Australian Severe Weather Forum

Tropical Depression In the Atlantic

A cluster of storms just west of the Azores is currently trying to organize and intensify. The National Hurricane Center has designated it as Tropical Depression Two. Deep convection is occurring to the west side of what appears to be the center of circulation. The area of interest will encounter fairly warm surface waters as it continues it's western track. With little upper level shear forecasted in the immediate future, the NHC is expecting the storm to slowly intensify, with a better than 50/50 shot of it becoming a tropical storm in the next 24 hours. It would be the first tropical storm of the season in the Atlantic, and would be named Ana. Stay tuned for updates!




         

http://www.tornadovideos.net/component/content/article/37-hurricanes/1008-tropical-depression-in-the-atlantic
         

Accu weather reports that :

Latest observations also reveal several other waves strung out through the trade wind belt. These disturbances will bring episodes of showers to the Caribbean from midweek on.

Regardless whether or not Tropical Depression Two becomes a full fledged storm, the next wave coming off Africa will. Computer models are indicating that this disturbance could eventually become a significant storm in the central Atlantic and could pose a threat to the East Coast of the United States in about 12 days".

The conditions are quite favorable in that part of the Atlantic with warm water and light winds. If this one does not form it looks like another will.

Col

Tropical depression - A good chance of it becoming a Hurricane

A tropical depression east south east of Tropical Depression Two warrants attention. Centred some 475 miles or 764 km west south west of the Cape Verde Islands, the depression has a 50% chance of developing into a Tropical Hurricane over the next 48 hours.

Satellite cloud pictures from NOAA (National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration) shows development and a structure starting to take shape. It has been a quiet season so far in the Atlantic Ocean but this storm is receiving attention.

The satellite picture of it is provided below from NOAA (National Weather Service 15/8/2009) now shows a circular shape evident. The second plot shows its position. While not yet a threat to the Carribean or the United States, it is still a threat that is being monitored.

Harley Pearman

Tropical Depression Two has developed into Tropical Storm Ana, the first named storm of the season.  This is also a very slow start for the Atlantic. The basin hasn't had to wait this long for a named storm since 1992, where the ferocious Hurricane Andrew formed.

Tropical Depression Three has developed behind Tropical Storm Ana, and is likely to become stronger than Ana in the long term while following a similar path, until around the Puerto Rico/Dominican Republic area. Interesting stuff.

Edit: Well the Atlantic took its time, but it's certainly fired up now. Tropical Depression Four has formed just off the west coast of Florida in the Gulf of Mexico, in addition to the two Tropical Storms already out in the open Atlantic heading in that general direction.