knots] out to 110 nautical miles from the centre. 

Gales and strong winds should continue in the Tikopia area for the next 12-18
hours as the cyclone moves further south. Gale force winds are starting to
affect northern Vanuatu.
 
Forecast position at 242100 UTC near:
             Latitude: 14.4 S
             Longitude: 168.5E

A disturbance has formed in a shear zone near 9S 162.5E.  Quikscat imagery shows
30-40 knot inflow in that immediate area.  The disturbance does not have the
appearance of a tropical cyclone, however we will continue monitoring the
system.  The TLAPS model has analysed the disturbance as a low, and forecasts it
to move to the southeast and weaken as it gets dragged towards cyclone Xavier.

The next Special Advisory will be issued before 24530 UTC.
=========================================================================
WWPS22 ABRF 240613
IDQ20016
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 
SOLOMON ISLANDS ADVISORY
Issued at 0537 UTC on 24/10/06
Special Advisory Number 16

Tropical Cyclone Xavier 

At 240533 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Xavier was located at : 

Latitude: 13.7S
Longitude: 169.6E

Position accuracy - good.  The cyclone has been moving towards the southeast at
11 knots during the past 6 hours. 

Central pressure 935 hPa.

Mean maximum winds to 95 knots near the centre, with gusts to 135 knots. 

Hurricane force winds [over 63 knots] out 20 nautical miles from the centre. 
Storm force winds [ 48 to 63 knots] 50 nautical miles from the centre, and gales
[winds over 33 knots] out to 110 nautical miles from the centre. 

Gales and strong winds should continue in the Tikopia area for the next 12-18
hours as the cyclone moves further south. Gale force winds are starting to
affect northern Vanuatu.
 
Forecast position at 241800 UTC near:
             Latitude: 14.7 S
             Longitude: 169.9E

Tropical cyclone Xavier appears to have begun weakening in the last 6 hours,
however the intensity has been kept the same due to Dvorak constraints.

A thunderstorm cluster in a shear zone near 9S 162.5E appears to have weakened a
lot in the last 3 hours.  Quikscat imagery taken at 1900UTC this morning had
30-40 knot inflow in that immediate area, however that is probably not the case
now that the thunderstorms have weakened.  The storm cluster does not have the
appearance of a tropical cyclone.  

As Cyclone Xavier continues moving away from the Solomon Islands, this is the
last Solomon Islands advisory we will issue for this system.  We will continue
issuing Dvorak assessments of cyclone Xavier.  We do not expect the thunderstorm
cluster near the Solomon Islands to form into a tropical cyclone, but we will
issue advisories if needed.   

No further advisories unless needed.  
=========================================================================
WHPS01 NFFN 241200
Hurricane Warning 015 issued from RSMC NADI Oct 24/1305 UTC 2006 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone XAVIER [930hPa] centre was located near 14.4 South 170.1 East
at 241200 UTC.  
Position fair.  
Repeat position 14.4S 170.1E at 241200 UTC.
Cyclone is moving southeast at about 08 knots but expected to gradually curve
south.
Expect sustained winds of 95 knots close to centre. 
Expect winds over 63 knots within 20 miles of centre
             over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre
             over 33 knots within 120 miles of centre in the northwestern
semicircle 
                        and within 150 miles in the southeastern semicircle.
 
Forecast position near 16.0S 170.5E at 250000 UTC              
              and near 17.2S 169.9E at 251200 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send
reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels.
Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj.

This warning cancels and replaces warning 014.
=========================================================================
WHPS01 NFFN 241800
Hurricane Warning 016 issued from RSMC NADI Oct 24/1909 UTC 2006 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone XAVIER [930hPa] centre was located near 15.0 South 171.0 East
at 241800 UTC.  
Position fair.  
Repeat position 15.0S 171.0E at 241800 UTC.
Cyclone is moving southeast at about 10 knots but expected to gradually curve
south.
Cyclone expected to weaken.
Expect sustained winds of 95 knots close to centre, decreasing to 85 knots in
the next 12 hours. 
Expect winds over 63 knots within 20 miles of centre
             over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre
             over 33 knots within 120 miles of centre in the northwestern
semicircle 
                       and within 150 miles in the southeastern semicircle.
 
Forecast position near 16.8S 172.1E at 250600 UTC              
              and near 18.0S 172.4E at 251800 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send
reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels.
Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj.

This warning cancels and replaces warning 015.
=========================================================================
WHPS01 NFFN 250000    
Hurricane Warning 017 issued from RSMC NADI Oct 25/0102 UTC 2006 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone XAVIER [945hPa] centre was located near 15.6 South 171.7 East
at 250000 UTC.  
Position fair.  
Repeat position 15.6S 171.7E at 250000 UTC.
Cyclone is moving southeast at about 10 knots but expected to gradually curve
south.
Cyclone weakening.
Expect sustained winds of 85 knots close to centre, decreasing to 75 knots in
the next 12 hours. 
Expect winds over 63 knots within 20 miles of centre
             over 47 knots within 40 miles of centre
             over 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the northwestern
semicircle 
                       and within 150 miles in the southeastern semicircle.
 
Forecast position near 17.3S 172.6E at 251200 UTC              
              and near 18.6S 172.6E at 260000 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send
reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels.
Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj.

This warning cancels and replaces warning 016.
=========================================================================
WHPS01 NFFN 250600    
Hurricane Warning 018 issued from RSMC NADI Oct 25/0713 UTC 2006 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone XAVIER [960hPa] centre was located near 16.2 South 172.1 East
at 250600 UTC.  
Position poor.  
Repeat position 16.2S 172.1E at 250600 UTC.
Cyclone is moving southeast at about 09 knots but expected to gradually curve
south.
Cyclone weakening rapidly.
Expect sustained winds of 75 knots close to centre, decreasing to 50 knots in
the next 12 to 24 hours. 
Expect winds over 63 knots within 20 miles of centre
             over 47 knots within 40 miles of centre
             over 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the northwestern
semicircle 
                       and within 150 miles in the southeastern semicircle.
 
Forecast position near 17.3S 172.4E at 251800 UTC              
              and near 18.5S 172.5E at 260600 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send
reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use normal channels.
Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj.

This warning cancels and replaces warning 017.
=========================================================================
WTPS01 NFFN 251200 CCB
STORM Warning 019 issued from RSMC NADI Oct 25/1320 UTC 2006 UTC.

Correction to forecast wind...

Tropical Cyclone XAVIER [975hPa] centre was re-located near 16.0
South 171.9 East at 251200 UTC. Position poor.  
Repeat position 16.0S 171.9E at 251200 UTC.
Cyclone is moving south at about 03 knots but expected to gradually
curve southwest and finally west.
Cyclone weakening rapidly.
Expect sustained winds of 60 knots close to centre, decreasing to 40
knots in the next 12 hours. 
Expect winds over 47 knots within 40 miles of centre             
         and over 33 knots within 100 miles of centre in the
northwestern semicircle                                 
         and within 120 miles in the southeastern semicircle. 

Forecast position near 16.8S 171.9E at 260000 UTC                    
      
              and near 17.2S 171.2E at 261200 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to
send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use
normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc
at met dot gov dot fj.

This warning cancels and replaces warning 018.
=========================================================================
WTPS01 NFFN 251800    
GALE Warning 019 issued from RSMC NADI Oct 25/1907 UTC 2006 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone XAVIER [987hPa] centre was located near 16.0 South
171.0 East at 251800 UTC. Position poor.  
Repeat position 16.0S 171.0E at 251800 UTC.
Cyclone moving southwest at about 5 knots and expected to curve west.
Cyclone weakening rapidly.
Expect sustained winds of 45 knots close to centre, decreasing to 30
knots in the next 12 hours. 
Expect winds over 33 knots within 90 miles of centre in the
northwestern semicircle                                 
                       and within 120 miles in the southeastern
semicircle. 

Forecast position near 15.7S 170.1E at 260600 UTC                    
      
              and near 15.9S 168.8E at 261800 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to
send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use
normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc
at met dot gov dot fj.

This warning cancels and replaces warning 018.
=========================================================================
WTPS01 NFFN 252100    
GALE Warning 020 issued from RSMC NADI Oct 25/2209 UTC 2006 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone XAVIER [995hPa] centre was re-located near 15.0
South 170.7 East at 252100 UTC. Position fair.  
Repeat position 15.0S 170.7E at 252100 UTC.
Cyclone moving northwest at about 10 knots.
Cyclone weakening rapidly.
Expect sustained winds of 35 knots within 120 miles of centre in the
southeastern semicircle, decreasing to 30 knots in the next 6 to 12
hours. 

Forecast position near 14.0S 169.0E at 260900 UTC                    
      
              and near 13.1S 167.3E at 262100 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to
send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use
normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc
at met dot gov dot fj.

This warning cancels and replaces warning 019.
=========================================================================
WTPS11 NFFN 260000
Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A18 issued from RSMC NADI
Oct 26/0045 UTC 2006 UTC.

Depression 01F [997hPa] [former Tropical Cyclone XAVIER] was located
near 14.8S 170.3E at 260000 UTC moving northwest 08 knots. Position
good. Expect clockwise winds 30 to 35 knots within 120 miles of
centre in the southern semicircle, easing in the next 6 to 12 hours. 

This will be the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on Depression
01F [former Tropical Cyclone Xavier] unless the situation changes. 

Tropical cyclone tracks developed by Michael Bath using operational warnings and advisories.


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Document: tropical_cyclone_xavier_bom_warnings.htm Updated: 2 May 2017