Severe Weather Discussion > Tropical Cyclones, Typhoons and Hurricanes Worldwide
WA Pos Tropical low watch Dec 12- 19 2010
Antonio (stormboy):
Hello all it looks like there could possibly be a Tropical low developing mid next week in the Indian ocean and may make contact with the WA Coast on Friday December the 17th 2010
BOM outlook no 1 :
Potential Cyclones:
There are no significant lows in the region at the moment. However, a monsoon
trough is expected to strengthen over the region during the weekend and a
tropical low is likely to develop south of Java by early next week.
Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the the Western Region:
Sunday :Very Low
Monday :Low
Tuesday :Low
Weatherzone Charts :
BSCH wind Chart Start Monday End Saturday each day is 9am
So it will be interesting to see what happens here so sorry if i have posted a little early but i am just looking forward to monitoring this possible event.
Antonio (Stormboy)
Colin Maitland:
The latest update for the western sector is there is the potential for 1 cyclone and another low forming over the next few days.
BoM :
Potential Cyclones:
At midday WST a weak low was near 13S102E, around 450 kilometres south west of
Christmas Island, embedded in a monsoon trough. It is possible that the low will
develop into a tropical cyclone by late Tuesday, or more likely on Wednesday or
Thursday, by which time it is expected to be moving towards the south southeast.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Tuesday :Moderate
Wednesday :High
Thursday :High
Another tropical low may develop off the Kimberley coast on Thursday.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Tuesday :Very Low
Wednesday :Very Low
Thursday :Low
Col
Antonio (stormboy):
its going to be a busy week of cyclones :)
Antonio.
Colin Maitland:
Just looking at the current sat pics and obs for the western region and it appears that one of the lows embedded in that trough must be very close to forming into a tropical low. It would not surprise me to see some time later today BoM showing a TL on the track map.
It is an interesting sat image from Western Australia right over the NT and the Cape in QLD.
Col
Antonio (stormboy):
just saw the sat and wow huge blobs over WA i think there is a TL commin
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/shemi/movies/gmsswir/gmsswirjava.html
Antonio.
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