WTPS31 PGTW 20021204 21:00z
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041121ZDEC2002//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   041800Z3 --- NEAR 20.0S2 174.5W7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 174.5W7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z1 --- 22.5S9 171.8W7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   051800Z4 --- 25.1S8 169.0W6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   060600Z2 --- 26.9S7 166.5W8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   061800Z5 --- 27.1S0 164.1W2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.6S8  173.8W9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTH PACIFIC
CONVERGENCE ZONE ABOUT 410 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FIJI. TC 04P HAS
TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 19 KTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGES. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
QUIKSCAT DATA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGES DEPICT THAT
THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN INTERACTION WITH A BAROCLINIC ZONE APPROACHING
FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON NOGAPS, GFS, AND
THE UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
041800Z3 IS 15 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A,
NAVPACMETOCCEN 041121Z DEC 02 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTPS21 PGTW 041130 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 AND 052100Z8.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20021205 09:00z
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (YOLANDE) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   050600Z1 --- NEAR 21.2S5 172.9W9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.2S5 172.9W9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   051800Z4 --- 22.1S5 171.4W3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 21.4S7 172.5W5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (YOLANDE) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF FIJI. TC 04P HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KTS
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050530Z3
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MULTIPLE MICROWAVE IMAGES. THE
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGES
INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS NEARLY COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION
THROUGH CONTINUED INTERACTION WITH A BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE
SOUTHWEST. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW FULLY
EXPOSED, WITH VERY LITTLE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE LLCC. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE
DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 13
FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//

Tropical cyclone tracks developed by Michael Bath using operational warnings and advisories.

Document: tropical_cyclone_yolande_jtwc_advisories.htm Updated: 17 June 2020 [Australian Severe Weather index] [Copyright Notice] [Email Contacts] [Search This Site] [Privacy Policy]