Author Topic: Australian region tropical cyclone season: 2008 - 2009  (Read 12998 times)

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Offline Colin Maitland

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Re: Australian region tropical cyclone season: 2008 - 2009
« Reply #15 on: 26 January 2009, 08:14:46 AM »
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

FLASH TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued at 11:15 am WDT on Sunday, 25 January 2009
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Wickham to Exmouth.

At 9:00 am WDT a developing tropical low was estimated to be
215 kilometres north of Port Hedland and
355 kilometres west of Broome and
moving west at 23 kilometres per hour parallel to the Pilbara coast.

The low may develop into a tropical cyclone overnight as it continues moving to
the west. It is not expected to cause gales in coastal areas today but gales
could develop during Monday or Tuesday.

Details of Tropical Low at 9:00 am WDT:
.Centre located near...... 18.4 degrees South 118.9 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west at 23 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour and INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 1000 hectoPascals

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present.
Communities between Wickham and Exmouth should listen for the next advice.

The next advice will be issued by 1:00pm WDT Sunday 25 January.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling  1300 659 210




« Last Edit: 26 January 2009, 08:20:42 AM by coltan »

Offline Colin Maitland

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Re: Australian region tropical cyclone season: 2008 - 2009
« Reply #16 on: 27 January 2009, 10:40:38 AM »
Just one to keep an eye out for in the North Coral Sea over the next few days

There is a broad area of low pressure related with a monsoonal  trough is that is currently located over the northern Coral Sea. The BOM computer forecast models show that a low pressure system could  develop over the northern Coral Sea during Thursday and then move westwards on Friday.

So there may be a little action up here again. I still feel that next couple of weeks will see an increase in activity up in QLD, with a high possibility of a cyclone forming. I know that BOM feel that at this current point in time, the chance is very low, but I think it will buck the trend, and La Nina will come into play.

The weather patterns right around the world seem to be shifting and changing, with Australia being no exception to the rule. We talk about cycles, 10 Year storms, 25 Year storms, 50 and 100 year storms. But in reality, we technically in Australia, only have records for short period in history, from when they were officially first kept.

It is of interest to note that in the last 9 years in Brisbane we have at least 3/ once in a hundred year storms, announced by the media and others. Is it 100 years from that exact date or is it they are only supposed to occur once every century.

« Last Edit: 27 January 2009, 10:58:15 AM by coltan »