Well its good your willing to ask in order to learn, and id be more than happy to take a stab at explaining these to you.
Ill go backwards:
3) CIN: Convective INhibition. The energy required for a parcel of air(as identified on a sounding diagram) to be lifted to its level of free convection(the point at which the parcel becomes positively buoyant). Also refered to as the Cap. When the forcing mechanism: something like say solar heating inducing lifting, or a cold front lifting the layer overcomes this energy requirement convective formation begins.
2) Vertical windshear: the change of wind direction and strength with height. There are two types of windshear as such: Unidirectional shear: a change of windspeed with height with the wind blowing from a constant direction. Eg 10knots from the SE at the surface, and 30kts at 5km gives a windshear of 20 knots.
Rotational Shear: where the windspeed remains constant, but the wind changes direction with height. Eg SE at the surface, NE at 5km.(To calculate take the vector components of the wind and resolve).
In reality windshear is often a combination of these two factors: it is mechanisms like these that produce the rotating updrafts forming organised convection. Shear itself can be a lifting mechanism for convective formation. Shear can also destroy convection: At moderate windspeeds a rampant change in wind direction with height can literally shear the top off a cloud, as no doubt many of you have seen.
An example of shearing the tops off is a sky with many orphan anvils , or cumulus that is very bent over.
An example of strong shearing enviroment is a rapidly rotating storm.(Although this is not the only formation mechanism)
An example of a weak shearing enviroment is normal isolated thunderstorms, that pile up over one location.
1) " In addition to thermodynamic instability, vertical windshear is also important -- you can't exclude either since there is a sort of inverse relationship between the two. ie higher-end CAPE and weaker vertical windshear can produce supercells as can lower-end CAPE and stronger vertical windshear. " Dave C.
This is a subject about which we still dont fully understand. To explain somewhat: Supercells are very energetic storms, and therefore should require large amounts of CAPE(Convective available potential energy), however in certain situations, lower end values of CAPE with extreme windshear can produce supercells as well. Shear is very important in the formation of organised convective systems or cells, however how exactly supercell formation occurs within such vast and varied enviroments is not fully understood. The statement that the relationship is inverse is not strictly correct: supercells can form with moderate shear and moderate CAPE. We know approximately what SHOULD induce supercell formation, however mother nature continues to amaze us by producing supercellular events when we least expect it: just look at the Brisbane hailstorms this year. If you ask Harald Richter from the Bureau's storm forecasting section, supercells form in enviroments of upwards 40knots shear, in excess of 2000J/kg cape and in an area of LIs somewhere near -6. But this is not the be all and end all....some members of this forum have seen SCs in <40knots or <2000J/kg.
If you would like to know more id have a look at some of the links on the Australian severe weather site, or a good book reference is Atmospheric Science an Introductory Survey, Wallace and Hobbs
Hope this explains it somewhat to you
NB: Dave C Youd better carefully mention what downshear is...dont want to get it sheared the wrong way round.
Last Edit: 29 December 2006, 11:50:33 PM by John Allen