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Tropical Cyclone MONICA : JTWC Advisories
Season 2005-2006 Summaries (Operational Data): [AU] [SIO] [SPAC] [SH]
---> Tropical Cyclone MONICA Track Map and Data

WTPS21 PGTW 20060416 20:30z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/162021APR2006//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3S 150.9E TO 13.1S 148.2E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 161800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 10.8S 150.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.5S
151.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S 150.5E, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. RECENT ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEPENING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN CORAL
SEA. THIS RIDGE WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE
ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 172030Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060417 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/162021ZAPR06//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   170000Z --- NEAR 12.2S 150.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S 150.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z --- 13.4S 148.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z --- 13.7S 146.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 13.6S 145.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 13.6S 143.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
170300Z POSITION NEAR 12.5S 149.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM
SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MULTIPLE MICROWAVE PASSES INDICATE
THAT THE CONVECTION IS WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A LOW TO MID LEVEL
STEERING RIDGE WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AFTER
TAU 12 AND AN OFFSET UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WILL PROVIDE FAVOR-
ABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A,
NAVPACMETOCCEN 162021ZAPR2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 162030). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 170000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z AND 180300Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060417 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   171200Z --- NEAR 12.7S 149.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S 149.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z --- 13.0S 147.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 13.1S 146.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 13.1S 144.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 13.2S 142.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 12.8S 149.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A BUILDING
MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TC 23P WILL STEER THE STORM
WESTWARD TOWARDS CAPE YORK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. A LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVER-
GENCE WILL ALLOW FOR INTENSIFICATION UNTIL LANDFALL JUST PAST
TAU 36. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z AND 181500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060418 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180000Z --- NEAR 12.9S 147.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S 147.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 13.1S 146.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 13.4S 144.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 13.6S 142.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 13.7S 140.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 13.0S 147.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE ON A
GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, REMAINING ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF MID-LEVEL RIDGING OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA.
AN INITIAL PERIOD OF STRONG INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED (PRIOR TO
LANDFALL WITH CAPE YORK) IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND FAVORABLE ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 23P WILL WEAKEN
AFTER 24 HOURS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z AND
190300Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060418 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   181200Z --- NEAR 13.1S 145.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S 145.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 13.3S 143.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 13.4S 141.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 13.4S 140.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z --- 13.1S 138.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
181500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1S 145.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
NORTH OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS
IMPROVED RADIAL OUTFLOW AND A FLUCTUATING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. TC
23P HAS MAINTAINED A RELATIVELY STEADY WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STAY ON THIS COURSE AS IT MOVES
ACROSS CAPE YORK. THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS, TC 23P WILL MOVE INTO
THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE EQUATORWARD PERIPHERY
OF A STEERING RIDGE SITUATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. THE INTENSITY
WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, HOWEVER IT
SHOULD WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AT TAU 18 DUE TO PASSAGE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
190300Z AND 191500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060419 03:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 12.9S 144.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S 144.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 13.1S 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 13.2S 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 13.1S 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 12.5S 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 13.0S 143.8E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 30 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z AND 200300Z.
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060419 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   191200Z --- NEAR 13.6S 142.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S 142.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 13.9S 141.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z --- 13.9S 140.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z --- 13.6S 138.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 13.2S 137.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 13.7S 142.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM
SOUTHEAST OF WEIPA, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
REVEALS A SUBSTANTIAL BREAKDOWN IN CORE CONVECTION AND FRAGMENTED
RADIAL OUTFLOW. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS, TC 23P WILL TRACK
SLIGHTLY POLEWARD AS A TRANSIENT MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS THE
STEERING RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. AFTER TAU 24, THE RIDGE WILL
REDEVELOP OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA AND CAUSE TC 23P TO TRACK NORTHWEST-
WARD. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM WILL DECREASE THROUGH TAU 12,
HOWEVER ONCE TC 23P MOVES OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, IT WILL BEGIN
TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AS SURFACE INFLOW IMPROVES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z AND
201500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060420 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 007
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   200000Z --- NEAR 13.8S 141.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S 141.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z --- 13.8S 140.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z --- 13.7S 139.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 13.3S 138.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 12.6S 137.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 13.8S 141.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WEIPA, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE PASSING OF THE MIDLATITUDE TROUGH AXIS
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TC 23P IS CAUSING THE STEERING RIDGE OVER CENTRAL
AUSTRALIA TO BUILD IN SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM
TO TRACK TO THE WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AS TC 23P MOVES OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, IT WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY
STRENGTHEN AS SURFACE INFLOW IMPROVES AND RADIAL OUTFLOW CONTINUES.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 201500Z AND 210300Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060420 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 008
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   201200Z --- NEAR 13.9S 140.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S 140.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z --- 13.5S 139.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 13.1S 138.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 12.6S 137.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z --- 12.0S 135.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
201500Z POSITION NEAR 13.8S 140.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM
EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 23P HAS REEMERGED OVER THE WARM
WATERS OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO STEER THE STORM
TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. A FAVORABLE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL
ASSOCIATED WITH MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR INTENS-
IFICATION IN THE NEAR PERIOD. AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS,
THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL WILL DECOUPLE FROM THE STORM, IN-
HIBITING FURTHER STRENGTHENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 201200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z AND 211500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060421 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 009
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   210000Z --- NEAR 13.4S 139.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S 139.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 13.0S 139.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 12.5S 138.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z --- 11.9S 137.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 11.4S 136.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 13.3S 139.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST
OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. TC 23P CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHWEST. A FAVORABLE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL
ASSOCIATED WITH MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR INTENSIFI-
CATION IN THE NEAR PERIOD. TC 23P WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL DECOUPLES FROM THE WESTERLY MIDLATITUDE FLOW
AND THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW BECOMES DISRUPTED AS TC 23P APPROACHES THE
NORTHERN TERRITORY OF AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
210000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z AND 220300Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060421 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 010
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   211200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 139.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 139.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 12.8S 139.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z --- 12.5S 138.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 12.2S 137.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 11.9S 136.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:

211500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1S 139.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST
OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
OVER SOUTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA WILL STEER TC 23P IN A MORE WESTERLY
DIRECTION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THE VERTICAL WIND SHEER ENVIRON-
MENT REMAINS FAVORABLE. ONLY MODEST STRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED,
HOWEVER, AS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH DIMINISHES AND THE STORM
BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
211200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z AND 221500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060422 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 011
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   220000Z --- NEAR 12.6S 139.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S 139.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z --- 12.4S 138.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 12.2S 137.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 12.0S 135.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 12.0S 134.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 12.5S 139.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
490 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA WILL INDUCE A SIGNIFICANT WEST-
WARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK AS TC 23P BECOMES SITUATED
ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS STEERING MECHANISM. THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO
REDUCED UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, THE INGESTION OF DRIER AIR, AND
DISRUPTED LOW LEVEL INFLOW AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 221500Z AND 230300Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060422 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 012
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   221200Z --- NEAR 12.1S 138.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S 138.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z --- 11.7S 137.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 11.4S 136.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 11.4S 135.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 11.7S 133.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 12.0S 138.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM EAST
OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS GRADUALLY INCREASED FORWARD SPEED AND
REMAINS ON A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST
PERIOD, A DEEPENING TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN AUSTRALIA,
WEAKENING THE STEERING RIDGE, ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO BEGIN A MORE
WESTWARD TRACK. THE DEVELOPING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST IS BEGINNING TO
IMPINGE ON THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, BUT INTENSITY WILL BE MAINTAINED
THROUGHOUT THE FIRST 12 HOURS OF THE FORECAST. INTENSITY WILL DE-
CREASE BEYOND THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS TC 23P BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH
THE COAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 37 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z AND 231500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060423 03:00z  
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//    
RMKS/     
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 013    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z --- NEAR 11.4S 138.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.4S 138.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z --- 10.9S 136.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 10.8S 135.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 11.1S 133.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 11.5S 131.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 11.3S 137.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST
OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE RELATIVELY SMALL CIRCULATION OF TC 23P REMAINS OVER
HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WITHIN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL EN-
VIRONMENT. CONSEQUENTLY, THE CYCLONE INTENSIFIED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE
LAST 24 HOURS, AND HAS NOW DEVELOPED A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE. MODEST
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER TAU 24 AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE CURRENTLY
OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA IS FORECAST TO BUILD EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. TC 23P WILL REMAIN ON THE EQUATORWARD PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE
AND BEGIN A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
230000Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z AND 240300Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060423 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 014
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231200Z --- NEAR 11.3S 136.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S 136.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z --- 11.3S 135.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 11.6S 133.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 12.3S 132.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   251200Z --- 13.1S 130.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 11.3S 136.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST
OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED OVER
THE LAST 12 HOURS DUE TO FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND
WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 23P WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS IT
TRACKS WESTWARD THROUGH TAU 24, DECREASING AS IT MAKES LANDFALL. LAND
EFFECTS WILL THEN BEGIN TO BRING DOWN THE INTENSITY FROM TAU 36
THROUGH TAU 48. THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN IN
THE LATER TAUS AS A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER WESTERN AUST-
RALIA CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
240300Z AND 241500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060424 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 015
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   240000Z --- NEAR 11.4S 135.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.4S 135.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 11.9S 133.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 12.5S 132.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   251200Z --- 13.3S 130.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   260000Z --- 14.1S 129.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 11.5S 134.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 23P REMAINS AN INTENSE BUT COMPACT SYSTEM
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM EQUATORWARD OF MILINGIMBI. THE MID-LEVEL
STEERING RIDGE SOUTH OF THE STORM WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD IN
RESPONSE TO A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. IN TURN,
THE CYCLONE WILL BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK, MAKING LANDFALL IN 12 HOURS
AND REMAINING JUST INLAND THROUGH 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
EMERGE IN THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
TC 23P WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES AND INTERACTS WITH LAND.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
241500Z AND 250300Z.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20060424 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 016
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   240600Z --- NEAR 11.7S 134.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.7S 134.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z --- 12.3S 133.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z --- 13.0S 131.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   251800Z --- 14.0S 131.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   260600Z --- 15.2S 130.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 11.9S 134.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTH OF
THE STORM WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO A MAJOR SHORT-
WAVE TROUGH NOW OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. THE INFLUENCE OF LAND WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SIGNIFICANTLY PAST TAU 24. THE SYSTEM IS
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER LAND THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THE TRACK WILL CONTINUE TO CURVE POLEWARD DUE TO THE INFLUENCE THE
TROUGH WILL HAVE ON THE STEERING RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z AND 250900Z.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20060424 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 017
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   241800Z --- NEAR 12.8S 133.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S 133.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z --- 14.0S 132.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 13.1S 132.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST
OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY
INDICATE THAT TC 23P IS NOW LOCATED OVER LAND. THE DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH TC 23P HAS DISSIPATED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS
AS IT MOVES INLAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//

Tropical cyclone tracks developed by Michael Bath using operational warnings and advisories.


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Document: tropical_cyclone_monica_jtwc_advisories.htm Updated: 2 May 2017