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Tropical Cyclone ELIA : JTWC Advisories
Season 2005-2006 Summaries (Operational Data): [AU] [SIO] [SPAC] [SH]
---> Tropical Cyclone ELIA Track Map and Data

WTXS31 PGTW 20060412 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   121200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 90.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 90.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   130000Z --- 13.9S 89.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   131200Z --- 14.3S 88.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   140000Z --- 14.5S 87.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z --- 14.9S 86.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 13.4S 89.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM
WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY WEAK
RIDGING TO THE SOUTH. TC 22S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A RELATIVELY
WEAK STORM DUE TO AN UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
AND LACK OF A WELL DEVELOPED UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNEL. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
130300Z AND 131500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20060413 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   130000Z --- NEAR 13.6S 89.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S 89.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   131200Z --- 14.0S 89.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   140000Z --- 14.4S 88.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z --- 15.0S 87.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z --- 16.0S 87.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 13.7S 89.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY
RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 22S TRACK SPEED HAS DECREASED OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS AS IT MOVED INTO THE RIDGE AXIS. TC 22S IS EXPECTED TO
SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DECREASES. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
131500Z AND 140300Z.
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20060413 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   131200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 89.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 89.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   140000Z --- 13.5S 88.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z --- 14.2S 87.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z --- 15.2S 86.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z --- 16.6S 86.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
131500Z POSITION NEAR 13.3S 89.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST
OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE FORWARD SPEED OF TC 22S
HAS CONTINUED TO SLOW OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, AND THE SYSTEM
HAS SLOWLY INTENSIFIED IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 22S IS FORECAST TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING ANTI-
CYCLONE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 131200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z AND 141500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20060414 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (ELIA) WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140000Z --- NEAR 13.5S 89.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S 89.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z --- 14.3S 87.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z --- 15.2S 86.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z --- 16.6S 86.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z --- 17.8S 85.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 13.7S 88.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S (ELIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM SLIGHTLY INCREASED IN SPEED OVER
THE LAST 12 HOURS, AND HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN
TO MOVE INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BUT HAS MOD-
ERATELY INCREASED IN ITS POLEWARD OUTFLOW. RECENT ANIMATED WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS A MAJOR UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS DEEP-
ENING AND MOVING EASTWARD, POLEWARD OF TC 22S. THIS IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGIN TO CREATE A WEAKNESS IN
THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BETWEEN 24 AND 48 HOURS, WHICH WILL STEER THE
SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS
21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z AND 150300Z.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20060414 15:00z 
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/    
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (ELIA) WARNING NR 005    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   141200Z --- NEAR 14.7S 88.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S 88.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z --- 16.0S 88.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z --- 17.8S 87.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z --- 19.7S 88.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   161200Z --- 21.6S 88.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 15.0S 88.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S (ELIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 525
NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. IMPROVED
POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS SUPPORTED WEAK INTENSIFICATION OF TC 22S
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES
AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH HAS WEAKENED THE STEERING
ANTICYCLONE LOCATED EAST OF TC 22S, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO TURN
POLEWARD. TC 22S WILL CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING ANTICYCLONE, AND WILL BEGIN
TO WEAKEN AFTER TAU 12 AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 23 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z AND 151500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20060415 03:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (ELIA) WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   150000Z --- NEAR 15.0S 86.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S 86.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z --- 15.4S 85.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z --- 15.7S 84.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 15.1S 86.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S (ELIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 610 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) IS BECOMING DECOUPLED FROM THE CONVECTION. THE ENVIRONMENT OF
HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL PERSIST AND ANY REMAINING CONVECTION
WILL BE SHEARED FROM THE LLCC AND THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20060415 15:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (ELIA) WARNING NR 007
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   151200Z --- NEAR 15.5S 85.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S 85.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z --- 16.2S 84.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 15.7S 85.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S (ELIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 22S IS DISSIPATING IN A
HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THAT IS FORECAST TO INCREASE.
RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION WELL TO THE
SOUTHEAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSE-
LY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 12 FEET.//

Tropical cyclone tracks developed by Michael Bath using operational warnings and advisories.


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Document: tropical_cyclone_elia_jtwc_advisories.htm Updated: 2 May 2017