http://australiasevereweather.com/


From: "Tina Jones" <bjones14 at postoffice.csu.edu.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Happy New Year
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 00:05:43 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4522.1200
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Happy New Year to you all, and more snow on the way!!!!
Tina :-)
----- Original Message -----
From: "Jane ONeill" <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
To: "Aussie-wx" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Monday, December 31, 2001 11:45 PM
Subject: aus-wx: Happy New Year


> HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL!!!!
>
> PS: there's still a lot of snow lying up the top of the Snowy Mtns!!
>
> Jane
>
> --------------------------------
> Jane ONeill - Melbourne
> cadence at stormchasers.au.com
>
> Melbourne Storm Chasers
> http://www.stormchasers.au.com
>
> ASWA - Victoria
> http://www.severeweather.asn.au
> --------------------------------
>
>
>
>
>
>
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>  To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
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>  message.
>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Nathan Thompson" <pthomps3 at bigpond.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Happy New Year
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 01:47:01 +1030
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi,

Have a Happy New Year 2002 everyone!

From Nathan.

----- Original Message -----
From: "Jane ONeill" <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
To: "Aussie-wx" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Monday, December 31, 2001 11:15 PM
Subject: aus-wx: Happy New Year


> HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL!!!!
>
> PS: there's still a lot of snow lying up the top of the Snowy Mtns!!
>
> Jane
>
> --------------------------------
> Jane ONeill - Melbourne
> cadence at stormchasers.au.com
>
> Melbourne Storm Chasers
> http://www.stormchasers.au.com
>
> ASWA - Victoria
> http://www.severeweather.asn.au
> --------------------------------
>
>
>
>
>
>
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>  To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
>  with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
>  message.
>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
X-Sender: carls at xenios.qldnet.com.au
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 01:38:12 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith <carls at qldnet.com.au>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Get a load of this
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Paul.

>HI Carl,
>
>Thanks for this. I havnt been getting regular JTWC updates lately for some
>reason. This one must have been one that was missed.
>
>Waka formed within the "cyclone" side of the pacific didnt it? Rather then
>the "hurricane" side? My guess ...

I think that in the Southern Hemisphere they are all known as cyclones.
Hurricane is only used in the N Atlantic and the NE-NC Pacific.

>
>As for cyclogenesis theories I have always wondered about the "cant". My
>reason (and I am no way a scientist etc) - the earth is a sphere. It tilts
>during seasonal oscilations (23degress or sumthin?) wouldnt then then
>"centre" of gravity tilt with it? We know that air masses now can cross the
>equator (i.e. monsoon - ITCZ etc),and the "centre" or convergence zone of
>the hadley cell of that air mass follows - so why not the coriolis effect.
>
>EG - at spring and autumn the sun is directly overhead of the equator ,
>while in summer the sun is directly overhead the respective tropic. Wouldnt
>then the coriolis effect and the "no-form" zone shift accordingly? Otherwise
>wouldnt there be some displacement or imbalance (ie. coriolis effect at
>equator, when the equator is at that stage literally the tropic where the
>sun is according to the tilt? (now if anyone can make sense of this then
>please see a Doctor....) hehe
>
>Just some ramblings for thought.
>

The coriolis effect is due to the Earth spinning on it's axis, and is
always relative to the true Equator of date, which always stays within a
few km's of the line drawn on maps as the Equator.

The seasonal variation in the Sun's declination is caused by the fact that
the Earth is spinning on an axis that is tilted about 23.5 degrees from the
axis of the Earth's orbit around the Sun. This axis does not change very
quickly, taking about 26000 years to complete a precession cycle around the
Earth's orbital axis. In the short term, the Earth's rotational axis is
more or less constant, and as the Earth moves around the Sun, it exposes
more of one hemisphere to the Sun during one half of it's orbit and more of
the other hemisphere during the other half of it's orbit. This gives us our
seasons.

Hope that clarifies the picture for you.

Regards,
Carl.

>
>----- Original Message -----
>From: "Carl Smith" <carls at qldnet.com.au>
>To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
>Sent: Monday, December 31, 2001 1:46 PM
>Subject: Re: aus-wx: Get a load of this
>
>
>> Hi Paul.
>>
>> >Phil - I thought that  Vaemei was only a Tropical Storm (JTWC only has it
>as
>> >a Tropical Storm).?
>> >
>> >Rgds, Paul.
>>
>>
>> Have another look at JTWC's warning - it is called a Tropical Cyclone.
>>
>> >WTIO31 PGTW 302100
>> >1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (VAMEI) WARNING NR 001
>> >   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
>> >   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
>>
>> Anything stronger than a tropical depression is called a Tropical Cyclone
>> when in the Bay of Bengal. You may also note that WAKA is called a
>Tropical
>> Cyclone in the JTWC warnings although it is of hurricane intensity.
>>
>> As for Vamei, this was remarkable as it struck just north of Singapore as
>a
>> Typhoon at latitude 1.5 degrees north with the cloud bands extending
>across
>> the Equator into the southern hemisphere - see the image showing this on
>my
>> page at http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/current.htm below the satpic
>> animation - time for someone to have another look at cyclogenesis theories
>> as TC's are not supposed to be able to develop within about 5 degrees of
>> the Equator.
>>
>> Here is an extract of the relevent JTWC warning:
>>
>> >WTPN31 PGTW 270900
>> >1. TYPHOON 32W (VAMEI) WARNING NR 002
>> >   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
>> >   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
>> >    ---
>> >   WARNING POSITION:
>> >   270600Z5 --- NEAR 1.5N6 104.4E9
>> >     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
>> >     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
>> >     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
>> >     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
>> >   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
>> >   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
>> >   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
>> >                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
>> >                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
>> >                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
>> >   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
>> >                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
>> >                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
>> >                                   OVER WATER
>> >                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
>> >   REPEAT POSIT: 1.5N6 104.4E9
>>
>> Regards,
>> Carl.
>>
>>
>>
>> ~~~~~~~~~~
>> Carl Smith.
>> Gold Coast.
>> Queensland.
>> Australia.
>>
>> Email: carls at qldnet.com.au
>> Internet: http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/
>> Current Tropical Cyclone information :
>> http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/current.htm
>> Tropical Cyclone Tracking Maps :
>http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm
>>
>>
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>>  To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
>>  with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
>>  message.
>>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
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> To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
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> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------


~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast.
Queensland.
Australia.

Email: carls at qldnet.com.au
Internet: http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/
Current Tropical Cyclone information :
http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/current.htm
Tropical Cyclone Tracking Maps : http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Jane ONeill" <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Darwin and north.
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 12:20:03 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

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<DIV><FONT size=2>Morning all,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Interesting visible image this morning...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2><A 
href="http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Dec01/12312330ausvis.jpg">http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Dec01/12312330ausvis.jpg</A></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Jane</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>--------------------------------<BR>Jane ONeill - Melbourne<BR><A 
href="mailto:cadence at stormchasers.au.com">cadence at stormchasers.au.com</A>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Melbourne Storm Chasers<BR><A 
href="http://www.stormchasers.au.com">http://www.stormchasers.au.com</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>ASWA - Victoria<BR><A 
href="http://www.severeweather.asn.au">http://www.severeweather.asn.au</A><BR>--------------------------------</DIV></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
  Mossman</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 4:25 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
  north.</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Latest TC Outlook.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Thursday could see the new years first 
  TC.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>A developing TROPICAL LOW 1004 hPa is situated in the northern Gulf 
  of<BR>Carpentaria.<BR>At 2pm it was near latitude 11.5S, longitude 138.0E, 
  about 150 km<BR>northeast of Nhulunbuy, and almost stationary.&nbsp; The LOW 
  is expected to move<BR>towards the south or southwest.<BR><BR>The potential 
  for development into a Tropical Cyclone over the next<BR>few days, provided 
  the low remains over water, is estimated to be:<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  Tuesday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; low,<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  Wednesday:&nbsp;&nbsp; moderate,<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  Thursday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; high.<BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>As for movemenr, dont know. The BOMs TLAPS 
  Cyclone Hi Res product actually shows a more westward movement. Who knows..... 
  awaiting the most recent diagnostic statement from the BOM. Perhaps they are 
  expecting a monsoonal surge associated with this Low, which would drive it to 
  the South / SW.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul Mossman<BR>NT State ASWA Rep<BR>Home Mail: 
  <A href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">ntstorms at bigpond.com</A><BR>Work Mail: 
  <A href="mailto:Paul.Mossman at .nt.gov.au">Paul.Mossman at .nt.gov.au</A><BR>ICQ: 
  111144666</FONT></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
  style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
    <A title=Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au 
    href="mailto:Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au">The Weather Man</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
    title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
    href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
    </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 10:27 
    AM</DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
    north.</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>How unlucky could they be... It missed the 
    lighting rod!!! That would have to be the most unluckiest radar 
    ever!</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Jason</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>º¿º</FONT></DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
    style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
      <DIV 
      style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
      <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
      Mossman</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
      title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
      href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
      </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 9:38 
      AM</DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
      north.</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi Jason,</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The AP radar is not protected by the outer 
      shell like most of the fulltime weather radars. Apparently it took a 
      direct strike..... which is really amazing since they have a whopping big 
      lightning rod only several metres away....</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul.</FONT></DIV>
      <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
      style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
        <DIV 
        style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
        <A title=Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au 
        href="mailto:Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au">The Weather Man</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
        title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
        href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
        </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, December 30, 2001 
        10:38 PM</DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
        north.</DIV>
        <DIV><BR></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul,</FONT></DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Must have been&nbsp;a storm and a half.... 
        Did the strike hit the radar only?? or did it take out other 
        equipment?</FONT></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Jason</FONT></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>º¿º</FONT></DIV>
        <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
        style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
          <DIV 
          style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
          <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
          Mossman</A> </DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
          title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
          href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
          </DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, December 30, 2001 
          7:22 PM</DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
          north.</DIV>
          <DIV><BR></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Anyone wondering why there are NO Darwin 
          soundings lately - there was a direct lightning strike on the BOM 
          Airport Radar ($2million worth of damage) during Friday's huge storm 
          (AP received 42mm in 10 mins or so...)</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>A consequence - no soundings&nbsp;til 
          radar is replaced or repaired. And just after they had recalibrated it 
          as well and finally got decent radar images for 
          Darwin.....</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul in 
      Darwin.</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Paul Mossman" <ntstorms at bigpond.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: First TC advice for the new year!
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 12:42:48 +0930
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

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<DIV>TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH<BR><BR>TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1&nbsp; 
<BR>Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN<BR>at 11:00 am CST Tuesday 1 
January 2002<BR><BR>A CYCLONE WATCH has been declared for coastal and island 
communities <BR>between NHULUNBUY and the QUEENSLAND BORDER.<BR><BR>At 11 am CST 
a TROPICAL LOW was centred in the Gulf of Carpentaria about 130<BR>kilometres 
east southeast of NHULUNBUY and 220 kilometres northeast of<BR>ALYANGULA, moving 
slowly south, parallel to the coast.<BR><BR>There is the possibility of a 
tropical cyclone developing in the Gulf of<BR>Carpentaria. GALES are not 
expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours,<BR>however gales could 
develop later.<BR><BR>Details of TROPICAL LOW at 8 am CST:<BR> . Centre located 
near&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; : 12.6 degrees South 137.9 degrees East<BR> . 
Location accuracy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; : within 30 
kilometres&nbsp;&nbsp; <BR> . Recent 
movement&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; : towards the 
south at 5 km/h<BR> . Wind gusts near centre&nbsp;&nbsp; : 80 kilometres per 
hour<BR> . Central pressure&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; : 
1003 hectoPascals<BR><BR>People between NHULUNBUY and the QUEENSLAND BORDER 
should listen for the next<BR>advice which will be issued at 5 pm CST.<BR></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=cadence at stormchasers.au.com 
  href="mailto:cadence at stormchasers.au.com">Jane ONeill</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, January 01, 2002 10:50 
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
  north.</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=2>Morning all,</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=2>Interesting visible image this morning...</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=2><A 
  href="http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Dec01/12312330ausvis.jpg">http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Dec01/12312330ausvis.jpg</A></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=2>Jane</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>--------------------------------<BR>Jane ONeill - Melbourne<BR><A 
  href="mailto:cadence at stormchasers.au.com">cadence at stormchasers.au.com</A> 
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Melbourne Storm Chasers<BR><A 
  href="http://www.stormchasers.au.com">http://www.stormchasers.au.com</A></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>ASWA - Victoria<BR><A 
  href="http://www.severeweather.asn.au">http://www.severeweather.asn.au</A><BR>--------------------------------</DIV></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
  style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
    <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
    Mossman</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
    title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
    href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
    </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 4:25 
    PM</DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
    north.</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Latest TC Outlook.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Thursday could see the new years first 
    TC.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>A developing TROPICAL LOW 1004 hPa is situated in the northern Gulf 
    of<BR>Carpentaria.<BR>At 2pm it was near latitude 11.5S, longitude 138.0E, 
    about 150 km<BR>northeast of Nhulunbuy, and almost stationary.&nbsp; The LOW 
    is expected to move<BR>towards the south or southwest.<BR><BR>The potential 
    for development into a Tropical Cyclone over the next<BR>few days, provided 
    the low remains over water, is estimated to be:<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
    Tuesday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; low,<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
    Wednesday:&nbsp;&nbsp; moderate,<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
    Thursday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; high.<BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>As for movemenr, dont know. The BOMs TLAPS 
    Cyclone Hi Res product actually shows a more westward movement. Who 
    knows..... awaiting the most recent diagnostic statement from the BOM. 
    Perhaps they are expecting a monsoonal surge associated with this Low, which 
    would drive it to the South / SW.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul Mossman<BR>NT State ASWA Rep<BR>Home Mail: 
    <A href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">ntstorms at bigpond.com</A><BR>Work Mail: 
    <A href="mailto:Paul.Mossman at .nt.gov.au">Paul.Mossman at .nt.gov.au</A><BR>ICQ: 
    111144666</FONT></DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
    style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
      <DIV 
      style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
      <A title=Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au 
      href="mailto:Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au">The Weather Man</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
      title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
      href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
      </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 10:27 
      AM</DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
      north.</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul,</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>How unlucky could they be... It missed the 
      lighting rod!!! That would have to be the most unluckiest radar 
      ever!</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Jason</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>º¿º</FONT></DIV>
      <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
      style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
        <DIV 
        style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
        <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
        Mossman</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
        title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
        href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
        </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 
        9:38 AM</DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
        north.</DIV>
        <DIV><BR></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi Jason,</FONT></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The AP radar is not protected by the outer 
        shell like most of the fulltime weather radars. Apparently it took a 
        direct strike..... which is really amazing since they have a whopping 
        big lightning rod only several metres away....</FONT></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul.</FONT></DIV>
        <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
        style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
          <DIV 
          style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
          <A title=Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au 
          href="mailto:Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au">The Weather Man</A> 
</DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
          title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
          href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
          </DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, December 30, 2001 
          10:38 PM</DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
          north.</DIV>
          <DIV><BR></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul,</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Must have been&nbsp;a storm and a 
          half.... Did the strike hit the radar only?? or did it take out other 
          equipment?</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Jason</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>º¿º</FONT></DIV>
          <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
          style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
            <DIV 
            style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
            <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com 
            href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul Mossman</A> </DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
            title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
            href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
            </DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, December 30, 2001 
            7:22 PM</DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
            north.</DIV>
            <DIV><BR></DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Anyone wondering why there are NO 
            Darwin soundings lately - there was a direct lightning strike on the 
            BOM Airport Radar ($2million worth of damage) during Friday's huge 
            storm (AP received 42mm in 10 mins or so...)</FONT></DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>A consequence - no soundings&nbsp;til 
            radar is replaced or repaired. And just after they had recalibrated 
            it as well and finally got decent radar images for 
            Darwin.....</FONT></DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul in 
        Darwin.</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Paul Mossman" <ntstorms at bigpond.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: First TC advice for the new year!
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 12:58:08 +0930
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

<x-html>
<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<META content="MSHTML 6.00.2600.0" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Can anyone say why emails are being sent twice? 
Seems to be happening regularly lately....</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul.</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Jane ONeill" <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: First TC advice for the new year!
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 14:33:40 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

<x-html>
<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<META content="MSHTML 5.50.4134.600" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Almost current visible image (1.30AEDST)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2><A 
href="http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/01010230ausvis.jpg">http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/01010230ausvis.jpg</A></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Jane</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>--------------------------------<BR>Jane ONeill - Melbourne<BR><A 
href="mailto:cadence at stormchasers.au.com">cadence at stormchasers.au.com</A>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Melbourne Storm Chasers<BR><A 
href="http://www.stormchasers.au.com">http://www.stormchasers.au.com</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>ASWA - Victoria<BR><A 
href="http://www.severeweather.asn.au">http://www.severeweather.asn.au</A><BR>--------------------------------</DIV></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
  Mossman</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, January 01, 2002 2:12 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> aus-wx: First TC advice for the 
  new year!</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV>TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH<BR><BR>TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1&nbsp; 
  <BR>Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN<BR>at 11:00 am CST Tuesday 1 
  January 2002<BR><BR>A CYCLONE WATCH has been declared for coastal and island 
  communities <BR>between NHULUNBUY and the QUEENSLAND BORDER.<BR><BR>At 11 am 
  CST a TROPICAL LOW was centred in the Gulf of Carpentaria about 
  130<BR>kilometres east southeast of NHULUNBUY and 220 kilometres northeast 
  of<BR>ALYANGULA, moving slowly south, parallel to the coast.<BR><BR>There is 
  the possibility of a tropical cyclone developing in the Gulf 
  of<BR>Carpentaria. GALES are not expected in coastal areas within the next 24 
  hours,<BR>however gales could develop later.<BR><BR>Details of TROPICAL LOW at 
  8 am CST:<BR>. Centre located near&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; : 12.6 
  degrees South 137.9 degrees East<BR>. Location 
  accuracy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; : within 30 
  kilometres&nbsp;&nbsp; <BR>. Recent 
  movement&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; : towards the 
  south at 5 km/h<BR>. Wind gusts near centre&nbsp;&nbsp; : 80 kilometres per 
  hour<BR>. Central pressure&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; : 
  1003 hectoPascals<BR><BR>People between NHULUNBUY and the QUEENSLAND BORDER 
  should listen for the next<BR>advice which will be issued at 5 pm 
  CST.<BR></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
  style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
    <A title=cadence at stormchasers.au.com 
    href="mailto:cadence at stormchasers.au.com">Jane ONeill</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
    title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
    href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
    </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, January 01, 2002 10:50 
    AM</DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
    north.</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Morning all,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Interesting visible image this morning...</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2><A 
    href="http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Dec01/12312330ausvis.jpg">http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Dec01/12312330ausvis.jpg</A></FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT size=2>Jane</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>--------------------------------<BR>Jane ONeill - Melbourne<BR><A 
    href="mailto:cadence at stormchasers.au.com">cadence at stormchasers.au.com</A> 
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Melbourne Storm Chasers<BR><A 
    href="http://www.stormchasers.au.com">http://www.stormchasers.au.com</A></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>ASWA - Victoria<BR><A 
    href="http://www.severeweather.asn.au">http://www.severeweather.asn.au</A><BR>--------------------------------</DIV></DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
    style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
      <DIV 
      style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
      <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
      Mossman</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
      title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
      href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
      </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 4:25 
      PM</DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
      north.</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Latest TC Outlook.</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Thursday could see the new years first 
      TC.</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV>A developing TROPICAL LOW 1004 hPa is situated in the northern Gulf 
      of<BR>Carpentaria.<BR>At 2pm it was near latitude 11.5S, longitude 138.0E, 
      about 150 km<BR>northeast of Nhulunbuy, and almost stationary.&nbsp; The 
      LOW is expected to move<BR>towards the south or southwest.<BR><BR>The 
      potential for development into a Tropical Cyclone over the next<BR>few 
      days, provided the low remains over water, is estimated to 
      be:<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Tuesday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
      low,<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Wednesday:&nbsp;&nbsp; 
      moderate,<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Thursday:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
      high.<BR></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>As for movemenr, dont know. The BOMs TLAPS 
      Cyclone Hi Res product actually shows a more westward movement. Who 
      knows..... awaiting the most recent diagnostic statement from the BOM. 
      Perhaps they are expecting a monsoonal surge associated with this Low, 
      which would drive it to the South / SW.</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul Mossman<BR>NT State ASWA Rep<BR>Home 
      Mail: <A 
      href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">ntstorms at bigpond.com</A><BR>Work Mail: 
      <A 
      href="mailto:Paul.Mossman at .nt.gov.au">Paul.Mossman at .nt.gov.au</A><BR>ICQ: 
      111144666</FONT></DIV>
      <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
      style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
        <DIV 
        style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
        <A title=Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au 
        href="mailto:Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au">The Weather Man</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
        title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
        href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
        </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 
        10:27 AM</DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
        north.</DIV>
        <DIV><BR></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul,</FONT></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>How unlucky could they be... It missed the 
        lighting rod!!! That would have to be the most unluckiest radar 
        ever!</FONT></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Jason</FONT></DIV>
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>º¿º</FONT></DIV>
        <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
        style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
          <DIV 
          style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
          <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
          Mossman</A> </DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
          title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
          href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
          </DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, December 31, 2001 
          9:38 AM</DIV>
          <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
          north.</DIV>
          <DIV><BR></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi Jason,</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The AP radar is not protected by the 
          outer shell like most of the fulltime weather radars. Apparently it 
          took a direct strike..... which is really amazing since they have a 
          whopping big lightning rod only several metres away....</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul.</FONT></DIV>
          <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
          style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
            <DIV 
            style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
            <A title=Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au 
            href="mailto:Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au">The Weather Man</A> 
            </DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
            title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
            href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
            </DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, December 30, 2001 
            10:38 PM</DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin and 
            north.</DIV>
            <DIV><BR></DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul,</FONT></DIV>
            <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Must have been&nbsp;a storm and a 
            half.... Did the strike hit the radar only?? or did it take out 
            other equipment?</FONT></DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Jason</FONT></DIV>
            <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>º¿º</FONT></DIV>
            <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
            style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
              <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
              <DIV 
              style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
              <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com 
              href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul Mossman</A> </DIV>
              <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
              title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
              href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
              </DIV>
              <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, December 30, 
              2001 7:22 PM</DIV>
              <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Darwin 
              and north.</DIV>
              <DIV><BR></DIV>
              <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Anyone wondering why there are NO 
              Darwin soundings lately - there was a direct lightning strike on 
              the BOM Airport Radar ($2million worth of damage) during Friday's 
              huge storm (AP received 42mm in 10 mins or so...)</FONT></DIV>
              <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
              <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>A consequence - no soundings&nbsp;til 
              radar is replaced or repaired. And just after they had 
              recalibrated it as well and finally got decent radar images for 
              Darwin.....</FONT></DIV>
              <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
              <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul in 
            Darwin.</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Paul Mossman" <ntstorms at bigpond.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: First Coral Sea TC?
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 13:15:47 +0930
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

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<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
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<STYLE></STYLE>
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<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>HI all - looking at NOGAPS, and its a little way 
off, but there appears to be a reasonable TC developing off the NE near PNG, 
then slinging SE towards the QLD Coast.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Anyone excited....? Yes Yes I know its a little too 
far out .... but the current BOM MSLP chart has a Low there, and with the surge 
of&nbsp;the monsoon conditions could be right!</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=ntstorms at bigpond.com href="mailto:ntstorms at bigpond.com">Paul 
  Mossman</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, January 01, 2002 12:58 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: First TC advice for 
  the new year!</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Can anyone say why emails are being sent twice? 
  Seems to be happening regularly lately....</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Paul.</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Jane ONeill" <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
To: "Aussie-wx" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Dustdevil rips roof off..
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 15:06:40 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Article from the Bendigo Advertiser, courtesy of Rod Aikman.  Maybe this
will convince people not to drive through them.....

http://www.stormchasers.au.com/29_12_01dd.htm



--------------------------------
Jane ONeill - Melbourne
cadence at stormchasers.au.com

Melbourne Storm Chasers
http://www.stormchasers.au.com

ASWA - Victoria
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
--------------------------------






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From: "Steven Williams" <nzstorm at ihug.co.nz>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: smoke over NZ
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 17:41:07 +1300
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>There is a layer of smoke in the middle atmosphere 
over Auckland. I first noticed it yesterday and it gave us a </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>coloured sunset last night.&nbsp;Its still there 
today and probably thicker. This smoke is obviously ex NSW.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Its not the first time Australian bush fire smoke 
has hazed up our skies.&nbsp;Ash Wedenesday was probably the most</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>extreme </FONT><FONT face=Arial 
size=2>case.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Cheers</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Steven 
Williams</FONT>&nbsp;&nbsp;</DIV></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Adam Mayo" <oyam at bigpond.com>
To: "Australian Severe Weather" <aussie-weather at theworld.com>
Subject: aus-wx:  Sydney Fires
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 16:57:38 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
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<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; There is a fire at South 
Turramurra with evacuations ordered for Bowen Street and two other 
streets.&nbsp; The police are about to close the M2 motorway due to the fires 
proximity to the&nbsp;road.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The temperature&nbsp; here at Mona Vale is 
currently 34 degrees with a strong south westerly wind which is bringing us 
thick smoke.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The Mayos</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
Date: Tue, 01 Jan 2002 17:12:35 +1100
From: Matthew Smith <tornado at cnn.net.au>
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.76 [en] (Win98; U)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx:  Sydney Fires
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<x-html>
<!doctype html public "-//w3c//dtd html 4.0 transitional//en">
<html>
<body bgcolor="#FFFFFF">
38C here in Newcastle again today, been a very hot week. 38.5 at williamtown
at the moment.
<p>Large fire towards Cessnock, massive amounts of smoke, no idea how big
it is but it has to be huge. Another fire to the north towards stockton
beach as well.
<p>Melting.
<p>Matt Smith
<p>Adam Mayo wrote:
<blockquote TYPE=CITE><style></style>
<font face="Arial"><font size=-1>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
There is a fire at South Turramurra with evacuations ordered for Bowen
Street and two other streets.&nbsp; The police are about to close the M2
motorway due to the fires proximity to the road.</font></font>&nbsp;<font face="Arial"><font size=-1>The
temperature&nbsp; here at Mona Vale is currently 34 degrees with a strong
south westerly wind which is bringing us thick smoke.</font></font>&nbsp;<font face="Arial"><font size=-1>The
Mayos</font></font></blockquote>

</body>
</html>

</x-html>
From: "Carolyn" <carolyn at netcentral.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx:  Sydney Fires
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 18:24:01 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
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<HTML><HEAD>
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<META content="MSHTML 6.00.2712.300" name=GENERATOR></HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV>Heavy smoke coming from the fires at Bulga and further south.&nbsp; Sun is 
just an orange glow in the sky.&nbsp; More fires around Mulbring/Pelaw Main and 
Kurri Kurri.&nbsp; Things are not looking good this way.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Carolyn</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=tornado at cnn.net.au href="mailto:tornado at cnn.net.au">Matthew Smith</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, January 01, 2002 5:12 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Sydney Fires</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>38C here in Newcastle again today, been a very hot week. 38.5 
  at williamtown at the moment. 
  <P>Large fire towards Cessnock, massive amounts of smoke, no idea how big it 
  is but it has to be huge. Another fire to the north towards stockton beach as 
  well. 
  <P>Melting. 
  <P>Matt Smith 
  <P>Adam Mayo wrote: 
  <BLOCKQUOTE TYPE="CITE">
    <STYLE></STYLE>
    <FONT face=Arial><FONT size=-1>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; There is a fire at 
    South Turramurra with evacuations ordered for Bowen Street and two other 
    streets.&nbsp; The police are about to close the M2 motorway due to the 
    fires proximity to the road.</FONT></FONT>&nbsp;<FONT face=Arial><FONT 
    size=-1>The temperature&nbsp; here at Mona Vale is currently 34 degrees with 
    a strong south westerly wind which is bringing us thick 
    smoke.</FONT></FONT>&nbsp;<FONT face=Arial><FONT size=-1>The 
    Mayos</FONT></FONT></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Rhett Blanch" <rhettaj at optusnet.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Storms in Tamworth - Manilla - 30th December
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 21:29:43 +1100
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Hi all,
I've posted some images I took of a storm on a chase on the 30th December
around Tamworth and Manilla NSW.  They can be found at:
http://www.wilgatree.com/reports/20011230_manilla_tamworth.htm

I also took some sunset shots the day before these are at:
http://www.wilgatree.com/gallery/sunsets_bectivegidley.htm

Rhett

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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Date: Tue, 01 Jan 2002 18:49:40 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob <jacob at iinet.net.au>
Subject: aus-wx: New December record for Perth
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


It said on channel 10 news tonight, that for the first time in 105 years of
records, the Perth City site failed to get over the 32C mark in December,
the highest for the month was only 31.8C on the 15th.

The average December max of 26C was also below average, the normal max temp
for December is 28C.

This comes after one of the hottest November's on record, when we recorded
12 days of temps over 30C, beating the old record of 11 days in 1920. We
averaged 27.4C in November, warmer than December, which was the equal
second highest November average max on record.

But it seems the heat will be back, it was 31.6C today (Tuesday), 33C is
forecast for tomorrow, 34 for Thursday, cooling down a bit after that, then
it should be back into the mid 30's by early next week.

Jacob


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "islesit" <islesit at tpg.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: RE: hot on the north coast of NSW
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2002 23:05:51 +1100
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Today the temp in Coffs Harbour reached 39C officially at the airport which
is near the ocean. Im only a few miles away but it was 40.3C or 104 degrees!

Kempsey and Grafton which are inland from the coast reached 40C.

That's hot for Coffs Harbour . We also had the highest minimum temp
overnight in NSW at 26 degree's overnight.

Ian.




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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: David Jones <D.Jones at bom.gov.au>
To: "old AUSSIE WX (E-mail)" <aussie-weather-digest at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: TC Vamei?
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 09:56:32 +1100 
X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2653.19)
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> Have another look at JTWC's warning - it is called a Tropical Cyclone.
>
> >WTIO31 PGTW 302100
> >1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (VAMEI) WARNING NR 001
> >   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
> >   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
>
> Anything stronger than a tropical depression is called a Tropical Cyclone
> when in the Bay of Bengal. You may also note that WAKA is called a
Tropical
> Cyclone in the JTWC warnings although it is of hurricane intensity.
>
> As for Vamei, this was remarkable as it struck just north of Singapore as
a
> Typhoon at latitude 1.5 degrees north with the cloud bands extending
across
> the Equator into the southern hemisphere - see the image showing this on
my
> page at http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/current.htm below the satpic
> animation - time for someone to have another look at cyclogenesis theories
> as TC's are not supposed to be able to develop within about 5 degrees of
> the Equator.
>
> Here is an extract of the relevent JTWC warning:
>
> >WTPN31 PGTW 270900
> >1. TYPHOON 32W (VAMEI) WARNING NR 002
> >   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
> >   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
> >    ---
> >   WARNING POSITION:
> >   270600Z5 --- NEAR 1.5N6 104.4E9
> >     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
> >     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
> >     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
> >     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
> >   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
> >   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
> >   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
> >                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
> >                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
> >                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
> >   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
> >                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
> >                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
> >                                   OVER WATER
> >                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
> >   REPEAT POSIT: 1.5N6 104.4E9
>
> Regards,
> Carl.

Carl,

have you heard any accounts of damage etc associated with this storm when it
hit Singapore? I have always been led to believe
that 8N/S is about the closet a TC can develop to the equator. This seems to
be a truely extraordinary system, if it really was a TC within 2 deg of the
equator..

Regards,

David

                                                              
Dr David Jones                                               
                                                            
Climate Analysis Section                                   
National Climate Centre                                    
Bureau of Meteorology      Fax      : (+61 3) 9669 4678   
GPO Box 1289K, Melbourne   Ph (work): (+61 3) 9669 4861 
Victoria 3001, Australia   Ph (home): (+61 3) 9755 1923 
email : D.Jones at bom.gov.au                               

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Clyve Herbert" <mesof5 at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 10:55:59 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
X-OriginalArrivalTime: 01 Jan 2002 23:57:58.0278 (UTC) FILETIME=[2340F260:01C19320]
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi all Tropos.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Two areas of interest for TC watchers, the Gulf 
area is still showing positive development although inflow convergence is 
variable with occasional weakening and redevelopment,the surface low is 
difficult to pin down but seems to have moved or redeveloped over the central 
Gulf area which may favour better organization today. What seems to be a better 
prospect is a rather strong looking development centred near 10 south 165east 
near to Honiara and only moving slowly,this development is at the far 
north-western end of a trough extending from southeast of NZ. This system is 
showing signs of vacuum cleaning the area around its circumference. The former 
TC well east of NZ has fully transformed into&nbsp;an extra tropical low. 
regards Clyve H.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>PS. At the other end of the scale the cold air 
region over Tasmania and Victoria will become increasingly more unstable today 
with the risk of the odd strong cold air storm,even the possibility of wet snow 
above 1500m.</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
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From: "Steven Williams" <nzstorm at ihug.co.nz>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 13:41:08 +1300
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<META content="MSHTML 6.00.2600.0" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I'm relieved the tail of Waka is off to the east of 
NZ because they can really muck the weather up for a few days. Like</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Victoria, NZ has had an unmemorable summer thus 
far. And we don't need the rain. Most parts of the North island 
received</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>200-300mm for December. Sky is still a bit dirty 
here with NSW smoke but clearing I think.&nbsp;Yesterday this 
visibility</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>was reported at 4km along Auckland's west coast, 
10km generally.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Regards</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Steven Williams</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Auckland</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=mesof5 at iprimus.com.au href="mailto:mesof5 at iprimus.com.au">Clyve 
  Herbert</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, January 02, 2002 12:55 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi all Tropos.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Two areas of interest for TC watchers, the Gulf 
  area is still showing positive development although inflow convergence is 
  variable with occasional weakening and redevelopment,the surface low is 
  difficult to pin down but seems to have moved or redeveloped over the central 
  Gulf area which may favour better organization today. What seems to be a 
  better prospect is a rather strong looking development centred near 10 south 
  165east near to Honiara and only moving slowly,this development is at the far 
  north-western end of a trough extending from southeast of NZ. This system is 
  showing signs of vacuum cleaning the area around its circumference. The former 
  TC well east of NZ has fully transformed into&nbsp;an extra tropical low. 
  regards Clyve H.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>PS. At the other end of the scale the cold air 
  region over Tasmania and Victoria will become increasingly more unstable today 
  with the risk of the odd strong cold air storm,even the possibility of wet 
  snow above 1500m.</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
From: "Keith Barnett" <kbarnett at bigpond.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 11:57:56 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

<x-html>
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<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<META content="MSHTML 6.00.2600.0" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 size=2>These are the villains Clyve is 
referring to:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 size=2><A 
href="http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/0640.html">http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/0640.html</A></FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=mesof5 at iprimus.com.au href="mailto:mesof5 at iprimus.com.au">Clyve 
  Herbert</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, January 02, 2002 10:55 
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi all Tropos.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Two areas of interest for TC watchers, the Gulf 
  area is still showing positive development although inflow convergence is 
  variable with occasional weakening and redevelopment,the surface low is 
  difficult to pin down but seems to have moved or redeveloped over the central 
  Gulf area which may favour better organization today. What seems to be a 
  better prospect is a rather strong looking development centred near 10 south 
  165east near to Honiara and only moving slowly,this development is at the far 
  north-western end of a trough extending from southeast of NZ. This system is 
  showing signs of vacuum cleaning the area around its circumference. The former 
  TC well east of NZ has fully transformed into&nbsp;an extra tropical low. 
  regards Clyve H.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>PS. At the other end of the scale the cold air 
  region over Tasmania and Victoria will become increasingly more unstable today 
  with the risk of the odd strong cold air storm,even the possibility of wet 
  snow above 1500m.</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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From: "Steven Williams" <nzstorm at ihug.co.nz>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 15:54:05 +1300
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Last couple of years there have been some intense 
Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and affecting NW Australia.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>This season looks very quiet up there. Must be the 
Pacific's turn.</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=kbarnett at bigpond.net.au href="mailto:kbarnett at bigpond.net.au">Keith 
  Barnett</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, January 02, 2002 1:57 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo 
  stuff.</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 size=2>These are the villains Clyve is 
  referring to:</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 size=2><A 
  href="http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/0640.html">http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/0640.html</A></FONT></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
  style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
    <A title=mesof5 at iprimus.com.au href="mailto:mesof5 at iprimus.com.au">Clyve 
    Herbert</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
    title=aussie-weather at world.std.com 
    href="mailto:aussie-weather at world.std.com">aussie-weather at world.std.com</A> 
    </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, January 02, 2002 10:55 
    AM</DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi all Tropos.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Two areas of interest for TC watchers, the Gulf 
    area is still showing positive development although inflow convergence is 
    variable with occasional weakening and redevelopment,the surface low is 
    difficult to pin down but seems to have moved or redeveloped over the 
    central Gulf area which may favour better organization today. What seems to 
    be a better prospect is a rather strong looking development centred near 10 
    south 165east near to Honiara and only moving slowly,this development is at 
    the far north-western end of a trough extending from southeast of NZ. This 
    system is showing signs of vacuum cleaning the area around its 
    circumference. The former TC well east of NZ has fully transformed 
    into&nbsp;an extra tropical low. regards Clyve H.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>PS. At the other end of the scale the cold air 
    region over Tasmania and Victoria will become increasingly more unstable 
    today with the risk of the odd strong cold air storm,even the possibility of 
    wet snow above 1500m.</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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From: "David Sercombe" <daveserc at hotmail.com>
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: RE: hot on the north coast of NSW
Date: Wed, 02 Jan 2002 03:13:32 +0000
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<x-flowed>
At my place we got 40 as well (only 1km away from the BoM at Coffs).

David Sercombe
Coffs Harbour NE NSW

_________________________________________________________________
Chat with friends online, try MSN Messenger: http://messenger.msn.com

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From: "michael king" <mskikey at hotmail.com>
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.
Date: Wed, 02 Jan 2002 14:41:46 +1100
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<x-html>
<html><div style='background-color:'><DIV>
<P>Hi Steve</P>
<P>I wouldn't write the Indian Ocean off yet.&nbsp; The cyclones that spawn and do their business there seem to manifest themselves&nbsp;later than their Pacific cousins, close to Australia.&nbsp; Also (going on the indicator of costal crossings) there are more generated in the Indian Ocean adjacent to Australia than compared to a comparable area of the Pacific Ocean, off the Queensland coast.</P>
<P>The impression I have, is that over recent years, quite a large number have begun their life in the Gulf of Carpentaria, for such a small body of water.</P>
<P>The number of cyclones travelling from East to West and then crossing&nbsp;the Queensland coast, south of Townsville, seems to have been especially low in recent years.</P>
<P>Regards, Michael</P>
<P><BR><BR>&nbsp;</P></DIV>
<DIV></DIV>
<DIV></DIV>&gt;From: "Steven Williams" <NZSTORM at IHUG.CO.NZ>
<DIV></DIV>&gt;Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
<DIV></DIV>&gt;To: <AUSSIE-WEATHER at WORLD.STD.COM>
<DIV></DIV>&gt;Subject: Re: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff. 
<DIV></DIV>&gt;Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 15:54:05 +1300 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; 
<DIV></DIV>&gt;Last couple of years there have been some intense Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and affecting NW Australia. 
<DIV></DIV>&gt;This season looks very quiet up there. Must be the Pacific's turn. 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; ----- Original Message ----- 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; From: Keith Barnett 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; Sent: Wednesday, January 02, 2002 1:57 PM 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; Subject: Re: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff. 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; These are the villains Clyve is referring to: 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/0640.html 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; ----- Original Message ----- 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; From: Clyve Herbert 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; Sent: Wednesday, January 02, 2002 10:55 AM 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; Subject: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff. 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; Hi all Tropos. 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; Two areas of interest for TC watchers, the Gulf area is still showing positive development although inflow convergence is variable with occasional weakening and redevelopment,the surface low is difficult to pin down but seems to have moved or redeveloped over the central Gulf area which may favour better organization today. What seems to be a better prospect is a rather strong looking development centred near 10 south 165east near to Honiara and only moving slowly,this development is at the far north-western end of a trough extending from southeast of NZ. This system is showing signs of vacuum cleaning the area around its circumference. The former TC well east of NZ has fully transformed into an extra tropical low. regards Clyve H. 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; 
<DIV></DIV>&gt; PS. At the other end of the scale the cold air region over Tasmania and Victoria will become increasingly more unstable today with the risk of the odd strong cold air storm,even the possibility of wet snow above 1500m. 
<DIV></DIV></div><br clear=all><hr>Send and receive Hotmail on your mobile device: <a href='http://go.msn.com/bql/hmtag2_etl_EN.asp'>Click Here</a><br></html>
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From: "Jane ONeill" <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
To: "Aus Wx" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Victoria!!
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 15:10:33 +1100
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Afternoon all,

Hail, thunder, amazingly grunty Cb's & possible funnels (I'll check the
video tonight)...and it's been snowing at Mt Hotham - if you're in Victoria,
keep your eyes open - you ight see something exciting this afternoon!!

Jane

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Andrew Miskelly" <amiskelly at theweather.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: OFFTOPIC: WxProfiler 1.00
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 15:46:24 +1100
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Hi all,

To those who are WxProfiler users, version 1.00 is now available at
http://www.theweather.com.au/wxprofiler/. There is also a thread in the
'Technical Discussion and Research' forum at Weatherzone for any
problems or other discussion relating to it.

Andrew.

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "The Weather Man" <Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 18:34:24 +1000
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Hi all,
Sorry about the last Email please disregard it.

TC for Gulf.
The soon to be named (TC BERNIE) Will be developing early tomorrow.
Might be worth while keeping an eye out for it.
Jason
º¿º

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From: "Simon Clarke" <simon_clarke at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 18:40:29 +1000
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Did disregard earlier e-mail

But are you 100% convinced that it may not be Bonnie ?

I think Bernie is odds on at this stage though.


Regards
Simon

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Date: Wed, 02 Jan 2002 18:39:52 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius <cyclone at bigpond.net.au>
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To: Australian Weather Mailing List <aussie-weather at world.std.com>,
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        Wx-Chase <WX-CHASE at listserv.uiuc.edu>
Subject: aus-wx: Stormchase Reports 21st and 22nd of December, 2001
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Hi all,

I have uploaded three reports for December 21 and 22.  December 22 is
the main report (part one, day and part 2, night) - part 2 has lots of
lightning captures from the electrical storms!  Part 1 is the left
moving supercell that produced several funnels under the meso area (and
well...you be the judge for the other lowering/shading behind).  I got
two very close CGs, both instant - one has a thunder recording (it's
like a gunshot), and the other struck about 20m away while I was
standing outside the car!  I actually felt the wind/shockwave from it!!!

The URL is:

http://www.downunderchase.com/stormchasing/01-02/

They are the top three reports.
-- 
Anthony Cornelius
Vice President & Queensland Coordinator of the 
Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "The Weather Man" <Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 19:24:37 +1000
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Simon..... I'm sure that its going to be named BERNIE.
Check with some one from the BOM if you can or any one else can?... I may
not be right but I think thats what its going to be.
Simon - Do you have ICQ?
Jason
º¿º
----- Original Message -----
From: "Simon Clarke" <simon_clarke at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Wednesday, January 02, 2002 6:40 PM
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE


> Did disregard earlier e-mail
>
> But are you 100% convinced that it may not be Bonnie ?
>
> I think Bernie is odds on at this stage though.
>
>
> Regards
> Simon
>
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>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
X-Sender: nzts.nz at pop3.caverock.net.nz
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Date: Wed, 02 Jan 2002 23:30:28 +1300
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: John Gaul <nzts.nz at caverock.net.nz>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: smoke over NZ
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At 17:41 1/01/02 +1300, you wrote:
>   There is a layer of smoke in the middle atmosphere  over Auckland. I
>first noticed it yesterday and it gave us a   Its still there  today and
>probably thicker. This smoke is obviously ex NSW.  Ash Wedenesday was
>probably the most extreme case. Cheers Steven  Williams   

Christchurch's turn today. Lovely smokey/hazy, orange sky with a warm NW
blowing. Still 31c here at 6:30pm after getting to 33.8C here.
I hope some more thunderstorms occur here later this week, better than the
ones I missed last week!


JohnGaul
NZTS

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From: "Michael Thompson" <michaelt at ozemail.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Aus,Tropo stuff.
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 22:06:47 +1100
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<DIV><FONT size=2>I agree with that, in fact all the past La Nina years that 
were projected to above average SW Pacific seasons ended up duds.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>The number of cyclones travelling from East to West and then 
crossing&nbsp;the Queensland coast, south of Townsville, seems to have been 
especially low in recent years.</DIV>
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From: "Jane ONeill" <cadence at stormchasers.au.com>
To: "Aussie-wx" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Melbourne funnel?
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 23:10:45 +1100
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Evening all,

Well, today we got hail, I videoed (blurry but there) a funnel over Port
Phillip Bay & thunder again today making it 2 out of 2 for 2002 in
Melbourne.....these are distant shots unfortunately & a bit hard to make
out - but there were 2 needles & one heck of a wall cloud!!
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/0102jon01.JPG
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/0102jon02.JPG
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/0102jon03.JPG
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/0102jon04.JPG

this one shows it the best - but even that's not that good (hit F11 and
roll backwards from the computer to see it a bit better)
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/0102jon05.JPG
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/0102jon07.JPG
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/Jan02/0102jon08.JPG
So I got a bit excited!! what do you expect to see when you wander up
the hill for lunch?????

Jane
--------------------------------
Jane ONeill - Melbourne
cadence at stormchasers.au.com

Melbourne Storm Chasers
http://www.stormchasers.au.com

ASWA - Victoria
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
--------------------------------






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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Date: Wed, 02 Jan 2002 21:40:20 +0800
From: "Phil Smith" <SmithP at ics.edu.hk>
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC Vamei?
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David, I'll pick up this one as brother Carl is probably quite busy at 
the moment.

There are several threads in our local Forum here with quite a lot of 
links to damage and storm reports in Singapore:

http://www.weather.org.hk/discus/messages/1/3372.html?
WednesdayJanuary220020406pm
http://www.weather.org.hk/discus/messages/1/3370.html?
TuesdayJanuary120021204pm
http://www.weather.org.hk/discus/messages/1/3354.html?
SundayDecember3020010809pm
http://www.weather.org.hk/discus/messages/1/3353.html?
SundayDecember3020010956pm
http://www.weather.org.hk/discus/messages/1/3350.html?
FridayDecember2820010632pm

In case there are problems with the above links which will probably be 
split in half in most e-mail programs, I have pasted below a response to 
my query about a TC so close to the Equator by Mike Middlebrooke, veteran 
TC specialist meteorologist currently located in Guam:
=============
By Mike Middlebrooke on Sunday, December 30, 2001 - 01:13 pm:
Vamei was a classic case of cyclostrophic flow--a balance between 
centrifugal force and pressure gradient. When applying the gradient wind 
equation to the case of a small intense vortex very near the equator like 
Vamei, the Coriolis term fV is very small compared with the centifugal 
term V2/r. In these terms, f is the Coriolis term 2Wsinf, where W is the 
earth's angular rate of rotation and f is latitude. (W = 7.3 x 10-5/sec.) 
V is wind speed and r is the radius of curvature of the flow. 

A good measure of the validity of the cyclostrophic approximation is 
simply the ratio of the centrifugal and Coriolis terms, or V/fr. This is 
euivalent to the Rossby number Ro used in mid-latitudes to assess the 
validity of the geostrophic wind approximation. The geostrophic wind is a 
good approximation when Ro is very small; i.e., much less than one. On 
the other hand, the cyclostrophic wind is a good approximation when Ro is 
large, so that the Coriolis term can be neglected. Indeed, at large 
enough Ro, the flow around a center of low pressure can be either 
cyclonic or anti-cyclonic. 

In Vamei's case, at f=1.5 deg N, if we set the radius of curvature at 
r=50000 metres (50 km) and assume a wind speed of V=35 m/s, then 

Ro = V/fr = 369. 

That is, the centrifugal force is 369 times greater than the Coriolis 
force in this case. 

Now go to latitude 40 deg N, and a vortex with r = 2000 metres; a very 
large tornadic vortex. With V again 35 m/s, Ro = 373. Thus, the case of 
Vamei is comparable to large a mid-latitude tornado. Since anticyclonic 
tornados do occur on occasion, then not only is it possible for Vamei's 
circulation to lap over the equator without "reversing," it is even 
possible for a system like Vamei to rotate anticyclonically, and even 
cross the equator! 

Of course, such a situation would be very rare, for two reasons. First, 
the formative stages of a TC nearly always involve a significant 
contribution from the Coriolis term; that is, TCs normally form in a 
cyclonic environment. Second, a cyclone that suddenly finds itself in the 
wrong hemisphere would normally soon be disrupted by that hemispere's 
flow patterns, which would not tolerate a wrong-way cyclone for very 
long. Nevertheless, a small intense cyclone with good central convection 
could theoretically survive on the wrong side as long as it stays within 
a degree or so of the equator, maintains a tight strong cyclostrophic 
circulation, and minds its own business! 

So how did Vamei happen? (The question of the week in Singapore!) My 
guess is a fortuitous combination of a strong NE monsoon surge in the NH, 
a strong SW flow crossing the equator, and a pre-existing area of 
concentrated convection where the two flow regimes met to start a 
circulation with good low-level convergence and a strong centrifugal 
contribution from the start. Something like this must be quite rare, and 
could probably only occur when a strong winter monsoon surge could run 
into a westerly surge from the summer hemisphere. 


--------------------------------------------------------------------------
------
By Mike Middlebrooke on Sunday, December 30, 2001 - 01:38 pm:
Phil, 

Sat imagery for Vamei is available at the Naval Research Lab web site at 
http://kauai.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/tc_home 

Click on the thumbnail image, and when the next page comes up go to the 
top bar and click "prev." to go to the list of available pictures. You 
can also look at TRMM microwave images at 85 and 37 GHz. 

===============
If you are interested, I can also look up some postings in the 
international CYCLONES discussion group I belong to.

Phil
<><

International Christian School E-mail: SmithP at ics.edu.hk
Doctor Disk Limited E-mail: phil at drdisk.com.hk
Web-site: http://www.drdisk.com.hk
Weather: http://www.drdisk.com.hk/cyclones.htm



-----Original Message-----
From: David Jones <D.Jones at bom.gov.au>
To: "old AUSSIE WX (E-mail)" <aussie-weather-digest at world.std.com>
Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 09:56:32 +1100
Subject: aus-wx: TC Vamei?

[snip]
> Carl,
> 
> have you heard any accounts of damage etc associated with this storm
> when it
> hit Singapore? I have always been led to believe
> that 8N/S is about the closet a TC can develop to the equator. This
> seems to
> be a truely extraordinary system, if it really was a TC within 2 deg of
> the
> equator..
> 
> Regards,
> 
> David
> 
>                                                               
> Dr David Jones                                               
>                                                             
> Climate Analysis Section                                   
> National Climate Centre                                    
> Bureau of Meteorology      Fax      : (+61 3) 9669 4678   
> GPO Box 1289K, Melbourne   Ph (work): (+61 3) 9669 4861 
> Victoria 3001, Australia   Ph (home): (+61 3) 9755 1923 
> email : D.Jones at bom.gov.au                               
> 
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> -


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: Blair Trewin <blair at earthsci.unimelb.edu.au>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 12:12:44 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL3]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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> 
> Simon..... I'm sure that its going to be named BERNIE.
> Check with some one from the BOM if you can or any one else can?... I may
> not be right but I think thats what its going to be.

Bernie's next on the Queensland list and Bonnie on the NT list. If the
system gets named, I'm not sure whether it is named on the basis of
where it was when it first formed (which was in the NT region) on
where it is when it is named (it's currently in the Queensland region).

Blair
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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Sha" <ogomoo at bigpond.com>
To: "Aussie Weather" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: VANUATU ISLANDS
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 13:22:36 +1000
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<x-html>
<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<META content="MSHTML 5.50.4807.2300" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#f0ecf0>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4></FONT></EM></STRONG><BR></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4>Hi 
guys</FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4><STRONG><EM>Considering the 
proximity to Australia of this recent earthquake, I am looking closely into any 
possible repercussions.&nbsp; </EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 
size=3>A major earthquake occurred IN THE VANUATU ISLANDS about 30 miles (50 km) 
west of Port-Vila or about 1160 miles (1860 km) east-northeast of Brisbane, 
Australia at 10:22 AM MST today, Jan 2, 2002 (Jan 03 at 4:22 AM local time in 
Vanuatu Islands). A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.3 WAS COMPUTED FOR THIS 
EARTHQUAKE. </FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4>Here is a map showing 
how very close it was !!&nbsp; <A 
href="http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/earthvu.gif">http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/earthvu.gif</A></FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4>A close-up cane be 
viewed here : <A 
href="http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/closevu.gif">http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/closevu.gif</A></FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4></FONT></EM></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><IMG alt="" hspace=0 src="cid:016501c19405$e4441920$0100a8c0 at mshome.net" 
border=0></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4>I don't know how long 
it takes for a swell to build up, but I wouldn't be at all surprised if those 
large waves that some of us, myself and son included, have dreamt about are 
perhaps on their way ! The site I have accessed for info is concerned with the 
US, so info on other areas is not discussed.&nbsp; It has been said at that site 
that a wave was not generated, and on the areas given for warning, they have 
simply shown the coastal areas on the west coast of the US as being 
watched.&nbsp; they have not made any comments about the areas possibly affected 
apart from the US.&nbsp; (see warning map here : <A 
href="http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/wwareas.gif">http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/wwareas.gif</A>)</FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4><STRONG><EM>BUT .......... by 
taking a look at the map here : </EM></STRONG><A 
href="http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/ttvu.gif"><STRONG><EM>http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/ttvu.gif</EM></STRONG></A><STRONG><EM>, 
which shows the time taken for the tsunami (if it developed) to travel, it is 
only a matter of a possible few hours from the Qld coast !&nbsp; This is noted 
at the site : </EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4><FONT face="Times New Roman" 
color=#000000 size=3>Map indicates travel times only; NOT that a wave was 
generated </FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4>Let us wait and see 
????<BR><BR>Love</FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4>Sha</FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4></FONT></EM></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
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Embedded Content: earthvu.gif: 00000001,08fc360b,00000000,00000000
X-Sender: carls at xenios.qldnet.com.au
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 13:30:45 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith <carls at qldnet.com.au>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

>>
>> Simon..... I'm sure that its going to be named BERNIE.
>> Check with some one from the BOM if you can or any one else can?... I may
>> not be right but I think thats what its going to be.
>
>Bernie's next on the Queensland list and Bonnie on the NT list. If the
>system gets named, I'm not sure whether it is named on the basis of
>where it was when it first formed (which was in the NT region) on
>where it is when it is named (it's currently in the Queensland region).
>
>Blair

I think it will get it's name from the list of the region that is handling
it when named (but I could be wrong!).

As this one has a case of the meanders, it is still a bit of a lottery
whether it will remain being handled by Brisbane or drift further W to be
handled by Darwin again.

Regards,
Carl.

~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast.
Queensland.
Australia.

Email: carls at qldnet.com.au
Internet: http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/
Current Tropical Cyclone information :
http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/current.htm
Tropical Cyclone Tracking Maps : http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
X-Sender: carls at xenios.qldnet.com.au
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 14:10:16 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith <carls at qldnet.com.au>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All.

Looks like we do not have to discuss it anymore, BERNIE it is!

BoM TCA below.

Regards,
Carl.

>IDQP0005
>BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
>Queensland Region
>Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
>
>Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
>warning.
>
>
>TOP PRIORITY
>TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 15
>Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
>For 1355 EST on Thursday the 3rd of January 2002
>
>A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between PORT
>ROPER in the Northern Territory and KARUMBA in Queensland.
>
>A Cyclone WATCH extends north from PORT ROPER to ALYANGULA in the Northern
>Territory and from KARUMBA to KOWANYAMA in Queensland.
>
>AT 2pm EST / 1:30 pm CST TROPICAL CYCLONE BERNIE, CATEGORY 1 was centred
>in the
>Gulf of Carpentaria about 270 kilometres eastnortheast of PORT MCARTHUR
>and 230
>kilometres north northwest of MORNINGTON ISLAND, near stationary. Cyclone
>BERNIE
>is slowly intensifying.
>
>GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected to develop on the
>coast
>between PORT ROPER and KARUMBA overnight.
>
>HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause flooding in the Roper-McArthur district
>and the
>Queensland Gulf country.
>
>Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE BERNIE, Category 1 at 2pm EST / 1:30 pm CST
>Central Pressure   : 995 Hectopascals
>Location of Centre : within 60 kilometres of
>                     latitude 14.6 degrees south
>                     longitude 138.8 degrees east
>                     about 230 kilometres north northwest of Mornington Island
>Recent Movement    : near stationary
>Maximum wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour.
>
>People between PORT ROPER and KARUMBA should consider what action they
>will need
>to take if the cyclone threat increases, and listen to the next Advice at
>5pm EST /4:30pm CST.

~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast.
Queensland.
Australia.

Email: carls at qldnet.com.au
Internet: http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/
Current Tropical Cyclone information :
http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/current.htm
Tropical Cyclone Tracking Maps : http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
X-Authentication-Warning: huggins.shm.monash.edu.au: robert owned process doing -bs
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 15:18:54 +1100
From: Robert Goler <robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au>
X-Sender: robert at huggins.shm.monash.edu.au
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: humour?
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The meteorologist
-----------------

Although he was a qualified meteorologist, Hopkins ran up a terrible
record of forecasting for the TV news program.  He became something of a
local joke when a newspaper began keeping a record of his predictions and
showed that he'd been wrong almost three hundred times in a single year.

That kind of notoriety was enough to get him fired.

He moved to another part of the country and applied for a similar job.
One blank on the job application called for the reason for leaving his
previous position.

Hopkins wrote, "The climate didn't agree with me."



Cheers

--

Robert A. Goler        

School of Mathematical Sciences
Monash University
Clayton, Vic 3800
Australia

ph. +61 3 9905 4424
email Robert.Goler at maths.monash.edu.au
http://www.maths.monash.edu.au/~robert/

--

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Sha" <ogomoo at bigpond.com>
To: "Aussie Weather" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: TSUNAMI of 2 January 2002
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 14:19:57 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4807.1700
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<x-html>
<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<META content="MSHTML 5.50.4807.2300" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#f0ecf0>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4></FONT></EM></STRONG><BR></DIV>
<DIV>
<H3>
<DIV align=left><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080>Hi guys</FONT></EM></DIV>
<DIV align=left><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080></FONT></EM>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV align=left><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080>Now, they are saying a 
Tsunami was generated.</FONT></EM></DIV>
<CENTER>TSUNAMI of 2 January 2002<BR><BR></CENTER></H3>
<H4>A major earthquake with a surface wave magnitude of 7.4 occurred at 1723 UTC 
2 January 2002 and was located near the Vanuatu Islands (17.7S 168.0E, 33km 
depth).<BR><BR>The earthquake produced a tsunami that was recorded at Port Vila, 
Vanuatu (operated by the National Tidal Facility of the Flinders University of 
South Australia). The maxiimum peak-to-trough wave height can be seen from the 
graphic to be approximately 40 cm&nbsp; <A 
href="http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/01-02-02.htm">http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/01-02-02.htm</A></H4>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 size=4>I guess there is also 
the strong chance of aftershocks triggering more instability.&nbsp; 
</FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4></FONT></EM></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4>Love</FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4>Sha</FONT></EM></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV><STRONG><EM><FONT face=Papyrus color=#000080 
size=4></FONT></EM></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
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Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 00:51:51 -0500
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To: aussie-weather at theworld.com
Subject: aus-wx: ADMINSTRIVA: Attachments
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

In light of the problem we've had with viruses on the list, and to
conserve bandwidth, do not send messages to the list with attachments.

Messages should not be sent in HTML either (especially text messages that
are repeated) These messages are ususaly 3 times the size (have pity on
users with slower connections) and rarely augment communications. They
also can contain mischievous scripts.

If you need to share a graphic with the list, or have a message that
requires special formating, put the data on a web page and point to it in
the message. If you have no access to web space, contact me and I'll try
to find some for you.

I am no longer approving bounced messages with HTML content in them.

David Hart




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From: "Steven Williams" <nzstorm at ihug.co.nz>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: NZ west coast storms
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 19:09:21 +1300
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>TV news reports upto 600mm rain has fallen on the 
South Islands West Coast last couple of days. Intense </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Thunderstorms have deluged the region. Oregraphic 
forcing has enhanced an unstable trough.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV></BODY></HTML>

</x-html>
X-Originating-IP: [144.134.27.16]
From: "Nathan Smith" <ultraguppy at hotmail.com>
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: cairns cyclone?
Date: Thu, 03 Jan 2002 16:58:05 +1000
X-OriginalArrivalTime: 03 Jan 2002 06:58:05.0358 (UTC) FILETIME=[FE41DCE0:01C19423]
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<x-flowed>
i heard there being something about a cyclone off cairns

i looked  at  the satellite picture and there was nothing really there

any ideas?

nate

_________________________________________________________________
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http://photos.msn.com/support/worldwide.aspx

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From: "Steven Williams" <nzstorm at ihug.co.nz>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: cairns cyclone?
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 20:25:09 +1300
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi,
Theres a tropical disturbance in the solomons area that could produce a
cyclone threat for the Coral Sea
next week.
----- Original Message -----
From: "Nathan Smith" <ultraguppy at hotmail.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Thursday, January 03, 2002 7:58 PM
Subject: aus-wx: cairns cyclone?


> i heard there being something about a cyclone off cairns
>
> i looked  at  the satellite picture and there was nothing really there
>
> any ideas?
>
> nate
>
> _________________________________________________________________
> MSN Photos is the easiest way to share and print your photos:
> http://photos.msn.com/support/worldwide.aspx
>
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>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>

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From: "Simon Clarke" <simon_clarke at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 17:55:22 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hey Jason

Yep, it's Bernie. I love the guessing game.

Just thought that it may have drifted a bit more SW and entered NT's naming
area that's all, and then we would have had Bonnie. However it is a fair
guess that it would have been Bernie as Brisbane took over responsibility
earlier on. Not the type of question I would bother anyone at BoM with.
Plenty of (varying accuracy) lists about.

Pardon me, but what do mean by "do I have ICQ ?"

Simon

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From: "The Weather Man" <Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: cairns cyclone?
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 17:58:16 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Nate.
I'm not sure about that! where did you get your information from?
I will check into it for you but but the look on the current GMS 5.. its
looking pretty clear for the new week or so.
Jason
PS. If there was a cyclone of Cairns I would be the first to know about
it.... Because I live there : )

----- Original Message -----
From: "Nathan Smith" <ultraguppy at hotmail.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Thursday, January 03, 2002 4:58 PM
Subject: aus-wx: cairns cyclone?


> i heard there being something about a cyclone off cairns
>
> i looked  at  the satellite picture and there was nothing really there
>
> any ideas?
>
> nate
>
> _________________________________________________________________
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From: "The Weather Man" <Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 18:06:58 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi All,
Well I guess I was right on that one. : )
Just checking latest Satellite images and it look as though its gathering a
better LLC.
It is expected to deepen to aprox : 990 HP by later on tonight. So might be
worth while having a look on RADAR for it.
Any way here is the latest Advice.

Regards,
Jason
º¿º
-----------------

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 16
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
For 1650 EST on Thursday the 3rd of January 2002

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between PORT
ROPER in the Northern Territory and KOWANYAMA in Queensland.

A Cyclone WATCH extends north from PORT ROPER to ALYANGULA in the Northern
Territory and from KOWANYAMA TO CAPE KEERWEER in Queensland.

AT 5pm EST / 4:30 pm CST TROPICAL CYCLONE BERNIE, CATEGORY 1 was centred in
the
Gulf of Carpentaria about 260 kilometres eastnortheast of PORT MCARTHUR and
190
kilometres north northwest of MORNINGTON ISLAND, moving slowly south.
Cyclone
BERNIE is slowly intensifying.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected to develop on the
coast
between PORT ROPER and KOWANYAMA overnight.

HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause flooding in the Roper-McArthur district and
the
Queensland Gulf country.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE BERNIE, Category 1 at 5pm EST / 4:30 pm CST
Central Pressure   : 992 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 60 kilometres of
                     latitude 15.0 degrees south
                     longitude 138.9 degrees east
                     about 190 kilometres north northwest of Mornington
Island
Recent Movement    : slowly south
Maximum wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour.

People between PORT ROPER and KOWANYAMA should consider what action they
will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases, and listen to the next Advice
at
8pm EST /7:30pm CST.



-------------------------------------------------------



----- Original Message -----
From: "Carl Smith" <carls at qldnet.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Thursday, January 03, 2002 2:10 PM
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE


> Hi All.
>
> Looks like we do not have to discuss it anymore, BERNIE it is!
>
> BoM TCA below.
>
> Regards,
> Carl.
>
> >IDQP0005
> >BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
> >Queensland Region
> >Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
> >
> >Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
> >warning.
> >
> >
> >TOP PRIORITY
> >TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 15
> >Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
> >For 1355 EST on Thursday the 3rd of January 2002
> >
> >A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between
PORT
> >ROPER in the Northern Territory and KARUMBA in Queensland.
> >
> >A Cyclone WATCH extends north from PORT ROPER to ALYANGULA in the
Northern
> >Territory and from KARUMBA to KOWANYAMA in Queensland.
> >
> >AT 2pm EST / 1:30 pm CST TROPICAL CYCLONE BERNIE, CATEGORY 1 was centred
> >in the
> >Gulf of Carpentaria about 270 kilometres eastnortheast of PORT MCARTHUR
> >and 230
> >kilometres north northwest of MORNINGTON ISLAND, near stationary. Cyclone
> >BERNIE
> >is slowly intensifying.
> >
> >GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected to develop on
the
> >coast
> >between PORT ROPER and KARUMBA overnight.
> >
> >HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause flooding in the Roper-McArthur district
> >and the
> >Queensland Gulf country.
> >
> >Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE BERNIE, Category 1 at 2pm EST / 1:30 pm CST
> >Central Pressure   : 995 Hectopascals
> >Location of Centre : within 60 kilometres of
> >                     latitude 14.6 degrees south
> >                     longitude 138.8 degrees east
> >                     about 230 kilometres north northwest of Mornington
Island
> >Recent Movement    : near stationary
> >Maximum wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour.
> >
> >People between PORT ROPER and KARUMBA should consider what action they
> >will need
> >to take if the cyclone threat increases, and listen to the next Advice at
> >5pm EST /4:30pm CST.
>
> ~~~~~~~~~~
> Carl Smith.
> Gold Coast.
> Queensland.
> Australia.
>
> Email: carls at qldnet.com.au
> Internet: http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/
> Current Tropical Cyclone information :
> http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/current.htm
> Tropical Cyclone Tracking Maps :
http://users.qldnet.com.au/~carls/TCMaps.htm
>
>
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From: "Simon Clarke" <simon_clarke at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 18:22:09 +1000
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Jason

Ok so you were right on that one. Would you like to predict a name for that
currently 'sheered' system well well well east of the QLD coast if it
develops ? Appears to be moving slowly WSW at the moment.

EPI, YOLANDE, CLAUDIA or maybe a  "non event" ?  Yours is first guess.


Regards
Simon

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "The Weather Man" <Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 18:34:31 +1000
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hahahahahaha.
No I think that I will be all right on that one.....
It dosent look as though its going to have any effect on Australia's Weather
any how.
By the way i'm not into the Predicting business for cyclones.... as they are
UNPREDICITABLE
Regards
Jason
º¿º

----- Original Message -----
From: "Simon Clarke" <simon_clarke at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Thursday, January 03, 2002 6:22 PM
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE


>
> Jason
>
> Ok so you were right on that one. Would you like to predict a name for
that
> currently 'sheered' system well well well east of the QLD coast if it
> develops ? Appears to be moving slowly WSW at the moment.
>
> EPI, YOLANDE, CLAUDIA or maybe a  "non event" ?  Yours is first guess.
>
>
> Regards
> Simon
>
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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Simon Clarke" <simon_clarke at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 18:43:16 +1000
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Jason

Hey, why play it safe ?

I'll have the first guess then and mine is Yolande. I think you are right,
as I also think at this stage its effect on QLDs weather will be limited and
if anything it will be more toward the central and south coast if anything
at all.

I have this theory about TCs in the eastern Pacific (regarding movement) but
I will save that for another day.

But keep the fun up and keep watching.


Regards
Simon

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "The Weather Man" <Theweatherman at dingoblue.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE
Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2002 19:07:28 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2600.0000
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Thanks Simon,
I will keep up the cyclone tracking. But my predictions are only made solely
to my self not the public if you understand my drift.
In an other Email message I sent I was saying about ICQ. Its a form of chat
program.... Do you have it at all? It can be downloaded at www.icq.com if
your willing to use it that is. Its Just a quicker was of Talking to people
insted of Email.
Regards
Jason
º¿º



----- Original Message -----
From: "Simon Clarke" <simon_clarke at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Thursday, January 03, 2002 6:43 PM
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC for Gulf - NAMED BERNIE


> Jason
>
> Hey, why play it safe ?
>
> I'll have the first guess then and mine is Yolande. I think you are right,
> as I also think at this stage its effect on QLDs weather will be limited
and
> if anything it will be more toward the central and south coast if anything
> at all.
>
> I have this theory about TCs in the eastern Pacific (regarding movement)
but
> I will save that for another day.
>
> But keep the fun up and keep watching.
>
>
> Regards
> Simon
>
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