[Index]
Tropical Cyclone HINA
[Australian Region][South Indian Ocean][South Pacific Ocean][Southern Hemisphere]
| Tropical
Cyclones
[Index] |
Tropical Cyclone HINA [Australian Region][South Indian Ocean][South Pacific Ocean][Southern Hemisphere] |
WTPS23 PGTW 970312 14:00z
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 121355Z MAR 97//
RMKS/
1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND
AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS
3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 12.0S3 177.0E5 WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS
TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25
KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 121230Z INDICATES THAT A
CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 176.5E9. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS.
4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTH OF THE FIJI
ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12
HOURS. LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, THE CENTER OF
THIS SYSTEM HAS VERY LOW SURFACE PRESSURE. IT IS
CURRENTLY NEAR ROTUMA ISLAND (WMO 91650) WHICH HAS
REPORTED A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 996.3 MB. THE DOMINANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM LIES ON THE
EQUATORWARD SIDE WHERE STRONG WESTERLIES ARE LEADING TO
ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE
FROM THIS SYSTEM IS GOOD, AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS
MINIMAL. ALL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 131400Z9.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 970313 09:00z CORRECTED
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z0 --- 12.8S1 176.2E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 176.2E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 13.6S0 175.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 14.5S0 175.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
010 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 15.4S0 175.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 16.2S9 175.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
130800Z2 POSITION 13.0S4 176.1E5
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (TC 33P) HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH
PACIFIC NORTH OF FIJI. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE
BASED ON 130530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.
CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 122222Z SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND SHOWED A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION.
TC 33P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT SLIGHTLY LESS THAN A
CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS. TC 33P IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE SOUTH THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL
RIDGE AND GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). THIS
WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU
121355Z MAR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23
PGTW 121400). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS
(WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR
CORRECTION, MANOP HEADER AND NUMBER OF TROPICAL CYCLONES IN
REGION.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 970313 21:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z3 --- 12.6S9 176.4E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S9 176.4E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 12.7S0 176.5E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 13.2S6 176.7E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
010 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 14.4S9 177.1E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 15.8S4 177.5E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
132100Z7 POSITION 12.6S9 176.4E8
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE SYSTEM=S
CENTER IS LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF ROTUMA (WMO 91650).
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO NORTH
NORTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A BUILDING
TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL
FLOW INTO THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
131800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG
140751Z8) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 970314 09:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z1 --- 10.3S4 177.5E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.3S4 177.5E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 11.5S7 179.4E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 14.0S5 179.8E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 16.6S3 179.6E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 19.3S3 178.5E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
140900Z4 POSITION 10.6S7 178.0E6
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (TC 33P) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 10
KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 140530Z VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A
SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE
SAME IMAGERY. TC 33P HAS MOVED EASTWARD MORE THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST AND HAS NOT INTENSIFIED DURING THE
PAST 12 HOURS. STEERING FLOW AND UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR BETWEEN A MID-LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
A RIDGE TO THE NORTH HAVE BEEN FACTORS IN LACK OF
INTENSIFICATION AND MOVEMENT TO THE EAST. TC 33P
IS FORECAST TO TURN SHARPLY SOUTH DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS A MID-LATITUDE LOW TO THE SOUTH CREATES A
WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO MOVE
THROUGH. TC 33P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY LESS DUE TO
CONTINUED UNFAVORABLE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9).
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 970314 21:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z4 --- 11.2S4 179.0E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 179.0E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 12.2S5 180.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 14.3S8 179.6W3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 16.9S6 179.6W3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 19.5S5 179.9E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
142100Z8 POSITION 11.5S7 179.3E0
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT
06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 141730Z
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM
NIULAKITA (WMO 91648). THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TC 33P IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
MOVING SOUTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO
NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW AND INTERACTION WITH A MID-
LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR 25S 170E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 152100Z9
(DTG 151951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN)
WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 970315 09:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z2 --- 13.8S2 178.8W4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 178.8W4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 16.4S1 177.8W3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 19.0S0 177.4W9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 22.2S6 176.9W3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 25.9S6 175.4W7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z5 --- 31.9S3 167.6W0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
150900Z5 POSITION 14.4S9 178.5W1
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TC 33P TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING MOSTLY SOUTHWARD EARLY IN THE
PERIOD BEFORE TURNING TOWARDS THE EAST AS IT BREAKS
THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9
(DTG 151951Z2) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE JUSTIN (32P) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY
NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. (SEE WHPS31 PHNC
152100).//
=========================================================================
WHPS31 PHNC 970315 21:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z5 --- 17.3S1 177.9W4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 177.9W4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 19.4S4 177.6W1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 21.6S9 177.0W5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 24.1S7 176.2W6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z7 --- 26.8S6 174.5W7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 32.6S1 168.6W1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
152100Z9 POSITION 17.8S6 177.8W3
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS.
EXPECT SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION BY TAU 36 PRIOR TO TURNING
SOUTHEAST AFTER TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
151800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND
162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN)
WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS IS THE FIRST
WARNING DISSEMINATED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN, PREVIOUS WARNINGS ISSUED BY
NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/JTWC GU UNDER THE MANOP WTPS31 PGTW.
=========================================================================
WHPS31 PHNC 970316 10:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z3 --- 20.7S9 176.1W5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S9 176.1W5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 24.6S2 174.4W6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 28.1S1 171.6W5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z7 --- 30.3S6 167.3W7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z5 --- 31.6S0 162.2W1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
160900Z6 POSITION 21.7S0 175.7W0
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 21 KTS. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND
THEN BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT TAKES A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK
PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2172 UNCLAS
BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN BY
THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 18
FT AT
160600Z3. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 162030Z2) AND 170900Z7 (DTG
171030Z2).//
AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21720750930
=========================================================================
WHPS31 PHNC 970316 21:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z6 --- 23.8S3 174.6W8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 23.8S3 174.6W8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 26.6S4 172.4W4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z7 --- 29.1S2 170.0W8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z5 --- 31.0S4 166.2W5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 32.7S2 162.2W1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
162100Z0 POSITION 24.5S1 174.0W2
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 19 KTS. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND
BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT IS 18 FT AT 161800Z.NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG
170751Z1) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4).//
=========================================================================
WHPS31 PHNC 970317 09:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z4 --- 26.2S0 169.8W4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 26.2S0 169.8W4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z7 --- 28.5S5 166.2W5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z5 --- 31.0S4 162.3W2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 33.1S7 158.1W5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z6 --- 35.0S8 153.1W0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
170900Z7 POSITION 26.8S6 168.9W4
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KTS. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG A SOUTHEAST TRACK AND
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 48
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 20 FT AT 170600Z4. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 172030Z3) AND 180900Z8 (DTG
180830Z0).//
=========================================================================
WHPS31 PHNC 970317 21:00z CORRECTED
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 010A
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z7 --- 28.9S9 165.7W9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 28.9S9 165.7W9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z5 --- 31.5S9 161.9W7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 33.9S5 158.1W5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z6 --- 36.3S2 154.3W3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z9 --- 38.7S8 150.4W0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
172100Z1 POSITION 29.6S7 164.7W8
THIS WARNING REISSUED TO CORRECT MSG DTG. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P
(HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KTS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE ALONG A SOUTHEAST TRACK AS COMES UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A 500 MB TROUGH. 33P WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL BY 48
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 18 FT AT 171800Z7. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5).
NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.//
=========================================================================
WHPS31 PHNC 970318 09:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z5 --- 31.4S8 161.8W6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 31.4S8 161.8W6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 34.2S9 157.3W6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z6 --- 38.7S8 151.0W7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 34 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z9 --- 43.5S2 144.5W4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM
---
REMARKS:
180900Z8 POSITION 32.1S6 160.7W4
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 22 KTS. THIS
SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND BECOMES
EXTRATROPICAL BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 18 FT
AT 180600Z5. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190900Z9
(DTG 190751Z3).//
=========================================================================
WHPS31 PHNC 970318 21:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z8 --- 34.0S7 158.5W9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 34.0S7 158.5W9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z6 --- 36.9S8 154.9W9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
REMARKS:
182100Z2 POSITION 34.7S4 157.6W9
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM HAS DECREASED RAPIDLY IN HEIGHT AND EXTENT IN THE
PAST 20 HRS AND IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 33P WILL BE
EXTRATROPICAL BY 190600Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 16
FT AT 181800Z8. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER
(NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS
OF REGENERATION. NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS//
|
Document: hina.htm
Updated: 26th December 2006 |
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